Cost of Capital Flashcards
Company cost of capital: WACC
the discount rate for the firm’s average risk projects.
The company’s cost of capital can be understood as the expected return on a portfolio of all the company’s existing securities. The portfolio usually includes debt and equity.
Asset betas and the company cost of capital
Alternatively to WACC, we can use asset beta to compute the company CoC.
According to CAPM’s formula, a firm’s CoC depends on its asset beta and thus on the systematic risk of its existing assets.
The asset beta can be expressed as the weighted average of the equity and debt beta
Asset betas as a function of equity and debt betas
Equity beta: use CAPM
Debt beta: for investment grade debt often assumed to be zero; even nearly risk-free bonds have a positive beta
Determinants of asset betas
- Cyclicality: cyclical firms are high-beta firms
- Operating leverage (fixed costs/ variable costs of a project): firm with high FC or commitments will have higher project beta
- Time horizon of the project: projects with long-term CF are more sensitive to changes in the risk-free rate or market risk premium
Cost of debt (debt vs equity)
equity: shareholders are entitled to receive what is left after all claimants are paid off (upside potential)
debt: bondholders are entitled to receive a promised payment each year (interest) and repayment of the principal at maturity (no upside potential, only downside risk)
- a major source of risk of debt is the default (repayment) risk
- borrowers with higher default risk should pay higher interest rates on debt
Cost of debt - default risk
It’s the probability that companies or individuals will be unable to make the required payments on their debt obligations.
Bond rating agencies base their creditor ratings on analysis of the level and trend of the issuer’s financial ratios (coverage ratios, leverage ratio, liquidity ratios, profitability ratios cash flow-to-debt ratio)
Bond default risk
also called credit risk is measured by 3 major bond rating agencies (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch) the ratings issued by these companies estimate a bond’s riskiness or safety
- higher ratings are associated with lower credit spreads (lower cost of debt)
Bond rating generally predicts defaulting firms
Estimate default spreads for cost of debt
- build a sample of bonds comparable to the debt we want to value: similar industry, similar ratings or financial ratios, similar maturity, etc; focus on liquid bonds without features such as convertibility
- estimate the average yield of sample: estimate yield to maturity of the bonds; apply weighting if similarity among bonds is not given
WACC
even though first, taxes were ignored, interest expenses are normally tax-deductible. For every dollar in interest, the firm pays, it receives a tax deduction, thus the cost of debt has to be adjusted
WACC covers overall risk and the tax shield of debt, but:
- WACC formula is correct only for projects that are just like the firm undertaking them (average projects)
- WACC is incorrect for projects which are riskier or safer than the average. Also incorrect for projects changing the firm’s debt ratio
- WACC is based on a firm’s current characteristics, but managers use it to discount future CF - only correct if the firm’s business risk and debt ratio are to remain constant
Valuation of the entire firm (using WACC in DCF valuations and adjusted PV)
working capital (accounts payable, accounts receivable, etc). Important to check the validity of WACC by looking at similar firms – check for robustness
- adjusting WACC when leverage or business risk differs
Valuation with taxes: adjusted PV
adjusted present value (APV). If your firm does rebalance, APV might not be such a good use.
APV calculates a series of PVs
Valuation of projects
Project cost of capital: for valuing a project we need to use the expected return for projects with similar risk characteristics. The company cost of capital works only for projects that are carbon copies of the firm.
The best comparison for one particular line of business will be to consider pure plays in that line of business
Pure plays
= firms in the same line of business, not involved in any other type of business, and publicly traded (CoC of a pure play = for your project)
- pure play = focused firms, not conglomerates
- use segment reporting to differentiate focused companies from conglomerates
- segments are usually differentiated by some industry classification
problems of industry codes: seems arbitrary, leeway, common sense and industry knowledge sometimes better
Valuation of projects using NPV, bad outcomes, certainty equivalents
PV equals the sum of all discounted payoffs
NPV subtracts the required investment from the PV