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Suvira - CFA Level 2 > Equity COPY > Flashcards

Equity COPY Flashcards

1
Q

Porter’s five forces

A
  • Competition
  • Substitutes
  • Supplier power
  • Buyer power
  • New entrants
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2
Q

Differences between bills, notes and bonds

A
  • T-bill: maturity of one year or less, is sold at a discount
  • Note: maturity of two, three, five and ten years, interest is paid semi-anually
  • Bond: maturity of ten years or more, interest is paid semi-anually
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3
Q

Money Vs. Time-Weighted Return

A
  • Money-weighted: IRR
  • Time-weighted: HPR = ((MV1 - MV0 + D1 - CF1)/MV0)
  • Where: MV0 = beginning market value, MV1 = ending market value,
    D1 = dividend/interest inflows, CF1 = cash flow received at period end (deposits subtracted, withdrawals added back)
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4
Q

ex ante

A

forward-looking

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5
Q

ex post

A

based on actual results

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6
Q

Ibbotson and Chen model

A
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7
Q

Ibbotson and Chen model abbr.

A
  • EINFL: expected inflation
  • EGREPS: expected growth rate in real earnings
  • EGPE: expected growth rate in the P/E ratio
  • EINC: expected income component
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8
Q

Unleveraged beta

A
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9
Q

Leveraged beta

A
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10
Q
  • Operating Income
  • g
  • Capital expenditure (Capex)
  • Net PPE
A
  • EBIT
  • ROE x b
  • FCInv
  • Net Property Plant and Equipment
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11
Q

Arbitrage pricing theory (APT) - Multifactor model

A
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12
Q

Fama-French model

A
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13
Q

Fama-French model abbr.

A
  • RMRF: Rm - Rf (Rf = return on the one month T-bill)
  • SMB: small minus big, average return on 3 small-cap portfolios minus the average return on 3 large-cap portfolios
  • HML: high minus low, average return on 2 high book-to-market portfolios minus the average return on 2 low book-to-market portfolios
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14
Q

Pastor-Stambaugh model

A

FFM model + LIQ

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15
Q

GICS

A

Global industry classification standard

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16
Q

Barriers to entry

A
  • Supply-side economies of scale
  • Demand-side benefits of scale
  • Customer switching costs
  • Capital requirements
  • Incumbency advantages independent of size
  • Unequal access to distribution channels
  • Restrictive government policy
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17
Q

Strategic styles

A
  • A classical strategy works well for companies operating in predictable and immutable environments
  • A shaping strategy is best in unpredictable environments that you have the power to change
  • An adaptive strategy is more flexible and experimental and works far better in immutable environments that are unpredictable
  • A visionary strategy (the build-it-and-they-will-come approach) is appropriate in predictable environments that you have the power to change
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18
Q

Return on invested capital (ROIC)

A
  • NOPLAT / Invested capital
  • NOPLAT= net operating profit less adjusted taxes (NOP before interest expenses)
  • NOPLAT = Operating Income (EBIT) x (1 - Tax Rate)
  • Invested capital = Operating assets - Operating liabilities
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19
Q

Return on capital employed (ROCE)

A
  • Operating profit (EBIT) / Capital employed (debt and equity capital)
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20
Q
  • Effective tax rate
  • Marginal tax rate
A
  • Total tax paid as a percentage of the company’s accounting income instead of as a percentage of the taxable income
  • Tax rate an individual would pay on one additional dollar of income
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21
Q

Weak-Form EMH

A

The weak-form EMH implies that the market is efficient, reflecting all market information. This hypothesis assumes that the rates of return on the market should be independent; past rates of return have no effect on future rates. Given this assumption, rules such as the ones traders use to buy or sell a stock, are invalid

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22
Q

Semi-Strong EMH

A

The semi-strong form EMH implies that the market is efficient, reflecting all publicly available information. This hypothesis assumes that stocks adjust quickly to absorb new information. The semi-strong form EMH also incorporates the weak-form hypothesis. Given the assumption that stock prices reflect all new available information and investors purchase stocks after this information is released, an investor cannot benefit over and above the market by trading on new information

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23
Q

Strong-Form EMH

A

The strong-form EMH implies that the market is efficient: it reflects all information both public and private, building and incorporating the weak-form EMH and the semi-strong form EMH. Given the assumption that stock prices reflect all information (public as well as private) no investor would be able to profit above the average investor even if he was given new information

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24
Q

P/E in relation to PVGO

A
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25
* Trailing P/E * Forward P/E
* Today's market price divided by the trailing 12 months' earnings per share * Today's market price divided by a forecast of the next 12 months' earnings per share
26
Gordon growth model
27
(1 - b)
Dividend per share/ Earnings per share
28
Required rate of return with the Gordon growth model
29
Two-stage DDM
30
The H-model
31
The H-model variables
* H: half life in years of the high-growth period * gS: initial short-term dividend growth rate * gL: normal long-term dividen growth rate after
32
g using ROE
g = b x ROE / b = retention rate
33
H-model required rate of return
34
ROE decomposition
* NI / Common shareholders' equity * (NI / Total assets) x (Total assets / Common shareholders' equity) * (NI / Sales) x (Sales / Total assets) x (Total assets / Common shareholders' equity) * g = (NI - dividends / NI) x (NI / Sales) x (Sales / Total assets) x (Total assets / Common shareholders' equity)
35
PRAT
* Profit margin * Retention rate * Asset turnover * Financial Leverage
36
PVGO
* PVGO = P0 (intrinsic stock price) - D1 / r * No growth → D1 / r = E1 / r
37
FCFF
* NI + NCC - WCInv + Int(1 - tax rate) - FCInv * CFO + Int(1 - tax rate) - FCInv * EBIT(1 - tax rate) + Dep - FCInv - WCInv * EBITDA(1 - tax rate) + Dep(tax rate) - FCInv - WCInv
38
FCFE
* CFO + Net borrowing- FCInv * FCFF + Net borrowing- Int(1 - tax rate) * NI + NCC - WCInv + Net borrowing - FCInv * NI - (1 - DR)(FCInv - Dep) - (1 - DR)(WCInv)
39
Cases in which the FCFF model is often chosen
* A levered company with negative FCFE * A levered company with a changing capital structure
40
Residual income valuation context
* The company’s expected free cash flows are negative or difficult to predict within the analyst’s comfortable forecast horizon * Dividends are volatile or the company is not paying dividends
41
FCFF firm value
42
FCFE equity value
43
Constant growth FCFF
44
Constant growth FCFE
45
Two-stage FCFF
46
Two-stage FCFE
47
Method of comparables - other given names
* Comparables * Comps * Guideline assets * Guideline companies
48
Molodovsky cycle
Cyclicality of P/Es due to the business cycle
49
Normalized cyclical EPS - two of several methods
* Historical average EPS - Average EPS over the most recent cycle * Average return on equity - Average ROE for the most recent cycle times the current book value per share
50
Inverse price ratio
* Earnings yield - E/P * Book-to-market - B/P * Sales-to-price - S/P * Cash flow yield - CF/P * Dividend yield - D/P
51
* TTM * NTM
* Trailing twelve months * Next twelve months (based on the average on the current and forecasted EPS)
52
Thomson first call
* FY1 - current fiscal year - based on the mean of analyst's forecasts and actual data * FY2 - following fiscal year - entirely forecasted
53
Yardeni Model
* CEY = CBY - b x LTEG + residual * P/E = 1 / (CBY - b x LTEG) * CEY = current earning yield * CBY = current bond yield (Moody's Investors Service A-rated corporation) * LTEG = Long-term earning growth (5 years consensus of the earnings growth rate forecast) * b = weight given to the 5 years earnings projection
54
P/E for a company with no growth considering inflation
* λ represents the percentage of inflation in costs that the company can pass through to revenue * ρ = r - I
55
P/B based on fundamentals
56
P/B based on the residual income valuation
57
P/E x Net profit margin = P/S
Sales x Net profit margin = Net income
58
P/S based on fundamentals
59
Alternative sustainable growth rate equation
60
Dividend displacement of earnings
Investors may trade future earnings to receive higher dividends now
61
Trailing dividend yield
Calculated using the current dividend rate
62
Fundamental dividend yield
63
Value stocks
* High dividend yield * Low P/B * Low P/E
64
Enterprise value (EV)
MV of debt, common and preferred equity and minority interests - MV of cash and short-term investments *\* does not necessarily equal the market value of the company*
65
Total invested capital (TIC)
Market value of debt and equity \**different definitions given to invested capital*
66
* Amortization * Depreciation
* Intangibles * Tangibles
67
* Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) * Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB)
* MSCI and S&P * FTSE
68
Standardized unexpected earnings (SUE)
69
Momentum Oscillators
* Measures the rate-of-change of a security's price * Bound within a range
70
P/E-to-growth (PEG)
(P/E ratio) / Expected earnings growth rate
71
Residual income alternative names
* Abnormal earnings * Discounted abnormal earnings model * Edwards-Bell-Ohlson model
72
Economic valued added (EVA)
* = NOPAT - (C% x TC) * C% = cost of capital * TC = total capital = net working capital + net fixed assets **OR** book value of long-term debt + book value of equity
73
Market value added (MVA)
= market value of the company - accounting book value of total capital
74
Residual income model
75
Clean surplus relation
76
Residual income model using ROE
77
Constant growth of residual income
* g = long-term dividend growth rate * Current book value often captures a large portion of the firm's equity
78
Tobin's q
Market value of debt and equity / Replacement cost of total assets
79
Multistage RI valuation
PT = Premium over book value
80
Multistage RI valuation where ROE fades over time
* ω = persistence factor, between 0 and 1 * 1 implies that RI will not fade * 0 implies that RI will not persist
81
The 3 different valuation approaches
* Income * Market * Asset-based
82
WACC
83
Build-up method required rate
ri = Risk-free rate + Equity risk premium + Size premiumi + Specific company premiumi + Industry premiumi
84
Build-up method beta
The beta is assumed to be 0 and there might be an industry risk premium
85
Build-up method context
Usually applied to closely held companies where the beta is not readily available
86
Capitalized cash flow method - FCFF or FCFE with r - g (CCM)
87
3 market approach methods for private company valuation
* Guideline public company (GPCM) - Multiple of any trade size * Guideline transaction (GTM) - Multiple of entire companies * Prior transaction (PTM)
88
CEIC
Closed end investment company
89
* Discount for lack of control * Discount for lack of marketability
* DLOC = 1 - [1 / (1 + control premium)] * DLOM = discount in % * Combined discount = 1 - (1 - DLOC) x (1 - DLOM)
90
Required rate of returns models and estimation issues
* Size premiums * CAPM * Expanded CAPM - premium for small size and company-specific risk * Build up approach - beta of 1.0, industry risk premium * Availability of debt * Discount rate in an acquisition context - use the discount rate of the target * Discount rate adjustment for projection risk
91
Strategic and financial investors
* Both will normalized salaries * Only the strategic will consider the benefits of synergies
92
FCFE versus FCFF context
* If the company’s capital structure is relatively stable, using FCFE to value equity is more direct and simpler than using FCFF * The FCFF model is often chosen for: * A levered company with negative FCFE * A levered company with a changing capital structure
93
Best approach to valuing a buyout
* FCFF because it takes a control perspective * FCFE, trailing P/E and DDM take a minority perspective
94
* CAPM * Expanded CAPM * Build-up approach
* Rf + Beta (Equity risk premium) * Rf + Beta (Equity risk premium) + Small stock premium + Company-specific risk * Rf + Equity risk premium + Small stock premium + Company-specific risk + Industry risk premium
95
* Confidence risk * Business cycle risk
* Represent the unexpected change in the difference between the return of risky corporate bonds and government bonds * Represents the unexpected change in the level of real business activity
96
FCInv or Capex
Net cash spent to maintain fixed assets
97
Net Operating Assets
* Net Operating Assets = Operating Assets - Operating Liabilities * Operating Assets = Total Assets - Cash & Investments * Operating Liabilities = Total Liabilities - Long-term Debt(LTD) - Current Portion of LTD
98
Working capital
* Operating assets minus operating liabilities * Receivables + inventories + prepaid expenses - payables and accrued expenses * \*Accrued taxes but not deferred taxes
99
DuPont decomposition
100
DuPont notation
* Tax burden is (Net income ÷ Pretax profit) or (NI/EBT) * Interest burden is (Pretax income ÷ EBIT) or (EBT/EBIT) * Operating profit margin or return on sales (ROS) is (EBIT /Sales) * Asset turnover (ATO) is (Sales /Assets) * Leverage ratio is (Assets/ Equity) * Return on assets (ROA) is (Return on sales x Asset turnover)
101
The Fed model
The justified or fair-value P/E for the S&P 500 is the reciprocal of the 10-year T-bond yield * P/E = 1 / (yield of the 10-year T-bond)
102
* Absolute valuation model * Relative valuation model
* A model that specifies an asset’s intrinsic value * A model that estimates an asset’s value relative to that of another asset
103
Pro forma
Used to describe a practice or document that is provided as a courtesy and/or satisfies minimum requirements
104
Adjusted beta for future value (Blume method)
Adjusted beta = (2/3)(Unadjusted beta) + (1/3)(1.0)
105
Justified P/E
Based on fundamentals
106
NI from EBIT and EBITDA
* = (EBIT – Int) (1 – Tax rate) * = EBIT (1 – Tax rate) – Int (1 – Tax rate) * = (EBITDA – Dep – Int) (1 – Tax rate) * = EBITDA (1 – Tax rate) – Dep (1 – Tax rate) – Int (1 – Tax rate)
107
FCFF forecasting
FCFF is calculated by forecasting EBIT(1 − Tax rate) and subtracting incremental fixed capital expenditures and incremental working capital expenditures
108
Increase in FCInv and WCInv as a percentage of sales
* Increase in FCInv = (Capex − Depreciation expense) / Increase in sales * Increase in WCInv = Increase in working capital / Increase in sales
109
Net borrowing using the target debt ratio DR
Net borrowing = DR (FCInv – Dep) + DR (WCInv)
110
FCFE using DR
* FCFE = NI – (FCInv – Dep) – WCInv + (DR) (FCInv – Dep) + (DR) (WCInv) * FCFE = NI – (1 – DR) (FCInv – Dep) – (1 – DR) (WCInv)  
111
FCFF with preferred dividends
FCFF = NI + NCC + Int (1−Tax rate) + Preferred dividends − FCInv − WCInv
112
Basic EPS
113
Diluted EPS using the if-converted method for preferred stock
114
Diluted EPS using the if-converted method for convertible debt
115
Diluted EPS using the treasury stock method
116
* Trailing dividend yield * Leading dividend yield
* Generally calculated using the current dividend rate * Calculated using the forecasted dividend per share for the next year
117
Harmonic mean
118
Weighted harmonic mean
119
Comprehensive income
**Comprehensive income** is the sum of net income and other items that must bypass the income statement because they have not been realized, including items like an unrealized holding gain or loss from available for sale securities and foreign currency translation gains or losses
120
Treynor ratio
121
M2
122
Jensen's alpha
123
Growth capital
Growth capital (also called expansion capital and growth equity) is a type of **private equity investment**, usually a minority investment, in relatively mature companies that are looking for capital to expand or restructure operations, enter new markets or finance a significant acquisition **without a change of control** of the business
124
Finding the long-term growth rate using the dividend yield
* Replace D0 / P0 by the trailing dividend yield
125
Finding the value of a stock with decreasing earnings
* Use the Gordon growth model with a negative g * V0 = D0 (1 + g) / (r - g)
126
High persistence factor * Associated with low dividend payments
Low persistence factor * Associated with significant levels of nonrecurring items * Associated with high dividend payments
127
Violation of the clean surplus relation
* Occurs when items bypass the income statement and affect equity directly * Ex.: Foreign currency gains and losses under the current rate method bypass the income statement and are reported under shareholders equity as currency translation adjustment
128
Forward-looking equity risk premium
= dividend yield + long-term EPS growth rate - long-term government bond yield
129
* Justified leading P/E * Justified trailing P/E
130
Joint venture
Both IFRS and US GAAP require the equity method of accounting for joint venture
131
Forward-looking versus historical estimates
* Forward-looking models use current information and expectations concerning economic and financial variables (Gordon growth model) * Historical estimates consist of the difference between the historical mean return for a broad-based equity market index and a risk-free rate over a given time period

Suvira - CFA Level 2 (2 decks)

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