Equity Valuation: Residual Income Model Flashcards
Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA = NOPAT - (WACC X Total Capital)
Residual Income Model (hint: solve for Vo rather than Po/Bo)
Vo = Bo + ∑RIt / (1+r)^t
- Bo: Book Value per share*
- RI: Residual Income*
Single Stage Residual Income Valuation (like Justified P/B from fundamentals)
Vo = Bo + (ROE-r) / r-G
Bo: Current Book Value per share
Multistage Residual Income Valuation (hint: like Po/Bo from RI + the future Pn-Bn)
Vo = Bo + ∑ RIt/(1+r)^t + (Pn - Bn)/(1+r)^n
- Pn: expected price at n period*
- Bn: expected BV per share at n period*
- For long periods the second term can be excluded*
When is Residual Income Models Appropriate?
- When expected free cash flows are expected to be negative for the foreseeable future.
- When dividends are uneven
RI models will show declining value when RI is negative and rising value if RI is positive.
Residual Income Persistence Factors (high vs. low)
Low: extreme ROEs, Extreme Special Items, Extreme Accruals
High: Low dividend payouts, High historical persistence in industry
Forecasted Book Value
B1 = Bo + E1 - D1
Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA = NOPAT - (C% X TC)
C% = Cost of Capital
TC = Total Capital
Market Value Added (MVA)
MVA = Market Value - Invested Capital
- Market value of Equity (share price X #shares)
- Market Value of Debt (could be a given discount)*
Solve for implied growth rate in residual income
G = r - [(ROE - r)XBo / (Vo - Bo)]
Clean surplus relationship
Ending BV = Beg BV + NI - Divs
- Can be broken by currency translation adjustments*
- Certain Pension adjustements*
- Fair value changes in some financial instruments (not held for trading)*