data mngmt ch 6 Flashcards
what are some fun characteristic of probability distribution
only has one trial, expected value is always 1
probability distribution expected value equation
E(x) = Σ x*p(x)
x = outcome #
p(x) = probability of x
Σ = the sum of
what is an example of probability distribution
what is the probability distribution of the sum when you roll two dice
what is an expample of the probability distribution expectation value
what is the expected value of rolling a sum of [] when rolling two dice
what is uniform probability and its characteristics
all the probabilities for each trial have the same percent, expected value will always equal 1
what is the equation for uniform probability
p(x) = 1/n
n = # of outcomes
what is an example of uniform probability distribution
what is the probability distribution for the outcomes of rolling a single die
what is binomial probability distribution about
to find the # of successes that occures during n trials
what are the characteristics of binomial probability distrobution
two possible outcomes, independent trials
what is the binomial probability distribution formula
p(x) = nCr * p^x * q^n-x
q = failure rate
n = # of trials
x = # of successful trials
p = success rate
what is an example of a binomial probability distribution question
determine the probability distribution for getting a 4 when you roll a dice 10 times
what is the expected value formula for binomial probability distribution
E(x) = np
p = success rate
n = # of trials
what is an example of a question for the expected value of binomial probability distribution
what is the expected value of getting three 4s when you roll a dice 10 times
what is geometric probability supposed to find
find the probability of the first success that occures after X amount of trials
-> waiting time is the number of trials before a success
what are characteristics of geometric probability distribution
two possible outcomes, independent trials
what is the formula for geometric probability
p(x = x) = q^x * p
p = success rate
q = failure rate
n = # of trials
x = n - 1
the best way to find out what value is p and q is to ask yourself what will END the trial - that variable will be “p” because youre failing until you get it right
what is the best way to find out what variables are q and p for geometric probability distribution
ask yourself what will END the trial - that variable will be “p” because youre failing until you get it right
what is an example of geometric probability distribution
find the probability of rolling a 4 on the third try
what is the expected value formula for geometric probability distribution
E(x) = q/p
failure rate / success rate
what is an example of the expected value for geometric probability distribution
what is the expected waiting time before you roll a 4
what are characteristics of hypergeometric distribution
two possible outcomes, dependent trials
would use hypergeometric for choose questions
what is the formula for hypergeometric distribution
p(X = x) = (aCx * n-aCr-x) / nCr
n = population size
a = # of successful outcomes in n
n - a = # of fail outcomes
X = # of successful outcomes
r = # of trials that are allowed
what is the expected value formula for hypergeometric distribution
E(X) = ra/n
r = dependent trials
n = total
a = success