EPO, MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY Flashcards
YAAASSSS
What are the Australian Government’s 5 economic policy objectives?
- Price Stability - target is 2-3% long term average CPI
- Sustainable Economic Growth - target is 3-4% real GDP growth rate
- Full employment - target is 4.5% - 5% unemployment
- Equitable Distribution of Income
- Efficient Resource Allocation
Define “economic growth”
Increasing the capacity of the economy to satisfy the material needs and wants of its members
Importance of steady economic growth
higher material living standards
employment opportunities
confidence
Importance of price stability
redistribution of income
loss of international competitiveness
business and consumer confidence
decrease in efficiency
Fiscal Policy
Use of government revenue and expenditure to influence a country’s economy
What is Structural Balance
Fiscal decisions which are deliberate (discretionary fiscal policy) such as tax rates, infrastructure spending, education etc
Structural deficit and issues
Structural deficits occur due to structure of Australia’s economy and long term tax & spending habits
Structural issues: rising health spending and structural unemployment
Recent fiscal policy
Australia had budget deficit every year since 2009
Gov. strategy to reduce deficit due to concerns of debt
Strengths and Weaknesses Fiscal
Strengths - Direct (short outside lag), spending tap that sets off multiplier effect, complements effects of automatic stabilisers
Weaknesses - Recognition and decision lag, inflexible and non-effective in boom, political constraints
Funding budget deficit - Selling government bonds
Financial investment which raises funds for its issuer in return for rate of interest payable to the buyer (sold in trough with expansionary budget)
Crowding out - Government needing borrowed funds to pay for expansionary policies creates a shortage of funds for borrowing
Funding budget deficit - Borrowing from RBA
Achieves expansionary effect but causes inflation
(if growth in money supply > growth in real output)
can cause inflation
Funding budget deficit - Borrowing from overseas
Appreciated AUS will make Australian exports less competitiveness and imports more attractive (reduces AE) - doesn’t help Australia out of trough
Strengths and Weaknesses of Monetary Policy
Strengths - Flexible (does not require parliament approval and meets regularly), political neutrality (impacts all sectors of economy), effective during boom periods (direct impact on AD via transmission mechanism) and very effective under floating exchange exchange rate
Weaknesses - Less effective during trough (liquidity trap), timelags (effect) and blunt instrument (can’t target specific sectors)
Market for loanable funds definition
Market where savers supply access funds, and borrowers demand these funds for investment
Factors affecting market for loanable funds
Credit creation process (saving, loan and requirement)
Government budget outcome (methods of financing)
Business cycle (level of economic activity positively correlated with demand for credit)
Overseas economic events (investor confidence)
RBA’s market operations
Define monetary policy
Actions taken by country’s central bank to influence price and availability of credit in the economy (implemented by manipulating level of liquidity)
Cash rate above 4% contractionary
Transmission Mechanism - lower CR / IR
Cost of Borrowing - Price of borrowing (mortgage and business loan) lower, rate of return on savings drops due to lower interest rate
Cash Flow - Price of servicing exisiting loan decreases which has a positive impact on remaining costs and cash available for consumption spending
Asset Prices + Wealth - Lower interest rates make shares a more attractive option compared to bonds (higher return from shares). Increased demand and price for shares. Wealth effect for shareholders
Exchange Rate - Lower interest rates affect demand for AUD (relative interest rate), resulting in decreased FI and AUD decreases. Decreased imports (more expensive for domestic buyers), increased exports (cheaper for foreign buyers)
How transmission effect impacts C, I and NX
timeshift effect (people bring forward consumption), exchange rate effect, cash flow effect, wealth effect and expectation effect Impacts confidence and future expectations
Contractionary gap - Exchange settlement market
Supply shifts right after RBA buys securities which increases liquidity in the market, decreasing the cash rate. The monetary policy stance has loosened. Increase in quantity and decrease in CR
Contractionary gap - Loanable funds market
Supply shifts right as there is more money available to the market. Cash rate decreases
Automatic stabilisers
Act to dampen fluctuations in business cycle and uncontrollable by government
Welfare and Tax Revenue
Discretionary Fiscal Policy
Changes to expenditure and revenue that government makes in budget to stabilise the economy
G2 spending and Tax
KEY INDICATOR STATISTICS
CPI - 2-3%
GDPr - 3-4%
Unemployment - 4.5-5%