Epidemiology Flashcards
Epidemiology
The study of how disease is distributed in populations and the factors that influence or determine this distribution.
Direct causal pathway?
Pathogen is necessary and sufficient for disease, cause disease without intermediate steps, all individuals are affected in the same way.
Indirect casual pathway?
Pathogen causes disease with intermediate steps and additional factors can affect the development of disease. In humans and animals, this is true in virtually every causal process.
What is a cause?
- Something that produces an effect, result, or consequence. If A causes B, then a change in A is associated with a change in B
- In the context of a disease, a causal factor plays an essential role in producing an occurrence of the disease, without which the disease would not have occurred or would have occurred later.
Compare association, risk factors, and causes
- Associations go together (smoking and drinking)
- Risk factors increases susceptibility (diet and heart disease)
Causes: Essential components related
to progression of disease
What is causal framework I: Koch’s?
- Developed early in the era.
- Still have problems: Not all organisms exposed to an agent will acquire the infection or be symptomatic; A single pathogen can cause more than one disease outcome; What about non-infectious diseases?; What about organisms that can’t be cultured?; Experimental models of disease are imperferct.
What is causal framework II: 1964?
9 Criteria:
1. Temporality: Exposure to the causal agent must have occurred before the disease developed. (REMEMBER!)
2. Strength of Association
3. Dose-response
4. Experiment
5. Consistency/Replication
6. Biological Plausibility
7. Alternate Explanations
8. Specificity
9. Coherence
What is causal framework III: 1986?
- Temporality
- Biological plausibility
- Consistency
- Lack of confounding
List risk factor epidemiology
– Predisposing factors (distant; social determinants)
– Enabling factors (intermediate; risk factors)
– Precipitating factors (proximate; direct or final cause)
What is causal framework IV: Agent-Host-Enviornment?
- Agent: bad tires, no airbags
- Host: poor health, inexperience drivers
- Environment: road, time of dat, intersections
(Example only)
What’s causal Framework V: Causal Pies?
- Necessary causes must precede disease, but their presence does not guarantee disease. This cause is present in every “pie”.
- Sufficient causes: if you have A, you will ALWAYS have B. In other words, if something is a sufficient cause, then every time it happens the outcome will follow. The outcome always follows the cause. However, the outcome may occur without the cause.
- If A is neither necessary nor sufficient for B then sometimes when A happens B will happen. B can also happen without A. The cause sometimes leads to the outcome, and sometimes the outcome can happen without the cause.
- If A is both sufficient and necessary for B, B will never happen without A. Furthermore, B will ALWAYS happen after A. The cause always leads to the outcome, and the outcome never happens without the cause.
Define and understand what constitutes an “outbreak”
Outbreaks/Epidemics occur when number of disease cases exceed what is normally expected.
Versus endemic – typical occurrence (incidence) in a geographic area
Baseline of disease occurence constitutes an outbreak.
Define and understand what “endemic” vs. “epidemic” means how that applies to outbreaks
- Epidemic – cases in excess of expected in a geographic area
- Endemic – Typical occurrence (incidence) in a geographic area
Understand the components of a “case-definition”
- Clinical Signs
- Suspect case: An animal having clinical signs and epidemiological information consistent with dz.
- Presumptive positive case: A suspect that has positive screening laboratory results for dz.
- Confirmed positive case: An animal from which virus has been isolated and identified at a laboratory.
Understand the difference between “point-source” and “propagated” outbreak transmission
Point source: oil spill, tanzanite spill sacramento, “sushi”
Propagated outbreak: HPAI, ebola
Incubation period = the period between the infection of an individual by a pathogen and the manifestation of the illness or disease it causes