EQ3 - How successful is the management of tectonic hazards and disasters? Flashcards
What are the 2 broad categories of ‘natural hazard’?
- Hydro-met hazards (floods, cyclones, drought etc.)
- Tectonic disasters
The amount of tectonic HAZARDS (earthquakes, volcanos etc.) has increased over time.
True or False?
False - the number of tectonic events is broadly the same decade over decade
The amount of tectonic DISASTERS has stayed the same over time.
True or False?
False - whilst the number of HAZARDS has remained the same, the number of DISASTERS (hazard + vulnerability) has risen
How have disaster-related deaths changed over time, and why?
Deaths have fallen due to better response management, preparation and prediction.
By what number have disaster-related deaths globally dropped from 1975 to 2015?
Dropped by 100,000
120,000 (1975) to 20,000 (2015)
Why did global natural disaster reports increase from 90 (1975) to 450 (2003)?
Better data technology and coverage
By how much has the number of people affected by disasters risen between 1975 and 2015?
55m affected in 1975
260m affected in 2015
Why are we experiencing a trend of significantly more people being affected by natural disasters?
Rapid population growth and density
- many are forced to live in vulnerable locations
What is the typical range in number of earthquake events annually (hasn’t changed since 1980)?
15-40 events annually
Why do earthquake deaths vary so much?
Due to rare megadisasters
What are earthquake ‘megadisasters’?
High-magnitude, infrequent disasters with regional and global impacts
How many earthquake deaths were there worldwide in 2014 compared to 2010
2014 = less than 1000 deaths
2010 = more than 200,000
Overall there are fewer earthquake deaths now than there were 30-40 years ago.
True or False
True
What is the average economic loss due to earthquakes (mostly accounted for by recent megadisasters)
$20-40bn per year
Why are economic losses from tectonic disasters continuing to rise as the world develops?
More people are becoming wealthy and have more property to lose
- This is increasingly true in emerging countries as well as developed nations
Volcanos are more frequent and more deadly than earthquakes.
True or False?
False - deaths from eruptions are now rare
When was the last time a volcanic eruption killed more than 1000 people?
Cameroon 1986
Though deaths from volcanos are usually very low, what statistic is very high?
Number of people affected
- mostly due to mass evacuations of people living around volcanos
Though only 300 people died in Mt. Merapi eruption in Indonesia 2010, how many people were affected (evacuated) by the disaster?
350,000 people evacuated
MEGADISASTER CASE STUDIES HERE : volcano and tsunami’s
What is the name of a place where 2 or more natural hazards can occur and sometimes interact?
Multiple Hazard Zones
- if multiple hazards interact, they can produce complex disasters
What are 3 examples of places where Multiple Hazard Zones exist?
- California
- Indonesia
- Japan
What do all of California, Indonesia and Japan possess that makes them Multiple hazard zones? (4 characteristics)
- Tectonically active (along fault lines)
- Geologically young (mountains prone to landslides)
- Risk of Tropical cyclones (due to latitude)
- Vulnerable to El Nino/El Nina events
What nation did a multiple hazard zone develop after the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991?
The Philippines
What was the name of the typhoon that struck the Philippines during the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo, creating a Multiple Hazard Zone?
Typhoon Yunga
What destructive secondary hazard was created by heavy typhoon rainfall during the Mt. Pinatubo eruption in the Philippines (1991)?
Lahars - volcanic ash became waterlogged
What is a common secondary impact in areas of high relief following an earthquake?
Landslides - where slopes are weakened by tremors and fail
- this is especially common in times of heavy rainfall
A multiple hazard zone with COMPLEX hazards requires a combination of what 2 types of hazard?
- Hydro-meteorological (floods, storms etc.)
- Tectonic (earthquakes, volcanos, tsunami’s)
What does prediction mean in regard to natural hazards?
When and where a natural hazard will occur on a spacial and temporal scale
Why is prediction important in terms of natural hazards?
So successful evacuation to take place
What is natural hazard ‘forecasting’ as opposed to prediction?
Forecasting provides a % chance of a hazard occurring
- it is less precise
(e.g 25% chance of a magnitude 7.0 earthquake in the next 20 years)
Can earthquakes be predicted?
No (despite decades of research) - they can only be forecasted
Only which areas can be identified for earthquake risk forecasting?
Only high risk areas
-also areas susceptible to severe ground-shaking or liquefaction (for land-use zoning purposes)
How can ‘seismic gaps’ be used to predict areas of high risk?
These are areas that have not experienced an earthquake and are ‘overdue’
Can volcanos be predicted?
Yes - unlike earthquakes
How does advanced monitoring equipment measure when a volcano is close to eruption?
It measures when the magma chamber fills up