Demographics and Statistics Flashcards
Dangers to clear thinking
- Hindsight bias
- False consensus
Confirmation bias
The tendency to search for data that can confirm our beliefs, as opposed to looking for data that might challenge those beliefs.
Observation bias
Making unconscious conclusions in identifying or selecting observations
Perceive order in chance
Random events often assign undue significance
Fixation
- Inability to see a problem from a different perspective OR
- Locked into one opinion/solution/cause
Illusory correlations
Often perceive a connection between 2 variables that doesn´t exist
Fooled by “framing”
The way an issue is posed can significantly affect judgments
Fundamental attribution bias
The tendency to over-value personality or disposition-based explanations rather than situational explanations for the observed behavior
This does not happen when we evaluate our own behaviors
Cause of the bias - Just world phenomenon
The belief that people get what they deserve and deserve what they get
Satisfies our need to believe that the world is fair and that we have control over our life
Cause of the bias - Salience of the actor
When we observe other people, we identify causes that can be observed – (i.e. The perceived character of others (observed), not their specific situations (unseen)
Cause of the bias - Lack of effortful adjustment
We do not equate behavioral and situational information simultaneously; we need to make a deliberate and conscious effort to consider the situational constraints/forces
Fertility rate
Fertility rate Fertility rate is the average number of children a woman will have in her lifetime.
Replacement level
Replacement level or rate is the number of children every woman would need to have to ensure the population replaces itself. In Canada, it is estimated that a replacement level of 2.1 children per woman is required.
Natural increase
Natural increase is the change in population between two points in time, calculated by subtracting the number of deaths from the number of births. The natural increase largely depends on the fertility rate.
What is fertility
Actual reproduction