Economic Indicators Flashcards

1
Q

What does Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measure?

A

The total value of all goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period.

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2
Q

Why is GDP important for investors?

A

To assess the overall health and growth potential of a country’s economy. A rising GDP often indicates a strong economy and potential investment opportunities.

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3
Q

What does the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure?

A

The average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

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4
Q

Why do investors pay attention to CPI?

A

To gauge inflation. High inflation can erode the purchasing power of money, affecting investment returns and strategies.

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5
Q

How do interest rates impact borrowing and spending?

A

Higher interest rates generally lead to increased borrowing costs, reducing consumer spending and business investment.

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6
Q

What does the Producer Price Index (PPI) measure?

A

The Producer Price Index measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services.

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6
Q

Why is PPI important for investors?

A

Investors monitor PPI as it provides insights into inflationary pressures at the producer level. Rising PPI may indicate potential future increases in consumer prices, affecting profit margins for businesses.

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6
Q

Why is Non-Farm Employment Change a key indicator for investors?

A

Investors closely watch Non-Farm Employment Change as it provides insights into the overall health of the U.S. labor market.

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7
Q

How is PPI different from the Consumer Price Index (CPI)?

A

While CPI measures the prices paid by consumers, PPI measures the prices received by producers. PPI focuses on the seller’s perspective, reflecting changes in input costs for businesses.

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7
Q

What does the term “Non-Farm Employment Change” refer to?

A

Non-Farm Employment Change represents the net change in the number of employed people in the U.S., excluding farm workers, government employees, and nonprofit organization employees.

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8
Q

What does JOLTS stand for, and what does it measure?

A

JOLTS stands for the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. It measures the number of job openings at the end of the month.

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9
Q

Why is the JOLTS Job Openings data important for investors?

A

JOLTS Job Openings data provides insights into the demand for labor. Investors use this information to assess the health of the job market, potential wage pressures, and overall economic conditions.

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10
Q

How do JOLTS Job Openings relate to unemployment rates?

A

JOLTS Job Openings complement unemployment rates by offering a forward-looking perspective. A high number of job openings may suggest increased hiring in the future, potentially impacting unemployment rates.

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11
Q

What does the Empire State Manufacturing Index measure?

A

The Empire State Manufacturing Index is a survey that measures the general business conditions of manufacturers in the New York Federal Reserve district.

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12
Q

How is the Empire State Manufacturing Index calculated, and what does a positive/negative reading indicate?

A

The index is calculated based on a survey of manufacturers regarding various business conditions. A positive reading suggests expansion, while a negative reading indicates contraction in manufacturing activity.

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13
Q

What does the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index measure?

A

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index measures the degree of optimism or pessimism of consumers regarding the state of the economy.

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14
Q

How is the Consumer Confidence Index calculated, and what components does it include?

A

The index is calculated based on consumer responses to surveys about current economic conditions and expectations for the future. Components include present situation index and expectations index.

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15
Q

Why is Consumer Confidence important for investors?

A

Consumer Confidence is crucial for investors as it reflects consumers’ willingness to spend. High confidence often leads to increased consumer spending, which can positively impact economic growth and corporate profits.

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16
Q

What is the Federal Funds Rate?

A

The Federal Funds Rate is the interest rate at which banks lend money to each other overnight in the Federal Reserve funds market.

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17
Q

How does the Federal Reserve influence the Federal Funds Rate?

A

The Federal Reserve influences the Federal Funds Rate through open market operations, adjusting the supply of money in the banking system to achieve its monetary policy objectives.

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18
Q

Why is the Federal Funds Rate important for investors?

A

Investors closely monitor the Federal Funds Rate as it serves as a benchmark for many other interest rates, influencing borrowing costs, investment decisions, and overall market conditions.

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19
Q

How can changes in the Federal Funds Rate impact financial markets?

A

A rate hike may lead to higher borrowing costs, impacting stocks and bonds. A rate cut, on the other hand, may stimulate economic activity and boost asset prices.

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20
Q

What does the term “Core Retail Sales” refer to?

A

Core Retail Sales represent the total value of retail sales excluding automobile and gasoline sales, providing a more accurate measure of consumer spending trends.

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21
Q

What does Retail Sales measure?

A

Retail Sales measures the total sales of goods and services by retail establishments, providing a snapshot of consumer spending patterns.

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22
Q

How is the Flash Manufacturing PMI different from the final PMI reading?

A

The Flash Manufacturing PMI is an initial, preliminary estimate released before the final PMI. It gives an early indication of manufacturing activity, while the final PMI provides a more comprehensive and accurate assessment.

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23
Q

What does the term “Industrial Production” refer to?

A

Industrial Production measures the output of the industrial sector, including manufacturing, mining, and utilities. It reflects the overall production and capacity utilization in the economy.

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24
Q

What does the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index measure?

A

The Philly Fed Manufacturing Index measures the general business conditions of the manufacturing sector in the Third Federal Reserve District, covering eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware.

25
Q

How is the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index calculated, and what range of values does it cover?

A

The index is based on a survey of manufacturers, and a positive reading indicates expansion, while a negative reading suggests contraction.

26
Q

What is the Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI) and how does it differ from the regular CPI?

A

Core CPI is a measure of inflation that excludes the volatile food and energy components. It provides a more stable view of underlying inflation trends compared to the overall Consumer Price Index (CPI).

27
Q

What is the Core Producer Price Index (Core PPI) and how does it differ from the overall PPI?

A

The Core PPI is a measure of inflation that excludes the volatile food and energy components from the overall Producer Price Index (PPI). It provides a more stable view of underlying inflation trends.

28
Q

What does the ISM Manufacturing PMI measure?

A

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) measures the overall health and performance of the manufacturing sector in the United States. It is based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

29
Q

What does the ISM Manufacturing Prices Index measure?

A

The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index measures the changes in prices paid by manufacturers for raw materials and inputs in the manufacturing sector.

30
Q

Why is the ISM Manufacturing Prices Index important for investors and businesses?

A

The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index is important for investors and businesses as it provides insights into inflationary pressures at the manufacturing level. Changes can impact production costs and profit margins.

31
Q

How is the Durable Goods Orders report significant for investors and economists?

A

The Durable Goods Orders report is significant as it provides insights into the health of the manufacturing sector and overall economic activity. It reflects business and consumer spending on long-lasting goods.

32
Q

What do Durable Goods Orders represent?

A

Durable Goods Orders represent new orders for goods with a lifespan of three years or more. This category includes items such as machinery, transportation equipment, and appliances.

33
Q

What is the “Core durable goods” exclude?

A

Transportation items

34
Q

The Chicago PMI measures the economic activity and business conditions in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors in the Chicago area. It is a regional Purchasing Managers’ Index.

A

The Chicago PMI measures the economic activity and business conditions in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors in the Chicago area. It is a regional Purchasing Managers’ Index.

35
Q

What does the Chicago PMI measure?

A

The Chicago Purchasing Managers’ index is based on a survey of purchasing managers and is calculated on a scale of 0 to 100. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in economic activity, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction.

36
Q

Why are New Home Sales considered an important economic indicator?

A

New Home Sales are considered important as they reflect consumer demand for newly constructed homes, providing insights into the health of the housing market and overall economic activity.

37
Q

What do New Home Sales measure?

A

New Home Sales measure the number of newly constructed homes that have been sold during a given time period. These homes are often sold directly by the builder or developer.

38
Q

What do Pending Home Sales measure?

A

Pending Home Sales measure the number of homes that have a signed contract to be sold but have not yet closed. It reflects the level of real estate activity in the market.

39
Q

How is the New Home Sales report compiled, and what does it include?

A

The report is compiled by surveying homebuilders and includes data on the number of new homes sold, the median sales price, and the inventory of unsold homes.

40
Q

Why are Pending Home Sales considered a leading indicator for the real estate market?

A

Pending Home Sales are considered a leading indicator because they represent contracts in progress, providing insight into future closed home sales. A rise or fall in pending sales can signal upcoming changes in market activity.

41
Q

What does PCE stand for?

A

Personal Consumption Expenditures

42
Q

What is the PCE Price Index?

A

The PCE Price Index is a measure of price changes in goods and services consumed by households. It is used by the U.S. government to gauge inflation and is a key indicator monitored by the Federal Reserve.

43
Q

How does the PCE Price Index differ from the Consumer Price Index (CPI)?

A

While both measure inflation, the PCE Price Index considers a broader range of expenditures and adjusts for changes in consumer behavior over time. The Federal Reserve often emphasizes the PCE when assessing inflation.

44
Q

In what ways can changes in the PCE Price Index impact interest rates?

A

Changes in the PCE Price Index can influence interest rates. If inflation is higher or lower than desired, central banks may adjust interest rates to achieve their inflation targets, impacting borrowing costs and investment decisions.

45
Q

How is the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change different from official government employment reports?

A

While official government reports, such as the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), cover a broader spectrum of employment including government jobs, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change focuses exclusively on the private sector.

46
Q

What does the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change measure?

A

The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change measures the monthly change in non-farm private employment based on payroll data processed by the ADP payroll processing company.

47
Q

How can changes in Average Hourly Earnings impact consumer spending and the economy?

A

Changes in Average Hourly Earnings can impact consumer spending. Higher earnings may lead to increased disposable income and consumer spending, which can contribute to economic growth. Conversely, stagnant or declining earnings may impact consumer confidence and spending.

48
Q

What do Building Permits represent?

A

Building Permits are official approvals granted by local government authorities that allow individuals or businesses to construct or renovate buildings.

49
Q

Why are Building Permits considered a leading economic indicator?

A

Building Permits are considered a leading indicator because they signal the intent to begin construction in the future.

50
Q

In what ways can changes in Building Permits impact economic conditions?

A

An increase may lead to job creation in the construction industry, stimulating economic growth.

51
Q

What do Existing Home Sales measure?

A

Existing Home Sales measure the number of completed transactions for previously owned homes, including single-family homes, condominiums, and co-ops.

52
Q

Who produces existing home sales reports and what data do they provide?

A

These sales are reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) based on multiple listing services (MLS) and county recorder offices. It provides data on the number of homes sold, median home prices, and inventory levels.

53
Q

What is the World Economic Forum?

A

The World Economic Forum (WEF) is an international organization known for its annual meetings in Davos, Switzerland. It brings together leaders from business, government, academia, and civil society to discuss and collaborate on global economic and societal issues.

54
Q

What do Crude Oil Inventories represent?

A

Crude Oil Inventories measure the total amount of crude oil held in storage at various points in the supply chain, including refineries, pipelines, and storage facilities. It is a key indicator of supply and demand dynamics in the oil market.

55
Q

How are Crude Oil Inventories reported, and how often is this data released?

A

Crude Oil Inventories are reported weekly by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The report provides data on the change in the stockpile of crude oil, helping market participants assess market conditions.

56
Q

How can shifts in Crude Oil Inventories influence financial markets?

A

An increase in inventories may indicate oversupply and pressure prices downward, while a decrease may signal increased demand and potentially lead to higher prices.

57
Q

What do Wholesale Inventories represent?

A

Wholesale Inventories measure the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers. It includes goods intended for sale and those in the production process.

58
Q

How can shifts in Wholesale Inventories influence financial markets?

A

Increasing inventories may suggest slowing demand and economic challenges, potentially affecting related industries and stock prices.

59
Q

How is Consumer Credit measured, and how frequently is this data reported?

A

Consumer Credit is measured by tracking the total outstanding debt owed by individuals. The data is reported monthly by the Federal Reserve in the U.S., providing insights into the borrowing behavior of consumers.

60
Q

What does the term “Consumer Credit” refer to?

A

Consumer Credit refers to the total amount of money that individuals borrow to make purchases, excluding mortgages. It includes credit card debt, auto loans, and other forms of personal debt.

61
Q

What does the term “Trade Balance” refer to?

A

The Trade Balance represents the difference between the value of a country’s exports and its imports of goods and services. A positive balance (surplus) occurs when exports exceed imports, and a negative balance (deficit) occurs when imports exceed exports.

62
Q

How can shifts in the Trade Balance influence financial markets and international trade policies?

A

Shifts in the Trade Balance can influence financial markets. A trade surplus may strengthen a country’s currency, while a deficit may weaken it. Policymakers may use trade balance data to assess the need for trade policies or interventions.