Equity Valuation: Applications & Processes Flashcards
What are mispriced assets?
- assets that trade at prices other than their intrinsic value
What is the formula for value of the perceived mispricing?
Ve - P = (V-P) + (Ve-V)
Ve = investors estimate of security’s value
P = security current market price
V = securities true or intrinsic value
V-P = true mispricing
Ve -V = source of error between investors estimate and and its true intrinsic value
What is the difference between going concern value and liquidation value, and which value will often be higher?
- going concern value: assumption that business will continue to operate for the foreseeable future
- liquidation value: amount of money generated if a company’s assets were sold after paying off liabilities.
going concern value > liquidation value
What is the difference between fair market value and investment value?
- fair market value: price agreed on by willing buyer and willing seller
- investment value: value of investment perceived by individual investor
What are 8 applications of equity valuation?
- selecting stocks
- inferring market expectations
- evaluating corporate events
- rendering fairness opinions (parties to merger transaction may ask third party to access proposed offer price)
- evaluating business strategies & modes
- communicating with analysts & shareholders
- appraising private businesses
- share based payments (compensation in form of equity)
What are the 5 key steps in the valuation process?
- Understand the business
- Forecast company performance
- Select an appropriate valuation model
- Convert forecasts to valuation
- Apply valuation conclusions
What are the 4 tools or strategies used to understand the business for the first step of equity valuation?
- industry & competitive analysis
- analysis of financial reports: contain important information about company business model & strategic focus
- sources of information: reliability of information
- consideration in using accounting information: quality of earnings
What is Michael Porters five forces framework for industry & competitive analysis?
- Low rivalry among industry participants
- High barriers to entry that reduce the risk of new competitors
- Few substitutes or high costs of switching
- Many suppliers competing for the business of relatively few producers
- Many customers with limited bargaining power relative to producers
What is Porters 3 corporate strategies to achieve above average returns for industry & competitive analysis?
- Be the lowest-cost producer while offering products or services that are comparable to those offered by competitors (e.g., low-cost air travel)
- Differentiate by offering unique products or services that can be sold at premium prices (e.g., luxury watches)
- Focus on specific segments within an industry (e.g., mobile phones designed to be user-friendly for senior citizens)
What are the 2 approaches to forecasting a companies performance?
- top down approach: focuses in order from economic environment to industry to company
- bottom up approach: focuses on company level first before industry and economic environment
What are 2 valuation models in step 3 of the 5 steps to equity valuation process.
- absolute valuation method: models that estimate a company’s intrinsic value (eg. asset based valuation, FCFE, FCFF, dividend discount model, etc)
- relative valuation method: models that estimate a company’s value relative to another asset (eg. pairs trading, P/E)
What is pairs trading?
- shorting overvalued stocks and longing undervalued stocks in the same industry
What is sum of the parts valuation method?
- sum of parts evaluation method: an approach to valuing a firm by separately assessing the value of each business segment or subsidiary and adding them up to get the total value of the firm.
What is conglomerate discount?
- conglomerate discount may be observed if investors perceive that capital is being allocated inefficiently among different business units
When valuing a company an analyst should choose a model that meets what 3 criteria?
- consistent with company characteristics
- appropriate for availability & quality of data
- consistent with purpose of valuation