Decision Making & Communication Flashcards
1
Q
What is the rational choice paradigm? What are the two key elements of rational choice?
A
- effective decision makers identify, select, and apply the best possible alternative
Two key elements of rational choice
- Subjective expected utility – determines choice with highest value (maximization)
- Decision making process – systematic application of stages of decision making
2
Q
Six Steps of the Rational Choice Decision Process
A
- Identify the problem or opportunity
- Choose the best decision process.
- Develop alternative solutions
- Choose the best alternative
- Implement the selected alternative
- Evaluate decision outcomes
3
Q
What are the problems with the rational choice paradigm?
A
- people have difficulty recognizing problems
- people have difficult processing all the information necessary to reach the best solution
- people are influenced by cognitive and emotional biases
4
Q
What are the problem identification challenges?
A
- Stakeholder framing
- Mental models
- Decisive leadership
- Solution-focused problems
- Perceptual defence
5
Q
What is stakeholder framing?
A
- stakeholders with vested interests try to “frame” the situation
6
Q
What are mental models?
A
- visual or relational images in our mind of the external world that can blind us from seeing unique problems or opportunities
7
Q
What is decisive leadership?
A
- people view leaders are more effective decision makers when they are decisive
- problems are announced before the situation is fully analyzed
8
Q
What is solution-focused problems?
A
- people define the problem based on the solution
- need for closure
- “when the only tool you have is a hammer, all problems resemble nails”
9
Q
What is perceptual defence?
A
- some people block bad news as a coping strategy, they refuse to see the information that threatens their self-concept
10
Q
What is paralyzed by choice?
A
- decision makers are less likely to make any decision at all as the number of options increases, they instead engage in “satisficing”…
- … or they make no choice at all, even when there are clear benefits of selecting any alternative (such as joining a company retirement plan
11
Q
How do emotions effect making choices?
A
- emotions form preferences before we consciously evaluate those choices
- moods and emotions influence how we evaluate information
- we ‘listen in’ on our emotions and use that information to make choices – we evaluate how we would feel if we made the choice x or y
12
Q
What is intuitive decision making?
A
- ability to know when a problem or opportunity exists and select the best course of action without conscious reasoning
- rapid non-conscious analysis, a “gut feeling”
- BUT, intuition also involves rapidly comparing our observations with relevant tacit knowledge acquired over time, i.e., with our mental models
13
Q
How do we make choices more effectively?
A
- systematically evaluate multiple alternatives minimizing implicit favourites and satisficing
- be aware of effects of emotions and moods on decision preferences and evaluation process
- scenario planning
14
Q
What is satisficing?
A
- selecting a “good enough” alternative
15
Q
What is escalation of commitment and what is it caused by?
A
- repeating or further investing in an apparently bad decision
Caused by:
- self-justification (not wanting to admit failure to others)
- self-enhancement effect (avoiding recognition of the problem to protect our sense of self)
- Prospect theory effect (avoiding the pain of failure)
- Sunk costs effect (value of resources – time and money – already invested)