Cost Benefit Anaylsis Flashcards
what is cost benefit anaylsis?
it is a decision making tool used by governments as a means of seeing whether the benefits of a policy are greater or lesser than its costs from societies perspectives. it adopts welfare economics criteria vs commerical criteria by attempting to monetise all the costs and benefits if a proposed action.
what are the steps of cost benefit anaylsis?
1- define a project/policy such as relevent population or length
2- list all the costs and benefits one can think of in relation to a proposed action
3- for costs and benefits ordinarily measured in monetary units (obtain reliable estimates)
4- for costs and benefits not ordinarily measured in monetary units, use non market valuation techiniques to obtain estimates. if actual non market values cannot be estimated due to budgetary or other constraints consider transferred values or expert opinions
5- add up all the discounted costs and benefits, preferrably under a range of plausible assumptions or scenarios
6- compare total discounted costs to total discounted benefits to obtain a recommendation
what is the problem of postive vs maximisation in CBA?
positive net benefits is not enough to proceed with the project. economics aims to maximise the benefits so because there may be another proposal which could generate larger benefits then that will be the superior option. we need to consider a wide range of options before recommending an action
what is the problem of distributional consequences in CBA?
a bottom line estimate of the net benefits across society does not tell us anything about the distribution of the costs or benefits across the society. a proposal that might yield net positive benefits could be rejected on equity grounds.
what is an investment project?
it is something that involves a current commitment with consequences stretching over future time
why are costs and benefits in the future not equivelent to the costs and benefits of the present?
1) inflation - money is worth less in the future
2) investment - money available now can usually be invested to get a real positive return
3) uncertainty - if we get benefit now we wont have to worry about the future
4) impatience - natural human tendency to focus on the present more than the past
5) utility - if real gdp continues to grow then the people in the future will be richer. as a result they will be less impacted by the same amount of damages and benefits
what is discounting?
it is a technique to bring back in time values that will occur in the future. it attaches a discounted weight to the costs or benefits that occur in the future
what is the discount rate?
annual rate by which future values are reduced relative to current values.
what is the growth type of the discount factor?
it is exponential
what is the effect of choosing a high discount rate in CBA?
A high discount rate will highly favour the present over the future.
what is the effect of choosing a low discount rate in CBA?
A low discount rate will give more weight to future costs or benefits.
what type of discount rate supports enviromental applications?
to support enviromental applications we need a low discount rate
what are the two main approaches for setting the discount rate?
1) Set discount rate equal to the rate of return on low-risk investments(government bonds).
2) Set discount rate equal to social discount rate/social rate of time preference (SRTP)
what is the motivation with setting the discount rate equal to the rate of return on low risk investments such as government bonds?
funds used for a beneficial public project could otherwise be invested in another asset with interest to provide society with greater resources in the future
what is the issue with using the discount rate equal to the rate of the return on low risk investments such as government bonds?
the rate of return on government bonds vary over time so should we really base the valuation of long term effects of enviromental projects upon an interest rate that is subject to finacial market conditions
what is the motivation for setting the discount rate equal to the social discount rate/ social rate of time preference?
one reason is the impatience- the pure rate of time preference and another is the diminishing marginal utility of consumption
what is the social rate of time preference>
a measure of society’s willingness to postpone private consumption no win order to consume later.
what is the pure rate of time preference?
society’s “impatience” and is the rate of decrease in the utility of incremental consumption purely because that utility occurs in the future
what is the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to consumption?
how utilility changes with consumption