Critical numbers Flashcards
What is prevalence probability?
Probability of having a disease at a given point in time
Incidence probability
Probability of getting a disease during a specified point in time
Incidence rate
average rate of change over time
Hazard rate
Instantaneous rate of change
Incidence
Number of people newly diagnosed
Prevalence
new and pre-existing cases
Probability equation
P = no. of case/ total population
Odds equation
odds = cases/non-cases
Absolute risk definition
Difference between 2 risks
e.g. 4 in 100 risk of non-smokers developing a disease
Relative risk definition
Ratio between 2 risk
e.g. risk of getting a disease is increased for smokers
What are the 4 different observational studies?
1) Cross-sectional
2) Case-control
3) Cohort
4) Ecological
What is a cross-sectional study?
Observations made at a specific point in time (now)
Strengths and weaknesses of a cross sectional study?
Strengths
- Fast, inexpensive
- who currently has exposure and outcome
- no follow up
Weaknesses
- not suitable for rare diseases
- difficult to establish order of events
- Can’t find causes
What is a case control study?
(Past) select participants with and without outcome and look back to see who had exposure
Strengths and weaknesses of case control study?
Strengths
- suitable for rare diseases
- multiple exposures can be studied
- quick
Weaknesses
- only a single disease can be studied
- difficult to establish order of events
- affected by selection bias & confounding factors
What is a cohort study?
(future)
collect participants info on a sample (some have exposure, others don’t)
Follow up over time, see who gets outcome
Strengths and weaknesses of cohort study?
Strengths
- useful for demonstrating causal effect
- multiple diseases & exposure can be studied
- less chance of bias
weaknesses
- time consuming and expensive
- not suitable for rare diseases
- people drop out
What are the 2 experimental studies?
Randomised control trial and crossover
What is an RCT? Pros and cons?
Participants randomised to groups and followed up to compare outcomes Strengths - 'gold standard' - prevents bias - can be double blinded - shows cause and effect Weaknesses - expensive - not suitable for long term effects - not always ethical can be effected by non-compliance
What is a crossover trial? pros and cons?
Everyone in the study has all arms of the trial at some point
- order of each arm randomised
- everyone is their own comparison
Cons
- more technical analysis
- not always suitable (if drug/ surgery has carry over effects)
Association vs causation
Association = a statistical link between exposure and disease
Causation = a statistical link where a disease is directly caused by the exposure
What is simple random sampling?
Each member of the population has an equal probability of being selected
- computer generated
- not always good representation
- not precise
What is systematic random sampling?
Members of the population are selected at equal intervals
cons
- need complete list of population
- large standard error
- periodicity patterns>characteristics that occur at intervals
What is stratified random sampling?
population is split into groups and samples are taken from each group Pros - increases representation - smaller standard error cons - requires prior info about population - expensive