Discrete Probability Flashcards
What is the sample space?
The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
What is the size of the sample space?
The amount of possible outcomes - e.g. 4 for flipping a coin twice.
What is P(A U notA)?
1, as it is P(omega)
What is a finite discrete probability space?
(omega, P) - a finite set of outcomes w, called a sample space, omega, with a function P: omega -> R mapping the outcomes to a real number.
What is P(A∩B) for independent events in a finite discrete prob. space?
P(A)P(B) assuming independence.
What is the general formula for P(AUB)?
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
What does P(B|A) mean?
The probability of B happening given that A has already occurred. P(A) != 0
What is the formula for P(B|A)?
P(B|A) = P(B ∩ A) / P(A)
What is Bayes’ formula?
P(B|A) = P(A|B)P(B) / P(A)
What is the expansion of Bayes’ rule?
P(B|A) = P(A|B)P(B) / (P(A|B)P(B) + P(A|notB)P(notB))
How can Bayes’ rule prove independence?
A and B are independent if any of these three hold:
P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B)
P(B|A) = P(B)
P(A|B) = P(A)