eco essays Flashcards
IMF
$250b injection after GFC
WTO
Uruguay round 1986 increased global trade by 3%
Doha round 2001 incomplete
World Bank
$157b pandemic surge to repair developing nations, raised 600m people out of poverty
EU & USMCA
increased tech and labour mobility
trade diversion due to exclusivity bad
16.5% of GWP
G7 & G20
cancelled $100b in multilateral debt
lack effectiveness in covid
Trade flows
349 FTAs in force as of 2021
trade is 58% of GWP
financial flows
derivatives are $109t, 128% GDP
allows for interdependence of nations
TNCs
transfer or money, skills, tech
employ 80m people worldwide
tech, transport, communication
containerisation risen by 720% since 2012
4.6b people with internet access
Intl. div. labour
272m migrants worldwide
Trade comp in Aus
mining >50% X, agriculture 13% from 80% in 1980s
40% of M is capital goods, manufactured goods are 12% of M
Trade value
X accounts for 24% of GDP in 2020 from 12% in 1980
china-aus trade war reduce GDP in aus by 1%
trade direction
shift from eu to asian
Usa from 22% of X to 5.3%
shift to complementary ecos, China wants LNG, X with China doubled from 75b to 150b in 2020
financial direction
predominantly from us, uk, belgium, japan
australia invests 28% into usa and 16% into uk
financial comp. and value
shift from FDI to FPI
2.54t outflows in 2018 from 326b in 1991
2000s MIB, LNG boom recently
structural cause of CAD
Savings investment gap
aus endowments, largest coal ore reserves, 3rd largest coal reserves, low population
recent CAS driven by LNG X
pitchford thesis
CAD is sustainable, 80% of NFD owned by private sector
29 years of consecutive growth shows CAD is sustainable
Debt-trap cycle
Australia’s persistent CAD led NFL to remain high, forces investment to be spent on servicing costs of previous debt, cycles, causes decreased ability to invest in large scale capital projects for LT growth
Fiscal consolidation
twin deficit theorem, however FP cannot address underlying issue of private savings
national competition policy
decreased monopolisation yields competitive equilibrium due to threat of new entrants, technical efficiency achievements, increased AS
MB2
MB boosted household disposable income by 13% over decade to 2013, lead to appreciation of dollar
Restructuring eco (2013-19)
MB two speed economy harmed intl comp of manufacturing industries (dutch disease). closure of PMV 2015, M From japan, AUD supply rises, Gillard gov. shift to sustainable X services
RBA reduction of CR from 4.75 to 3% 2011-15
US-CHINA trade war
rise in global protection, global growth fell from 4.31% in 2010 to 2.3% in 2019 according to IMF
COVID
strangled domestic supply and investment
High household savings ratio reduced need for inbound investment and AUD demand, went to US$0.58 in March 2020