Economic Indicators Flashcards
Examples of leading indicators
Building approvals, share prices, business confidence
What is a leading indicator
Leading indicators change before a direction change in the business cycle becomes evident.
A leading economic indicator will increase before the level of economic activity actually increases.
They therefore predict trends in economic activity
What are coincident indicators
These indicators typically move in line with the overall economic activity, providing real-time insights into economic performance.
In other words they change simultaneously with economic activity.
Coincident Indicator Example
GDP, retail sales, job advertisements, household income.
Lagging Indicator
These indicators typically change after the economy has already begun to follow a particular trend, providing confirmation of the pattern and helping to validate the current state of the economy.
Lagging Indicators Example
Unemployment rate, wages, inflation rate
Countercyclical definition
A countercyclical indicator is one that decreases when the level of economic activity or business cycle increases or vice versa. Eg unemployment
Procyclical definition
A procyclical indicator is one that increases when the level of economic activity or business cycle increases.