Credit Analysis Models - Reading 35 Flashcards
what is probability of default
likehood of default occurring in a given year
PD_t=hazard rate x PS_(t-1)
what is hazard rate
initial probability of default
what is probability of default
PS_t=(1-hazard)^t
what is loss given default
LGD=loss_severity x exposure
what is the expected loss for any period
LGD x PD
what is the present value of the expected loss
the largest price one would be willing to pay on a bond to a third party to entirely remove credit risk
what is the credit valuation adjustment
the sum of the expected loss for each period
CVA=price of risk-free bond - price of risky bond
for whom is credit scoring
individuals and small business
for whom is credit ratings
companies, governments and ABS’s
how to calculate the expected return on a bond given transition in its credit
delta_%_P=-modified_duration x delta_spread