EBM Final Flashcards
What is the null hypothesis?
There is no significant difference between the groups being compared
What is the p-value?
The probability of obtaining the observed result (or one more extreme) if the null hypothesis were true
What is a confidence interval?
Quantifies the uncertainty in measurement - range of values in which we can be 95% confident that the true value for the population lies.
What is Type I error? (alpha)
The probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. (False positive)
What is Type II error? (beta)
The probability of accepting the null hypothesis when it is actually false. (False negative)
What is “intention to treat” analysis?
We analyze outcomes based on the initial randomization, regardless of whether patient received the treatment or crossed over
What is relative risk and when is it used?
The ratio of risks between an experimental and control group. Used in cohort and RCT studies.
What is absolute risk reduction?
The absolute difference between the exposed (experimental) group and the unexposed (control) group. It is used to estimate number needed to treat.
What is the relative risk reduction?
The proportion of baseline risk reduced by the intervention (absolute risk reduction/absolute risk in control population).
How do you calculate the number needed to treat?
1/absolute risk reduction
How do you calculate the number needed to harm?
1/absolute risk increase
What is the sensitivity?
The probability of a positive test in people with the disease
What is the specificity?
The probability of a negative result in people without the disease
What is the positive predictive value?
The proportion of people who test positive who truly have the disease
What is the negative predictive value?
The proportion of people who test negative who truly do not have the disease
What is the likelihood ratio of a positive test?
The probability of an abnormal result in the population with the disease divided by the probability of that abnormal result in the population without the disease. A positive likelihood ratio of 6 means that the test result is 6 times more likely to occur in a patient with the disease than a patient without the disease.
How do you calculate the likelihood ratio of a positive test?
LR+ = sensitivity/(1-specificity)
How do you calculate the likelihood ratio of a negative test?
The probability of a normal result in the population without the disease divided by the probability of that normal result in the population with the disease.
How do you calculate the likelihood ratio of a negative test?
LR- = (1-sensitivity)/specificity
What is censoring?
In RCTs, it means that the duration of follow up is not the same in all surviving subjects, either because some were lost to follow up or because the study ended. Survival methods (like Kaplan Meier curves, log-rank tests, Cox models, etc) take censoring into account when comparing two groups.
What is a Kaplan-Meier curve?
It’s a survival curve that begins at 100% and plots the cumulative probability of survival in each study arm over time.
What is a Cox proportional Hazards Model?
Analyzes time-to-event data, comparing hazard functions between arms. Hazard = risk per unit time. It applies the principle of censoring and allows adjustment for potential confounders
What is a case-control study?
A study that examines associations between exposure and outcome by sampling subjects with the desired outcome and comparing them to those without the outcome. Most important concern is bias (particularly recall bias).
What is a Phase I trial?
Phase I: Researchers test a new drug or treatment in a small group of people for the first time to evaluate its safety, determine a safe dosage range, and identify side effects.
What is a Phase II trial?
Phase II: The drug or treatment is given to a larger group of people to see if it is effective and to further evaluate its safety.
What is a Phase III trial?
Phase III: The drug or treatment is given to large groups of people to confirm its effectiveness, monitor side effects, compare it to commonly used treatments, and collect information that will allow the drug or treatment to be used safely.