Economic growth and cycle Flashcards
What diagrams can be used to show short run economic growth?
AD/AS (Keynesian or Classical) and PPF (moves closer to boundary)
Factors that cause economic growth in the short run
Changes in interest rates, fiscal policy changes, commodity prices, currency changes affect export and import demand, trading in other countries, business and consumer confidence
What diagrams can be used to show long run economic growth?
AD/AS (Keynesian or Classical) using vertical LRAS and PPF (outward shift)
Factors that cause long run economic growth
Investment, productivity, labour supply, research and development, innovation, enterprise
Advantages of export led growth
- injection into the circular flow of income→ ad and output→ raises per capita incomes and reduces extreme poverty
- revenues and profits for businesses→ increased capital investment spending through the accelerator effect→ increases countries productive capacity
Potential drawbacks from export led growth
- over dependence on economic cycles of trade partner countries and vulnerability to external shocks
- rapid growth could lead to demand pull inflation and higher interest rates so less competitive
- perhaps unsustainable extraction of natural resources
Output gap
Difference between the actual level of GDP and its estimated potential level
Boom
Rate of growth of real GDP is higher than long-term trend
Slow down
Weakening of the rate of growth, real GDP is still rising
Recession
At least 6 months fall in aggregate output, employment, investment, confidence
Recovery
Phase after recession where real GDP starts to increase and unemployment fall
Depression
Prolonged downturn where a Nation’s GDP falls by at least 10%
Hysteresis
With a recession there is a big risk of a permanent loss of national output.
Loss of productive capacity due to low capital investment and business closures.
High rates of structural unemployment may cause a shrinking labour force perhaps through outward migration or discouraged workers.
Creative destruction
After a recession capitalist market economies usually bounce back.
Emergence of new business models and an increase in startups.
New technologies act as a catalyst for renewed economic growth and investment.
Attractive policies for inward fdi
Low corporation tax, trade agreements, flexible labour markets, high quality infrastructure, availability of low cost labour