Economics Flashcards

1
Q

What is economics?

A

study of how limited resources can best be used to fulfill unlimited human wants

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2
Q

Why worry about economics?

A
  • clinical trials & traditional scientific research describe the potential of various treatments or control programs to affect the biological aspects of disease
  • but, do the costs incurred by the treatment or control program justify the gains or returns?
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3
Q

what is the purpose of economics?

A
  • economics is a tool which utilizes both art & science
  • can be used to: (evaluate the past; quantify/describe the present; predict or plan for the future (least effective))
  • it does none of these perfectly!
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4
Q

What are economic projections?

A
  • economic projections are often imprecise & imperfect
  • but we need to understand a basic economic evaluation to help us & our clients plan for the future
  • economic analyses utilize “MODELS” to approximate reality
  • often need simplifying assumptions
  • are the assumptions realistic enough that the model is valid?
  • have we included all of the important variables or factors?
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5
Q

What effect does biological systems being “OPEN” systems have?

A
  • they involve many variables (often unknown) that can effect the outcome of any plan
  • degree of precision is often poor
  • however, even w/ imperfect info the order of magnitude can be helpful!
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6
Q

What is profit?

A

Profit = revenue - expenses
- challenge of an economic analysis is to determine the revenues & expenses

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7
Q

what are motivations?

A
  • profit
  • easy to focus on profit as an end pt
  • understandable
  • quantifiable units ($)
  • can compare several different aspects, enterprises, or industries
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8
Q

what about the fact that not everyone is motivated solely by profit?

A
  • economists realized this and came up w/ concept of UTILITY
  • everyone has a concept of what is “good” for us
  • abstract concept & not as easily measured as $ (security, peace, fun, lack of change, fulfillment)
  • reminds us that people dont respond only to monetary motivators
  • important in companion & human med
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9
Q

How does profit influence food animal producers?

A
  • profit is not necessarily a goal but a constraint
  • they pay attention to it & it’s necessary to survive
  • clients (& vets) often do financially stupid things b/c something else is more important to them
  • however, much of what is done is done to increase profits
  • often translated into increased production
  • note: production is only half the profit eqn
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10
Q

what is risk?

A
  • another aspect of producer behaviour
  • 2 basic aspects of risk
  • probability of harm
  • magnitude of bad outcome (severity of impact)
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11
Q

profit vs risk?

A
  • vx programs may not be profitable in the long term
  • however, they do minimize the chance of the “catastrophic outcome”
  • we may choose to minimize risk @ the expense of profit
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12
Q

Have the interventions being compared been shown to be clinically effective?

A
  • is there a valid clinical trial (or trials) behind the economic analysis?
  • can we trust the “biological” effectiveness that is being assumed?
  • chance, bias, randomization, blinding
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13
Q

Whose viewpoints are costs and benefits being considered from?

A
  • gov/industry?
  • farmer?
  • vet?
  • public health (ex: selective slaughter to control tuberculosis)
  • there is no right perspective, but it should be stated clearly
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14
Q

Was the “time value” of money considered?

A
  • money that we have now is worth more to us than money we will receive later
  • economic analyses that have a long “time horizon” need to take this into account
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15
Q

what is a time horizon?

A
  • time scale/limit w/in which an economic analysis is made
  • rarely “forever”
  • one of the most important assumptions of any economic analysis
  • the longer the horizon, the more difficult the analysis
    “time value of money” may need to be taken into account
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16
Q

what is the time value of money?

A
  • money in hand now is generally considered better than money that will be received later
  • usually use interest rates as a way of measuring the time value of money
  • future value = present value x (1 + interest rate) ^periods
17
Q

Was a sensitivity analysis done?

A
  • can i trust the precision of the numbers?
  • did the paper consider other possible scenarios?
  • changing an important cost or biological response to see how it affects the analysis
  • what if…?
  • best & worst case scenarios?
18
Q

do the numbers make sense?

A
  • does the conclusion make sense?
  • is it complete enough? (include the factors that are important)
  • does the information help make more productive decisions?