Definitions Flashcards
Climate change
A change in the state of the climate that can be identified by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties, and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer.
Due to internal processes or external forcings:
- Modulations of the solar cycles
- Volcanic eruptions
- Anthropogenic impacts on the atmosphere
UNFCCC: A change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods.
Impacts
- Effects on natural and human systems of extreme weather and climate events and of climate change.
- Effects on lives, livelihoods, health, ecosystems, economics, societies, cultures, services and infrastructure.
- Due to the interaction of climate change or hazardous climate events occurring within a specific time period and the vulnerability of an exposed society or system.
- Also referred to as consequences or outcomes.
Hazard
The potential occurrence of an event or trend or impact that may:
- Cause loss of life, injury, or other health impacts
- Damage and loss to property, infrastructure, livelihoods, service provisions, ecosystems and environmental resources
Exposure
The presence of something (e.g. people, livelihoods, species or ecosystems, environmental functions, services and resources, infrastructure or economic, social or cultural assets) in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
Nature and degree to which a system experiences environmental or socio-political stress.
Vulnerability
The propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected:
- Sensitivity or susceptibility to harm
- Lack of capacity to cope and adapt
It has a predictive quality. Therefore in terms of human security, is different to poverty, which is a measure of the current state.
Risk
- The potential for consequences where something of value is at stake and where the outcome is uncertain.
- Probability of occurrence of a hazardous event/trend * impact of event/trend
- Interaction of vulnerability, exposure and hazard
Adaptation
Process of adjustment to actual or expected climate change and its effects:
- Seeks to moderate or avoid harm or exploit beneficial opportunities
- May facilitate adjustment to expected climate and its effects
- Incremental adaptation - adaptation actions where the central aim is to maintain the fundamental attributes of a system or process at a given scale
- Transformational adaptation - adaptation that changes the fundamental attributes of a human or natural system
Resilience
Capacity or social, economic and environmental states to cope with a hazardous event/trend/disturbance, responding or reorganising in ways that maintain their essential function, identity and structure, whilst also maintaining the capacity for adaptation, learning and transformation.
Evidence and communication
- Defined, calibrated language that communicates the strength of scientific understanding, including uncertainties and areas of disagreement.
- Each finding is supported by a ‘traceable’ account of the evaluation of evidence and agreement,
e. g. adaptation has emerged as a central area in climate change research, in country level planning and in implementation of climate change strategies (high confidence)
Detection of impacts
Evidence for whether a system is changing
Attribution of impacts
Magnitude of contribution of climate change to a change in a system
Motivation for assessing observed impacts?
Indication of potential future impacts
What are we trying to achieve (UNFCCC)?
Stabilisation of GHG emissions to prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Achieved within a timeframe that allows systems to adapt naturally, ensure food production is not threatened and economic development can occur in a sustainable manner.
Key risk
- One that has potentially severe consequences due to high hazard or high vulnerability.
- Large magnitude, high likelihood, near term, irreversibility, persistence, limited risk reduction options.
- Warrants particular attention by policymakers
Kay vulnerability
- Potential to combine with a hazardous event or trend to result in a key risk
- Warrants particular attention by policymakers