EPIDEMIOLOGY Flashcards
Define Outcome, Exposure, Risk factor
• Outcome –The disease or occurrence of event being studied (e.g. T2D or a CVD event)
• Exposure - Any characteristic that may be related to a study outcome
• Risk Factor - Any characteristic associated with a higher likelihood of developing an
outcome of interest. These can be grouped into modifiable or non-modifiable risk
factors
Overview of study designs in Epidemiology
Observational
Study:
Cohort Study
Starts with the outcome of
interest and looks back in time at exposures
Case-control Study
Starts with the exposures and looks forward in time at who develops the outcome of interest
Cross-sectional Study
Looks at exposures and the
outcome of interest at same time
Difference between observation studies and experimental/intervention studies
Did the
researcher assign
the exposure?
No = O Yes = E/I
Prospective Cohort
- Population & risk factor defined
- Participants classified as exposed or unexposed to chosen risk factor
- follows participant over time
- During baseline and follow up, confounding variables taken
- End = outcome of interest assessed
Retrospective Cohort
- exposure data taken from past record instead of recruiting people in present day
- Outcomes have already occurred in the past
- historical records used to classify individuals as exposed or unexposed to risk factor at chosen baseline of time
- Other available risk factors recorded at baseline
- past record for info on risk factors and outcome throughout follow-up
What is a confounder?
A confounder is a variable which is:
- Associated with the exposure of interest
- Independently associated with the risk of developing the outcome
Confounding can:
• Lead to an under- or over-estimation of a real association between Exposure and Outcome
• Produce a spurious positive or negative association between Exposure and Outcome
Risk ratio or relative risk (RR)
𝑅𝑅 = 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑜𝑓𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑒𝑑𝑔𝑟𝑜u𝑝/𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑜𝑓𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑖𝑛𝑈𝑁𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑒𝑑𝑔
RR=1
RR>1
RR<1
• Caution! Relative Risk tells you nothing about absolute risk
difference between incidence and Prevalence
Incidence =
Number of new cases of disease
which develop in a population
over a period of time
Prevalence =
Number of existing cases of a
disease in a population
Advantages of Cohort studies
-Exposure is measured before disease,
reducing potential for bias, and
allowing causality to be assumed
-Multiple outcomes (diseases) can be
studied for any one exposure
-Incidence of disease can be
measured in the exposed and
unexposed groups
Disdvantages of Cohort studies
-Slow, expensive, administratively
difficult & complex
-Needs large numbers –especially
when interested in a rare disease
-Collection of data may alter
behaviour
-Losses to follow-up
Advantages of Case control studies
- Good for rare outcomes
- Quick & easy to carry out
- Relatively low cost
- Can investigate multiple exposures/
risk factors
Disadvantages of Case control studies
- Prone to bias, especially recall bias
- Selection of controls can be difficult
- Can only investigate one disease
- Cannot measure incidence