demand forecasting Flashcards
demand forecasting
essential for initiating all operation activities, influencing cash flow, inventory, capacity design, production plans, staffing, purchasing, subcontracting, and transportation
importance of demand forecasting
often underestimated; differs from sales forecasting, tool that informs inventory and operational strategies rather than an endpoint
forecasting challanges
- Forecasts are inherently inaccurate; understanding the extent and direction of errors is crucial
- Future forecasts tend to have greater error margins
over-forecasting
can lead to excessive inventory, high storage costs, losses on unsold products, obsolescence, and inefficient raw materials, and increased costs from subcontracting and overtime
under-forecasting
can result In stock shortages, lost orders, poor customer relationships, production halts due to insufficient raw materials, and increased costs from subcontracting and overtime
SKU management
consideration of whether consistent forecasting practises apply to all SKUs and how to prioritize them strategically is necessary
annual monetary volume
(annual demand) x (unit cost)