Economic Factors Flashcards

1
Q

Business cycle

A

recurring pattern of four phases of economic activity

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2
Q

business cycle - expansion (growth/recovery)

A

characterized by an increase in business activity, production, demand and employment
money is borrowed to further expansion causing interest rates to rise

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3
Q

business cycle - peak

A

characterized by demand rising over supply for goods and services resulting in inflation
with rise of prices, demand slows

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4
Q

business cycle - contraction (decline/recession)

A

decreased demand results in increasing unemployment which futhers the decrease in demand. inflation will typically slow and then deflate

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5
Q

business cycle - trough

A

bottom of the economic decline

eventually, decreased prices stimulate demand and the economy will experience a period of recovery and expansion

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6
Q

recession

A

when real GDP declines for two consecutive quarters

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7
Q

depression

A

extended and severe decline in economic activity

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8
Q

fiscal policy

A

adjustment of government spending through tax rates, interest rates, and government spending in order to control the economy
controlled by president and congress

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9
Q

monetary policy

A

adjustment of supply of money and credit, which affects interest rates, in order to control the economy, inflation specifically
controlled by FRB

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10
Q

Keynesian economic theory

A

states that economic intervention by government is necessary to sustain growth and stability
counter crises by increasing government deficit spending

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11
Q

criticism of keynes

A

created long-term deficit spending and unintended consequences of government interference

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12
Q

supply-side economics

A

stress reduced taxes and government to promote economic growth
smaller government requires less tax money and lower tax rates leave people with more money to spend and invest, stimulating economic activity

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13
Q

Leading indicators

A

indicators that change before an upward or downward trend in the economy
used to predict trends in economic activity in the near future

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14
Q

coincident indicators

A

change simultaneously with economic trends and mirror current state of economic activity

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15
Q

lagging indicators

A

change after an upward or downward trend in the economy and confirm long-term trends in economic activity

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16
Q

inflation

A

rate at which the general level of prices is rising and therefore, purchasing power is falling
occurs when demand for goods and services rises faster than the supply of goods and services

17
Q

deflation

A

rate at which the general level of prices is declining
exists when the supply for goods and services is greater than the demand for goods and services and therefore prices are lowered to account for limited demand

18
Q

stagflation

A

extended period where stagnation (slow economic growth and unemployment) is accompanied with inflation
relatively infrequent because high unemployment is usually characterized by low inflation or deflation and low unemployment is usually characterized by increasing inflation

19
Q

GDP

A

economic measure of the monetary value of all goods and services produced by labor and property within a country’s borders regardless of producer origin
used to gauge a nation’s economic health and standard of living
increases indicate economic growth and potential inflation

20
Q

3 Components of balance of payments

A

current account, capital account, financial account

21
Q

balance of payment - current account

A

flow of goods and services

22
Q

balance of payment - capital account

A

transfers of capital

23
Q

balance of payment - financial account

A

investment inflows and outflows

24
Q

inflation or purchasing-power risk

A

risk that the inflation rate will be higher than the interest rate that a bondholder receives over the life of the bond

25
interest rate risk
inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates when interest rates drop then prices of stocks and bonds tend to rise and vice versa bonds with longer maturities and lower coupons are more volatile in price than those with shorter maturities and larger coupon payments
26
reinvestment risk
risk that future distributions of interest and principal will have to be reinvested at a lower rate or return
27
financial risk
the uncertainty arising from the cap structure of the firm
28
liquidity risk
liquidity is the ease of selling a security without incurring a significant price impact liquidity is measured by the difference between the bid an dask price, and a large difference implies an illiquid market
29
business risk
unique to the operations and markets in which each firm operates
30
market risk
being in the market at the wrong time
31
regulatory risk
risk that a change in laws, rules, or regulations will negatively affect an investment
32
3 types of exposure to exchange rate risk
transaction exposure, translation exposure, economic exposure
33
exposure to exchange rate risk - transaction exposure
risk surrounding the amount of domestic currency that will be received when transferring funds from a fogeign currency
34
exposure to exchange rate risk - translation exposure
reporting risk for foreign divisions or assets when translated to the domestic currency for consolidated financials
35
exposure to exchange rate risk - economic exposure
effect that exchange rate movements have on the competitiveness, exports, imports, and other economic impacts of the firm