Elections and Referendums (UK) Flashcards

1
Q

What are the functions of UK elections?

A

Selecting representatives

Selecting political leaders

Selecting a government

Participation

Influencing policy by prompting the development of manifestos

Holding government and representatives accountable

Voter education

Legitimising the government by providing a mandate

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2
Q

What are the types of UK elections?

A

General Election

Devolved assembly elections

Local elections

PCC elections

By-Elections.

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3
Q

What is a majoritarian electoral system?

A

Electoral systems in which the candidates with the highest number of votes in each constituency is elected.

FPTP is classed a majoritarian system - winning candidate however only requires a plurality rather than a majority.

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4
Q

What is a proportional electoral system?

A

Used to describe a range of systems that produce a close fit between the proportion of votes and seats won.

Proportional systems use multi-member constituencies and electoral formulas to allocate the seats within them to parties (STV).

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5
Q

How does the FPTP system work?

A

650 constituencies - each with roughly 70,000 people. (constituency boundaries are decided by an independent boundary commission).

Seeing winner is simple, candidate with the most votes wins, no need for a majority.

Winning party is the party with the most seats - to form a government a party must win a majority of seats.

2019: conservatives won 57% of the vote share and 368 seats.

Hung parliaments happen rarely ( 2010 and 2017).

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6
Q

What are the strengths of FPTP?

A

-Simple to understand.

-Direct link between voters and individual MP.

-Simple plurality system provides a winners bonus - provides a strong stable majoritarian government.

-Rarely produces minority governments.

-Extremist parties are kept out of parliament.

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7
Q

What are the weaknesses of FPTP?

A

-Simple plurality systems means that MPs lack a majority and have a questionable mandate.

-Produces disproportionate outcomes, 2015 UKIP won 3.8 million votes, but only got one seat.

-Millions of votes wasted 70.8% of votes in the 2019 election were cast for loosing candidates and winning candidates who had already achieved a plurality.

-Safe seats means votes are wasted.

-Many voters feel forced to resort to tactical voting.

-Did not produce a strong stable government in 2010 and 2017.

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8
Q

Argument that the FPTP system does meet the Jenkins commission criteria:

A

-It establishes a direct link between an MP and their constituency.

-It produces a stable government.

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9
Q

Argument that the FPTP system does not meet the Jenkins Commission:

A

-It doesn’t give voters a wide choice, tactical voting.

-It doesn’t deliver a broadly proportional result.

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10
Q

Where is STV used?

A

Used for the Northern Ireland assembly and local elections in Scotland.

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11
Q

How does STV work?

A

-There are large multi-member constituencies.

-Voters number the candidates in order of preferences.

-Parties have multiple candidates in order to gain seats.

-Voters can pick candidates from different parties.

-Candidates have to reach a quota of votes.

-First preferences are counted and those who achieve or exceed the quota are elected.

-Surplus votes from the winning candidates redistributed.

-If seats still available, then those at the bottom are eliminated - their votes are redistributed until the seats are filled.

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12
Q

What are the strengths of STV?

A

-Produces a broadly proportional result.

  • Voters have a much greater choice - they can select multiple parties and priorities candidates.

-Fewer wasted votes, surplus votes are redistributed.

-Smaller parties have a much greater chance of winning.

-Eliminates the problem of safe seats and the need for tactical voting.

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13
Q

What are the weaknesses of STV?

A

-Takes a long Time for votes to be counted and winners announced.

-Voting is confusing.

-Alphabet voting - those higher on the paper more likely to be picked.

-Exisiting constituency boundaries would have to be redrawn and enlarged to create, large multi-member constituencies.

-Proportional results means coalitions are more likely.

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14
Q

Argument that STV does meet the Jenkins commission criteria:

A

it gives a proportional result.

It gives voters greater choice.

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15
Q

Argument that STV does not meet the Jenkins Commission criteria:

A

It doesn’t produce a stable government.

Doesn’t maintain the link between a single MP and a constituency.

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16
Q

Where is the AMS system used?

A

Scottish parliament., the Welsh assembly and the greater London assembly.

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17
Q

How does AMS work?

A

Under AMS voters cast two votes, one constituency vote for a local candidate and one regional vote for a party to be allocated proportional.

Some representatives are elected using FPTP in single-member constituencies.

-‘Additional members’ are elected in multi-member consistencies using the proportional regional list system.

-The d’Hondt formula is used to allocate seats.

-the greater number of regional lists, the more proportional the final result.

Scottish parliament elections, 73 seats are determined using FPTP in single meters constituencies.

56 seats are allocated using the regional party list system.

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18
Q

What are strengths of AMS?

A

-Combines best features of FPTP and proportional systems - produces a proportional result, whilst maintain a consistency link.

-Fewer wasted votes, the regional vote counts.

-Voters have a greater choice, voters can select a minority party for the regional vote without fearing it will be wasted.

-Regional party list can be used to improve representation of minorities - alternating male and female candidates on the party lists.

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19
Q

What are the weaknesses of AMS?

A

-System creates two classes of MP- some acceptable to the electorate and others to party leaders. ( this has led to tension in MSPs).

-party leaders become extremely influential because they determine the composition and order of the party lists.

-Small parties still under-represented.

-More complicated than FPTP - increases the risk of incorrectly completed ballot papers.

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20
Q

Argument that the AMS system does meet the Jenkins Commission criteria?

A

-Give broadly proportional results.

-Gives voters greater choice.

-maintains a link between a single MP and a constituency.

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21
Q

Argument that AMS does not meet the Jenkins commission criteria?

A

It does not produce a stable government.

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22
Q

What constitutional reform did Labour promise in their 1997 manifesto?

A

-AMS was introduced for the Scottish Parliament Welsh Assembly.

-STV was introduced for the Northern Ireland Assembly.

-STV was introduced for Mayor of London and PCC’s.

-A pledge to identify a proportional alternative for FPTP for general elections.

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23
Q

What are the advantages of electoral reform?

A

-Greater third party successes - proportional systems have meant that support for third parties has transferred to seats. UKIP won the 2014 European parliaments elections, SNP has won successive Scottish parliament elections.

-Greater choice - AMS gives voters greater choice, STV allows voters to rank candidates from multiple parties. Split tickets.

-Fewer Wasted Votes- redistribution of votes in STV and AMS is proportional.

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24
Q

What are the disadvantages of electoral reform brought to the UK?

A

Minority and coalition govs - critics argue that this leads to unstable governments.

Has not increased turnout - 2021 turnout in Scottish parliament elections is 63.5%.

More rejected ballots - more ballots rejected because they are completed incorrectly - 0.2% rejected under FPTP and 1% under AMS.

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25
Why does electoral reform for general elections seem unlikely?
-The Labour Party called off their support for the idea when they began winning general elections in 1997. -Little public appetite for reform - 68% voted in 'No' in the 2011 AV referendum.
26
What are the arguments for the use of referndums?
-Genuine Democracy- Governments may have a questionable mandate because of low participation, it decisively provides the government with a mandate on a single political issue. -Settles divisive issues - settles issues which divides both the government and nations. (1999 Good Friday Agreement Referendum gave the UK a clear mandate to implement the Good Friday Agreement. -Entrenches constitutional reforms - devolution elections. -Encourages political participation. 2014 Scottish Independence (85%) turnout. 2016 referendum - 75% turnout. -The electoral commission - ensures referendums are conducted fairly.
27
What are the arguments against the use of referndums?
-Poor turnout - AV 2011 - 41%. -Failure to settle controversial issues - 2014 Scottish independence referendum didn't settle the matter. -Referendums over simplify complex debates. -Government manipulate timing and the questions in Referendums. -Voter manipulation - 2011 AV referendum used to punish Nick Clegg. -Political decisions should be left to elected representatives. -Referendums are extremely expensive
28
What is the sociological model?
Focuses on long-term factors such as social groups and social characteristics as the main influence on how individuals vote.
29
What is the party identification model?
Also focuses on the long-term factors, sees voters as psychologically attached to a particular parry, identifying with them and supporting them in spite of any short-term factors.
30
What is the rational choice model?
Focuses on short term models. The spatial model holds that voters will support the candidate who shares their positions divisive/salient political questions. The valance models assumes that voters places their vote on which party appears the most capable - they consider the party's leader, reputation, branding and the media coverage.
31
What are primacy factors affecting voter behaviour?
Region Class Gender Age Ethnicity.
32
What are recency factors affecting voter behaviour?
Key issues/policies/manifestos Performance in office. Leaders Image Media Coverage.
33
How does class affect voting behaviour?
-Recently we have seen class dealignment. -2017 general election saw a weak correlation in class.
34
What are the causes of class dealignment?
-Post-industrial society: recently the economy has undergone a transition from an industrial to a post-industrial economy. this has disrupted the stable alignment that traditional working class areas had with Labour. -Social Mobility: Psephologists argue that recent decades have seen a process of embourgeoisement - people are becoming more middle class. Centrist party policy: new parties have adopted centrist policies (New Labour ) and the number of floating voters increasing.
35
How does gender affect voting?
The 'Female' vote - both labour and conservatives have attempted to increase the number of female MPs - such as with the all women list. Historically - conservatives were more likely to have female support (housewives) and Labour were more likely to enjoy support from men (more likely to be unionised). - Recently there has been a reverse in the trend. Gender switch caused by the fact that some are more likely to be employed.
36
How does age affect voting behaviour?
-Younger voters more likely to vote labour. (more likely to favour equal distribution of wealth and liberal policies). Older voters: more likely to vote conservative - ride people more sceptical in creating an equal society.
37
What percentage of people who voted labour were 18-24?
56% 21% voted conservative.
38
How does ethnicity affect voting behaviour?
Ethnic minority voters - strongly aligned with labour. 82% of black voters , voted labour in 1997. Labour has history of supporting and advancing the rights of ethnic minorities - conservatives have long been associated with anti-immigration sentiment.
39
How does region affect voting behaviour?
North/South divide - labour support stronger in the north, conservative support stronger in the south. Urban areas more likely to vote labour. Wales - a traditional labour stronghold - currently led by Vaughan Gething. Scotland -- traditional labour stronghold, but has recently been dominated by the SNP since 2015.
40
2019 General election:
- Conservative win under Johnson. - age was the clearest factor with 56% of 18-24 voting lab and 67% of 70+ voting Con - class re-alignment with C2DE now voting Con - education also strong with educated voting Lab
41
How many seats changed hands in 2015 compared to 2019?
2015: 11 seats changed. 2019: 79 seats changed
42
What is the rational choice theory?
Emphasises the importance of regency factors, arguing that voters evaluate the options and make a conscious choice based on a range of factors.
43
What is the spatial model?
Holds that voters will support the candidate who shares their position on divisive political questions and so consider issues, manifesto and policies.
44
What is the valence model?
Assumes that voter base their vote more on which party appear more capable.
45
Who are positional voters?
Voters who decide how to vote by identifying which parties policies are most aligned with their views.
46
How can the results of the 2019 election be explained by explained with the spatial model?
Conservatives pledged to get Brexit done. Labour promised a second referendum on the UK's membership of the EU. Lib Dems pledged to revoke article 50.
47
2015: Cameron v Milliband v Clegg
Clegg was an electoral liability because of his support for raising tuition fees while in coalition with the conservatives. Miliband was portrayed as dangerous left-wing and geeky.
48
2017: May v Corbyn v Farron
May was criticised for her dull and uninspiring campaign -'Maybot' decided not to participate in a leadership debate. Corbyn credited with energising young voters with rallies and down to earth persona, his outsides status may have cost labour votes in the centre ground.
49
2019: Johnson v Corbyn v Swinson
Johnson and eccentric person was credited with winning voters. Corbyns reputation damaged with accusations of being anti-british, anti-semitic and sympathetic to IRA terrorists.
50
How important is print media in determining voting behaviour?
Most newspapers (owned by wealthy individuals e.g Rupert Murdoch) backs the conservatives. Labour only receives consistent support from the Guardian and Mirror. Recently newspaper readership has declined. 1992: 'It was the sun wot won it'. 1997: 'The sun backs Blair'.
51
How does Radio media affect voting behaviour?
2017: Labour's credibility over public finance was called into question when Dianne Abbot gave a muddled interview on LBC radio.
52
How does TV radio affect voting behaviour?
News Broadcasts and political party broadcast - can't be bought. All newsreaders are bound by law to be politically neutral. BBC accused of having a bias: 2019, Johnson avoided the scrutiny faced by every party leader in the Andrew Neil interviews.
53
How do TV debates affect voting behaviour?
Media often declare winners and loosers.
54
How does the online media affect voting behaviour?
-Parties use of social media unregulated.
55
How do opinion polls affect voting behaviour?
Polls encourage the bandwagon effect - undecided voters vote for the party which is predicted to win.
56
What is the direct affect theory?
The argument that the media directly determine voting behaviour. 1992: 'Its the sun wot won it'. The influence of Murdoch.
57
What is the agenda-setting theory?
Media influence which issues become salient thought their coverage. The media tends to focus on the economy. There was a strong focus on Brexit.
58
What is the framing theory?
Media presents leaders and issues in such a way as to influence voters choices - 2019 portrayal of Corbyn as anti-British and dangerously left-wing.
59
What is the political context of the 1979 election?
After winning narrowly in 1974 the Labour government led by Callaghan had lost its majority - the vote was triggered by a vote of no confidence. Election took place in the after math of the winter of discontent - a period of widespread strike action by pubic-sector workers. -Callaghan's government was accused of being hijacked by the far left. Thatchers conservatives were influenced by the ideology of the New Right.
60
What was the political context for the 1997 election?
Conservatives had been in power for 18 years. Majors conservatives had been rocked by a deep recession, bitter infighting regarding the EU (Maastricht Treaty) and sleaze scandals. Blair recognised the traditional working class was in decline and adopted third way labour centrist politics that were designed to appeal to middle class voters. Clause IV was amended.
61
What was the political context for the 2019 election?
Conservatives had been in power since 2010. Since 2016, there had been a deadlock over the issue of Brexit. Johnson had become PM in July 2019 but was unable to build any unity within his own party, let alone have parliament pass a Brexit deal.
62
What issues were the in the 1979 election?
The economy was in a poor state, high inflation growing unemployment and falling growth. Thatcher was the first female leader of a major party. Key issue was the power of Trade unions. The winter of discontent had caused serious disruptions.
63
What were the issues in the 1997 election?
Economy and suffered a depression recession. Public services appeared to be in decline. Conservatives were deeply divided regarding Britain's membership of the EU. Sleaze scandals such as the David Mellor affair.
64
What issues were there in the 2019 election?
The salient issue was Brexit. Brexit was divisive. Other issues of economy, NHS and education.
65
What were the policies and manifestos in the 1979 election?
Labour - Promised to control unions. Follow a moderate economic policy. Rejected more radical socialist policies favoured by the left wing of the party. Conservatives: Proposed a right to buy scheme for council house tenants. Tax cuts. Curtail the power of trade unions. Boost the economy and employment by swapping to free market economics.
66
What were the policies and manifestos in the 1997 election?
Conservatives: Pledged to continue with its economic polices which were leading Britain to an economic recovery following the recession in the early 1990s. Opposed devolution - argued it would lead to the break up of Britain. Labour: Proposed smaller class sizes. Fast track punishment for young offenders. Cut NHS waiting lists. Put 250,000 unemployed under 25 year olds to work. Income tax freeze. Devolution.
67
What were the policies and manifesto promises of the 2019 election?
Conservatives: Get Brexit done. Vote for the conservatives was a vote for Boris Johnson Brexit deal. Pledged no rises to income tax. 50,000 new nurses. Net zero by 2050. Labour: Renegotiated Brexit deal followed by a second referendum. Pledged massive investment in the public sector. End charitable status of private schools 10p/hr minimum wage. Nationalise key industries. Lib Dems: Revoke article 50. SNP: Promised IndyREf2
68
What was the influence of the media in the 1979 election?
-First modern general election - mass media paying a prominent role. Media focuses heavily on the leaders creating a presidential campaign. Sun switched support from Labour to conservatives, sun accused Callaghan with being out of touch with it Crisis.
69
What was the influece of the media in the 1997 election?
Following a meeting between Blair and Murdoch, The sun switched its support to the Labour Party - perhaps leading public opinion. 62% of the papers were pro-labour. New Labour had a proactive approach to media 'spin doctors' managed interactions with the media. Campaign was presidential - media attention focused heavily on Major and Blair. Media coverage of 'sleaze' scandals tarnished the conservative reputation.
70
What was the influence of the media in the 2019 election?
Print media took sides along typically lines. Both conservatives and labour spent money on YouTube and Facebook. Conservatives 'love actually' party election broadcast were broadcast on TV and YouTube and shared widely on social media. Analysis of online media showed significantly higher volumes go engagement with content from Corbyn rather than Johnson. The conservatives and labour worked together to exclude other parties from a leaders debate on ITV. Johnson declined to participate in other leaders debates', the only major party ro decline an intimation to be interviewed.
71
What were the results of the 1979 election?
-Decisive victory of conservatives with a majority of 43. - C2 voters were won over by the conservatives policies of right to buy. -Conservatives benefited from a mood for change following the winter of discontent. -Marked the beginning go the Thatcher-era and 18 years of conservative rule.
72
What were the results of the 1997 election?
Landslide victory for Labour. Campaign appeared to have little impact on results - seemed to have been determined by the recession of the early 1990s. Labour stayed in power for the next 13 years.
73
What were the results of the 2019 election?
Decisive victory for conservatives - 80 seat majority. Jeremy Corbyn resined in the wake of his defeat - replaced by Keir Starmer - brought labour back to the centre-ground. Lib dems won 11 seats - leader Jo Swinson loosing her seat. SNP dominated in Scotland, won 48/59 seats.
74
What was voting behaviour like in the 1979 election?
-All areas were swung by conservatives. -Conservatives dominated by ABC1 vote. -Conservatives won in every age group except for 18-24.
75
What was voting behaviour like in the 1997 election?
Labour made significant gains overall. Conservative were wiped out in Scotland, Wales and London. Labour dominated all age groups except 65+ Labour won the white vote and received support from BME voters.
76
What was voter behaviour like in 2019?
Conservatives omitted rural England and had significant success in red wall seats. Conservatives dominated across all social classes. Men were slightly more likely to vote conservative than women. At 39 years old people became more likely to vote conservative. Lab performed best amongst young and BAME voters.
77
What was the impact on policy in the 1979 election?
Thatchers majority allowed her to begin transforming Britain - privatised public industries and reduced union strikes. Thatchers policies became bolder when she won a landslide in 1983.
78
What was the impact on policy in the 1997 election?
Blairs huge majority called him to implement a wide range of policies: -Devolution -Removal of hereditary peers in the Lords. -The passing go the Human Right Act 1998. -The freedom of information act 2000 -introduction of a minimum wage.
79
What was the impact on policy in the 2019 election?
-80 seat majority gave Johnson a mandate to proceed with his Brexit deal - Uk left Eu on 31st January 2020. Political landscape was changed in 2020 because of covid-19.