decision making Flashcards
deductive reasoning
ability to draw definite specific conclusions from general principles; relies on joint contribution of validity and truth
inductive reasoning
ability to draw probable general conclusions from specific examples; evaluating the quality of evidence
atmospheric effect
bias; based on the language of the syllogism. two all premises lead to the increased likelihood of accepting an all conclusion, relative to a some or none conclusion
belief bias
true conclusion (or at least consistent with person’s beliefs) increases the likelihood that the syllogistic structure will be perceived as valid
conditional syllogisms
a subset of deductive reasoning; if-then statements
4 possibilities:
- affirming the antecedent
- denying the antecedent
- affirming the consequent
- denying the consequent
availability heuristic
easily remembered examples are judged to be more probable than harder to remember
representative heuristic
mislead as a result of the use of stereotypes, and as often linked to a failure to take into account base rate info
conjunctive fallacy
incorrect calculation that the combination of two events can be more likely than either event occurring alone