D2: Wine Business Flashcards
Give 2 examples of wine market supply shocks - one up, one down
2013 high rainfall in Castilla-La Mancha increased volume from 36 million to 45 million hectolitres
in 2017, spring frosts in Europe, produced lowest volume in 50 years
What happens when demand exceeds supply?
Prices are likely to go up. Some customers may pay, others may look at substitutions (alternative wine, or beer, spirits)
What happens when supply exceeds demand?
Prices drop as producers try to retain market share. New customers may try wine.
What macro trends are there in wine consumption?
Global demand has increased in recent years, due to growth China and America, offsetting falling demand in established countries (France, Italy)
What reasons are there for falling consumption?
Younger people drinking less wine (and alcohol overall)
Health concerns and government policies to reduce alcohol consumption
Changes in lifestyle (e.g. no drinking at lunch)
Reduction of over-supply in EU (wine lakes)
What recent consumer preferences trends have been seen in some of the bigger global markets?
Prosecco in the UK
Rose in the US
Move to lower alcohol, away from fortified wine
Move away from German medium sweet
What external factors can lead to change in reputation?
Leading critic reviews
Wine in popular culture
What type of market has consumers who are unwilling to pay more than the minimum?
Price-sensitive
What key categories are there for factors that can impact demand for wine?
Supply
Social factors
Economic factors
Legislative and legal
What factors impact supply of wine?
Weather
Legislation
Production
How does the strength of the economy impact demand?
In a strong economy, disposable income increases and people may start drinking wine, or trade up
In a crash, people may trade down, or change drinks
What economic factors are there that impact wine demand?
Strength of the economy
FX
Changes to competitors - new/withdrawn/temporarily unavailable products
What are Porter’s 5 forces?
- Competition in the industry
- Potential of new entrants into the industry
- Power of suppliers
- Power of customers
- Threat of substitute products
What legislative and political factors impact demand for wine?
Laws prohibiting or limiting the sale of wine - e.g. monopolies in Scandinavia, or the US three tier system
Drinking age
Trading hours
Policies to reduce alcohol consumption
Drink driving legislation
Taxation
Wine laws - e.g. PDO rules that restrict grapes and styles from a given region
Give some examples of government policies to reduce alcohol consumption
Scotland - minimum pricing of 50p a unit
France - restricted advertising (1991, Loi Evin)
Norway and Sweden have 20mg/100ml blood alcohol level for driving (50-80mg more common)
How can international trade in wine be hampered/enhanced?
Custom duties (tariffs for revenue, or protectionism)
Trade deals, e.g. EU and South Africa/ Chile
Argentinian import tariffs in 2010 that impacted winery equipment
Recent Chinese tariffs on US wine
What broad trend has been seen in international wine production over the last 20 years?
Areas under cultivation have dropped in Europe, but risen China
Why have some countries reduced areas under vine?
Vine pull schemes to reduce the EU wine lake
EU restrictions on new vineyards to maintain quality over quantity
Price of land (Santa Clara valley in California, or Madeira)
Switch to higher value crop (e.g. apples in South Africa)
Urbanisation leaving no one to care for a vineyard
What natural factors impact wine production?
Weather variation across vintages
Longer term climate change impacting drought and irrigation (e.g. South Africa and California)
How do GIs impact wine supply?
PDO system in Europe is very restrictive, which can impact the ability to adapt to a changing market
AOP in France/ DOC-G in Italy: both can limit yields, variety, winemaking and maturation
Distinct styles do reduce the pricing power of the customer (e.g. large retail) to swap, as styles become linked with places, so NZ sauvignon blanc can’t be swapped out for a different sauvignon blanc
Comite Champagne restricts supply to maintain demand
What is a PDO?
Protected Denomination of Origin
What is a GI?
Geographical Indication
What is the impact of wine oversupply for a producer?
Stock may not sell, or be sold below cost
Brand may be devalued as a result
New markets may take time to build up to pick up the surplus stock
What is the impact of an undersupply of wine?
Strained business relationships if contracts cannot be met
Consumers may switch to cheaper markets
Large producers can swap between products