Discrete Probablity Distribution Flashcards
What is a Discrete probability distirbution?
A table or formula listing all possible values that a discrete r.v. can take, together with the associated probabilities
How is the central tendency of a discrete probability distribution described?
- Expected value or mean of a discrete random variable, X, which takes on values x with probability p(xi) is:
- µ = E(X) = [Σall xi] xi * p(xi)
What are the rules for expectation?
- E(c) = c
- E(cX) = cE(X)
- E(X-Y) = E(X) - E(Y)
- E(X + Y) = E(X) + E(Y)
- E(XY) = E(X) * E(Y) only if X & Y are independent
How is the variance of a discrete probability distribution described?
- σ^2 = E[ (X - µ)^2 ]
- Expected value of the square distance from the mean
- σ^2 =Σall-xi [ x^2 * p(xi) ] - µ^2
What are marginal distribution functions?
- For example, P(X=1) = p(1,0) + p(1,1) + p(1,2)
- In general, marginal distribution of X is given by
- p(x) = P(X = x) = Σ p(x,y)
- Must be drawn as separate table
How is independence of random variable’s ascertained?
- If independent, then the joint probability (probability of the intersection) will be equal to the product of the marginal probabilities (row value x column value = cell value then independent)
- If random variables X & Y are independent, then:
- P(X=x and Y=x) = P(X = x) * P(Y=y)
- p(x,y) = px(x) * py(y)
What is the covariance of a discrete probably distribution?
- Measures how the random variable move together
- If move together in same direction: +, if opposite: -
What is the correlation coefficient of a discrete probability distribution?
- Correlation coefficient
- Associated with covariance
- ? = (cov (X,Y)) / σx σy
- 1 ≤ ? ≤1
- If X and Y are uncorrelated, does not mean independence
- If X and Y are independent, they will always have 0 correlation
What are the properties of a binomial experiment?
- A fixed number of trials, n
- Two possible outcomes for each trial, labelled success and failure
- Probability of success is p, probability of failure is (1-p)
- Trials are independent - any outcome of one trial does not affect the outcomes of any other trials
What is a binomial random variable?
The binomial random variable is defined as the number of “successes” in the n trials
What does nCk mean?
the number of ways to arrange k things out of n things, without regard to order (when the k things are identical)
How do we notate Combinations?
- If X is a binomial random variable with n trials and p is the
probability of success in each trial, and we are interested in counting up the number of successes in those n trials, if X is number of successes then we write X~Bin(n,p) - P(X=k) when X~Bin(n,p) means the probability that we will have k successes and (n-k) failures; we know how many ways we arrange those successes and failures
What good is the binomial formula?
Given any number of trials, we can find the probability of observing k successes so long as we know the probability of success in each trial
What are the mean and variance of a binomial distribution?
- If X~Bin(n,p), then it can be shown that
- µx = E(X) = np
- Infinitely long run average
- σ2x = np(1-p)
- Std.Dev square root
- Biggest variance we can get is with p = 0.5
What is important about the binomial tables?
Cannot interpolate! Only use tables is exact n and p are available