Discounted Dividend Valuation Flashcards
One-Period DDM
V0 = (D1 + P1) / (1+r)
Two-Period DDM
V0 = D1 / (1+r)^1 + (D2 + P2) / (1+r)^2
Multi-Period DDM
V0 = D1 / (1+r)^1 + D2 / (1+r)^2 + … + (Dn + Pn) / (1+r)^n
Gordon Growth Model
Assumes dividends increase at constant rate indefinitely
Gordon Growth Model
V0 = D0 * (1+g) / (r -g) = D1 / (r-g)
Present Value of Growth Opportunities (PVGO)
Two sources of value:
a) present value of future dividends (with no growth
(b) present value of growth opportunities (PVGO)
PVGO
V0 = (E / r) + PVGO
Justified LEADING PE
Leading PE = P0 / E1 = (D1/E1) / (r-g) = ( 1 - b ) / ( r - g )
Justified TRAILING PE
Trailing PE = P0 / E0 = [ [ D0 * (1+g) ] / E0 ] / (r - g) = (1-b)* (1+g) / ( r - g )
b
retention ratio
1 - b
dividend payout ratio
Value of Perpetual Preferred Shares
V0 = Dp / rp
Valuation using Two-Stage Model
V0 = [ SUM[ (D0 * (1+gs)^t) / (1+r)^t ] + D0*( (1+gs)^n * (1+gl) ) / (1+r)^n * (r -gl)
where:
gs = short term growth rate
gl = long term growth rate
n = length of high-growth period
Valuation using H-Model
V0 = D0 * (1+gl) / (r-gl) + D0 * H * (gs - gl) / (r-gl)
where:
H = (t/2) = half-life of high-growth period
Calculating required return on equity (GGM)
r = (D1 / P0) + g
dividend yield + growth rate