Estimation & Sizing Flashcards
What are the two things that estimation questions usually test for?
- Quantitative skills (e.g., 20M photos * 5MB per photo)
- Product judgment (e.g., “It’s reasonable to assume that users might upload 5 photos for this use case…”)
What are the two pillars of “product sense” in the context of an estimation question?
- Make reasonable assumptions
- Ignore the irrelevant
List four common types of estimation questions.
- Revenue opportunity (how much could we make with subscription X)?
- Market sizing (what is the TAM for Slack?)
- Storage Needs (how much space do we need for photo storage?)
- User behavior (how many shows are watched per day on Netflix?)
What trap do some candidates fall into regarding rounding in estimation questions?
They think that doing math precisely will be impressive and avoid rounding even when it makes sense to do so.
What is the world population, approximately?
7.8 billion
What is the population of Asia, approximately?
4.7 billion
What is the population of Africa, approximately?
1.3 billion
What is the population of North America, approximately?
600 million
What is the population of the European Union, approximately?
450 million
What is the population of South America, approximately?
440 million
What is the population of China, approximately?
1.45 billion
What is the population of India, approximately?
1.4 billion
What is a good estimate for the number of people per household in the US?
Roughly 2.5
What is a good estimate for the number of people per household in a less developed county, like El Salvador or Indonesia?
4
What is the population of the US, approximately?
330 million