epidemiology in practice Flashcards
passive surveillance
based on reports from health care workers
active surveillance
all cases are reported by a system that is set up for this reason
sentinel surveillance
we look for trends in disease in certain sites instead of covering whole population
what influences spread of disease
properties of agent, sources of infection, biological reservoirs, host factors, exposure variation, environment
infectivity
ability of an organism to invade and multiply in a host
methods of transmission
direct (touching or inhaling secretions), indirect (vehicle), airborne (droplet nuclei)
development of disease
Infection, Incubation (latent –> infectious period), Clinical disease (infectious period), Recovery
epidemic
unexpected increase in incidence of disease in one area/group
endemic
constant presence of disease or infectious agent within a geographical area of population group
pandemic
unexpected increase in incidence of disease that cross international boundaries
cluster
greater aggregation of relatively uncommon events or disease in space and or time that are thought to be greater than due to chance
primary case
1st person infected
index case
the first person recognised by health authorities that makes them aware an outbreak is occurring
2nd generation
next people infected from primary case
secondary attack rate
how many people the primary infects
common source
when everyone gets outcome from same common source e.g. Arana serving dodgy chicken once. Epidemic curve has triangular shape
continuous source
continuous exposure e.g. local well infected with virus. Epidemic curve has long flat shape
intermittent source
repeated common common source e.g. arana serving dodgy chicken 3 times a week
propagated source
one person spreads it to another etc
mixed source
starts as common source then develops into propagated source
what is screening
widespread use of a simple test for a disease in an apparently healthy (asymptomatic) population
what is a screening programme
organised system using a screening test among asymptomatic people in the population to identify early cases of disease in order to improve outcomes
what is a screening test
a test, usually relatively cheap and simple, used to test large numbers of apparently healthy people to identify individuals suspected of having early disease who will then go on to have further diagnostic tests to confirm the diagnosis
lead time
time from when disease is detectable and when symptoms appear
criteria for screening
disease is chronic and serious, has high prevalence, long lead time, can improve length or quality of life, change course of disease
what is sensitivity
- Proportion of people with the disease who test positive
- true positive/(all with disease)
- Test specific
- High = good
what is specificity
- Proportion of people without the disease who test negative
- True negative/(all without disease)
- Test specific
- High = good
what is tradeoff between sensitivity and specificity
have to Consider consequences of missing cases (false negatives) versus false alarms (false positives).
if disease is severe then should maximise sensitivity.
if test expensive then should maximise specificity