Economic Cycle Flashcards

1
Q

Characteristics of a boom

A
High consumption
High demand for capital goods
High employment and real wages
High demand for imports
High tax revenue 
High inflationary pressure
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2
Q

Characteristics of recession

A
Rising unemployment
Rising business failure
Shortage of investment and profits
Declining confidence
Excess stock + heavy de-stocking
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3
Q

4 Recovery policies

A

Cut IR
high government borrowing
QE
Expand money supply

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4
Q

Causes of cycle

A
Speculative bubbles 
Changes in inventories
Political motives
External shocks
Multiplier/accelerator effect
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5
Q

Speculative bubbles?

A

Spikes in asset prices caused by exaggerated expectations

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6
Q

Changes in inventories?

A

Demand growing below expectations can create excess stock causing firms to cut output below initial demand fall and prices to deflate

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7
Q

Political parties?

A

Can engineer a boom (1980 Lawson Boom created by low IR and ER)

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8
Q

External shocks?

A

Demand or supply side factor can have knock on effect

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9
Q

Multiplier/Accelerator?

A

Can lead to rapid recovery, speculation or changes in inventories

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10
Q

Demand side shocks

A
Household spending shocks
Credit liquidity availability shocks
Wealth shocks
Investment spending shocks
Government finance shocks (Iraq war)
Export/import shock
Policy shocks
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11
Q

Causes of growth

A

Technology/innovation
Specialisation + productivity increases
Increased labour force
Raw material discovery

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12
Q

Causes of decline

A

Resources run out
Low investment
Natural disaster
Erosion of infastructure

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13
Q

Government controls on growth

A

Monetary policy
Fiscal policy
Supply-side policy

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14
Q

Benefits of growth

A
Higher incomes
Tax revenue 
Employment
Less government borrowing
Better public services
Money spent on environment + correcting negative externalities
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15
Q

Consequences of growth

A
Inflation
Current account deficit
Environmental costs
Boom bust cycles
Inequalities
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16
Q

Supply side shocks

A
Wage levels (Minimum wage rise to £7.20)
Commodity prices (Oil price drops)
Taxation
Subsidies
Invention and innovation
Labour migration (migration crisis)