Derive Flashcards
WHat is the forward price?
The price you’re going to sell something for in the future
@ expiration, what is the formula for the value of a Short position forward contract?
Value = Forward price - market price
I was going to buy it for the forward price, minus what it is actually worth
WHat are some of the rules of derivative arb trading?
Never use your own money, do not take price risk, sell a forward contract, discount expected profit to review it today
What is carry>
Buying an instrubment and the forward
Explain the simple version of derivative trade when the future spot price = current spot rice + risk free rate
First, buy the instrument using borrowed money. Then sell the instrument in one period using to get the intiaul investment + the risk free rate. You then gotta pay back the money you borrowed, so minus the inital investment and risk free rate
What should the profit be if future spot prices = current + risk free rate
0
How do you profit if a forward price is OVER the spot price plus risk free rate
In these situations, you have to borrow against the profit you are going to make. So if the forward price is 110, and the spot price in one year will be 109, you discount that 1$ by the risk free rate, and you get that upfront, as profit today.
Not a question, but think of all this like a term deposit, if the forward price of the cash you would receive on a 100$ deposit @ 2% is 103, you could SELL that option to someone to get that 103 in the future, but only end up paying 102. Easy
See question
If the spot price at T+.25 is 101, when there is a 10% r, is there value to a forward contract in one year @ 110. What is the process to work this out?
No, you would have to product that 101 by 1+r ^.75, then subtract that by the forward price. Then discount BACK to that T+.25 to get the value then
Why would you want to pay for a forward contact above that of the market price
Is the carry cost paying interest, or recieving interest?
Paying
Do you add or subtract the value of dividends/positive cash flows from the value of the spot price to determine the future price? And why
Subtract that. The dividends are not enjoyed by the long side, the person taking the forward price - he should be compensated for not getting those divs, so the forward price is lowered.
Formula for continuous compounding Forward price and when we we use it?
Spot 0 e^(r-div)*T
The continuous formula is used for indexes like SP500 when the dividends could come in everyday
How to find forward price on an equity contract?
Forward price = (Spot price - PV of Divs ) * 1+r^T
If you wanted to find the value of a forward contract at some point prior to expiration, what is the formula, and what does it mean?
Forward value= (Spot price t - PV of Divs ) - (Future Price / (1+r)^(T-t)
This is finding the spot price at a given moment, then subtracting the present value of the future price
LIBOR is quoted on how many days a year?
360
Equity and bonds are quoted on how many days a year?
365
Does the long or short party recieve the underlying instrument at expriation?
The long party.
If interest rates increase, what happens to the price of the forward contract. What happens if divs/cash flows increase?
It increases as well. If divs increase, the value decreases
What happens if the market price of a forward is below that which you calculate? How would you benefit? Explain
A reverse cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy is only worthwhile if the futures price is cheap relative to the spot price of the asset. Reverse cash-and-carry arbitrage is a market-neutral strategy combining a short position in an asset and a long futures position in that same asset. Its goal is to exploit pricing inefficiencies between that asset’s cash, or spot, price and the corresponding future’s price to generate riskless profits.
If the market price is ABOVE the real forward price, is there a cash and carry or reverse cash and carry situation?
Normal. The futures contract must be theoretically expensive relative to the underlying asset or the arbitrage will not be profitable. It combines the purchase of a long position in an asset such as a stock or commodity, and the sale (short) of a position in a futures contract on that same underlying asset.
Does the long party revieve fixed or floating payments in a LIBOR FRA?
Floating
Do we quote in dirty or clean price? What do they mean and formula
Dirty price which includes accrued interest. Days since last pmt/days in period * pmt
At the end of the forward, who gives the underlying over?
The long party
Why would someone enter in a forward rate agreement?
They think interest rates will go up
Explain the process of a forward rate agreement IF interest rates rise?
So, you enter into an agreement with your bank to pay a loan of 5% in 60 days. In 60 days the loan starts, but interest rates have increased to 6%. So that means you still have to pay the bank back the loan at 6%, expect, the bank gives you the 1% difference discounted at 6%.
For FRA, what does the X . Y mean. Eg, a loan for 2x6
That means the FRA loan will start in 2 30 day periods, and will last for 4 months beyond that (6 months total)
What does cheapest to deliver mean? And what does it mean for the forward buyer
Since many bonds can fit the criteria of one tied to a forward agreement, you pick the one that is cheapest to deliver. It means that the forward buyer does not have to pay the orginal forward price, but pays the forward price times the conversion factor of the underyling bond
What is the price of the underlying future formula with accrued interest?
It is the clean price of the bond (1+r) - accured interest - coupons