Credit Default Swaps Flashcards
Expected loss
=hazard rate * loss given default
Hazard rate: probability of default given that default has not already occurred
Factors that influence the pricing of CDA (i.e., CDS spread)
Probability of default, loss given default, coupon rate on the swap
Upfront premium on a CDS
Upfront payment (by protection buyer) = PV(protection leg) - PV(premium leg)
Or approximately:
Upfront premium = (CDS spread - CDS coupon) * duration
Profit for protection buyer (change in value for a CDS after inception)
= change in spread * duration * notional principal
Profit for protection buyer (%) = change in spread (%) * duration
Naked CDS
Investor with no exposure to the underlying purchases protection in the CDS market
Basis trade
An attempt to exploit the difference in credit spreads between bond markets and the CDS market. Rely on the idea that such mispricings will be temporary and that disparity should eventually disappear after it is recognized