Corporate finance Flashcards
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 10 (Best practices in capital budgeting)
- Before making a capital budgeting decision, you need to stress test the assumptions of future cash flows (i.e. identify and evaluate threats)
- Solutions include sensitivity analysis and break-even analysis
- More complex analysis will include monte carlo
- Firms are constantly modifying operations, thus real options are valuable
- 4 real options:
1) Expansion,
2) abandonment,
3) timing,
4) production flexibility
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 11 (Investment, strategy, and economic rents)
HIGH RISK
- NPV can appear positive for two reasons:
1) Firm can expect economic rents
2) or there are biases or errors in cash flow forecast (false positive NPV) - Good managers try to avoid false positive by investing in areas where they have a clear competitive advantage (economic rents/abnormal returns are likely)
- They also try to ensure they understnad how prices (future CF) will be affected by entry or expansion of competitors
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 12 (Agency problems, compensation and performance measurement)
- Due to separation of ownership and management, agency costs are inevitable.
Typical agency problems include
1) Reduced effort and Perks
2) Reduce or avoid risk
3) Over investment (Empire building and Entrenching investments) - Incentives are needed to align interests of managers with shareholders, to maximize shareholder value –> stock options (variable pay)
- Problems with options include:
1) Stocks exposes managers for market risk (undiversifiable risk)
2) Today’s stock price reflects expected future performance
3) Incentivize manipulation of stock, or shortermism
Lower managers’s variable pay are linked to accounting income (net ROI) or EVA (economic value add)
What are the 5 lessons of market efficiency?
1) Markets have no memory
2) Trust market prices (information is priced in, difficult to make superior returns)
3) Read the entrails (i.e. understand expectation of the future through market prices and investor behaviour e.g. market’s assessment of a companies debt risk)
4) The do-it-yourself alternative (investors can diversify and leverage their investments themselves)
5) Seen one stock, seen them all (investors buy a stock due its promise of a fair risk return relationship)
What are the 3 forms of market efficiency?
In an efficient market the investor is compensated for time value of money and risk exposure to market.
Weak
- Prices reflect all past series of historic prices, cannot make superior returns from historic patterns in stock prices. Prices are random
Semi-strong
- Prices reflect all public available information, i.e. not possible to make superior returns by reading annual reports
Strong
- Prices reflect ALL information, i.e. superior return are extremely hard to find
What is arbitrage and what are the limits to arbitrage?
- Investment strategy that guarantees superior returns without any risk (buy low, sell high).
- Also called convergence trading, as arbitrage can ensure market efficiency, i.e. converge prices to their fundamentals
- Limits comes when there are significant trading costs or uncertainties.
- Short selling can be difficult, as you need to sell a stock that you do not own. (Borrow a stock to sell)
- Furthermore, “markets can stay inefficient longer than you can stay solvent”
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 13 (Efficient market and behavioural finance)
- Competition between investors tend to produce an efficient market
- Efficient market hypothesis and its 3 forms
- Limits to arbitrage may explain why asset prices can get out of line to its fundamentals
- Deviations from market efficiency do to phychological traits of investors (prospect theory, overconfidence, slow to response to new information)
What is behavioural finance and what are investor characteristics in behavior?
Bubbles can occur
- Attituted towards risk (investors are averse towards losses) - Prospect theory
- Overconfidence in predicting the future
- Sluggish in reacting to new information (conservative)
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 16 (Pay-out policy)
- Payout policy is the answer to 2 questions: How much should the cast pay out to its shareholders and should the cash be distributed in the form of DIV or stock repurchases?
- How much should be paid out? Cash is surplus after answering the 3 following questions:
1) Is all positive-NPV project invested in?
2) Is the firm’s debt level prudent and manageable?
3) Does the firm have a sufficient war chest of cash or unused debt capacity to cover for unexpected opportunities or setbacks? - Repurchasing are more flexible than dividend (investors expects dividend to continue)
- There is a large information content of dividends as it also tells something about the managements positive expectations of future earnings
- Difference between a growth company and a mature company
- In a perfect capital market (M&M) there would be no difference in cash dividends and repurchasing on market value of firm (since any change in divident must come from sale or repurchase of shares), but..
- Rightists: Maximize dividends (financial discipline)
- Radical left: Differences in tax treatment of capital gains and dividends (choose the one that is lowest)
- In the end effect on market value; short-run is tactical, long run strategy depends on life cycle of a company
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 17 (Does debt policy matter?)
- A FM takes all the firm’s real assets and sell them to investors as a package of securities
- M&M proposition 1 (perfect capital markets):
- A firm’s value is independent of capital structure. (asset side held constant)
- -> Allows for separation of investment and financing decisions
- Investors can leverage themselves if they want to (borrow on same terms)
- M&M II: Higher debt increase risk (financial risk), offset by the increase in expected return to shareholders
- Thus –> wacc does not depend on capital structure
- Opposing view: Traditionalists
- Market imperfections makes it costly to borrow as an investor
- Thus there is an unsatisfied clientele of investors
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 18 (How much should a corporation borrow?)
- Capital structure theories (trade-off, pecking order, Jensen’s free cash flow)
- Costs of financial distress (direct/indirect and costs short of bankrupcy)
- Financial slack
- Pecking order stresses financial slack to ensure a firm is not caught in the end of the pecking order
- Slack can also create agency costs or overinvestments, thus increasing debt can increase financial diciplin (Jensen’s cash flow theory)
What are the assumptions of perfect capital markets?
- Rational agents
- no transaction costs
- no tax
- no bankruptcy cost
- symmetric information
- No agency cost (no conflicting interests)
- complete markets with no financial innovation
What are the theories concerning capital structure?
No universal theory. Firms are supposed to pick a capital structure that maximize firm value.
- The trade off theory
- The Pecking order
What is the trade-off theory?
Optimal level of capital structure concerns a trade-off
- Emphasize the trade-off between interest tax shield and costs of financial distress
- Value of all-equity firm + PV ITS - PV cost of financial distress
- The firm should maximize the formula, where the marginal cost of financial distress is offset by the benefit of ITS
Cost of financial distress can be broken into:
- Bankruptcy costs (direct (i.e fees) and indirect (i.e. difficulty going through liquidation or reorganization)
- Costs of financial distress short of bankruptcy (i.e. doubts of credit worthiness, conflict of interest between bond holders and stockholders (“games”), and transaction costs to avoid “games”
Does not explain why some firms have lower or higher capital structure than others (e.g. why profitable companies have a low debt ratio) –> turn to pecking order
What it the pecking order theory?
Firms use internal financing when available and choose debt over equity when external financing is needed
- Thus, less profitable firms borrow more
- -> A consequence of asymmetric information
- Managers know more than investors
- Managers are reluctant to issue stock if it is undervalued –> Thus issuing stock is bad news (overvalued)
- Debt is better, and equity is only used if debt capacity is running out
Pecking order value slack, because it serve as an internal financing tool (excess cash). But, remember downside with financial slack.
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 19 (Financing and valuation)
2 ways to consider financing in valuation of a project
- Adj. discount rate or *Adjusted PV
- wacc only works for projects that are carbon copy of business (business risk and debt ratio)
- wacc assumes constant rebalancing
- wacc only takes ITS into account (not other financing effects)
- FCF does not include value of ITS, but the r* takes that into account by adjusting to after tax borrow rate
Businesses are usually valued in two steps.
1) FCF
2) Horizon value (competitors arrive)
Then subtract debt to get value of equity
Debt capacity refers to the chosen borrow rate considering all of the firms assets
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 20 (Understanding options)
Call option: the option to buy an asset at a specific exercise price on (or before) a specified maturity date
Put option: the option to sell an asset at a specific exercise price on (or before) a specified maturity date
An option increases in value if/with
- Volatility (no down side, only upside)
- The further “in the money” the option is
- Low exercise price (if call option, vice versa put)
- Interest rate (relates to the delay of paying the exercise price)
- Time to maturity
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 21 (Valuing options)
Price the option by finding a replicating portfolio with the same payoff as the option (a package of the underlying asset and risk free loan)
- Risk neutral probabilities, find expected future “risk free” payoff and discount back to PV
- Binomial method, dividing the option’s life into subperiods. Replicating portfolio in each stage
- BS formula, price if the option takes a continuum of possible future values
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 22 (Real options)
HIGH RISK
4 important real option
1) The option to make follow on investments (often why you would take on projects that would appear to have negative NPV, as you have call options on follow on projects. Today’s investment can create tomorrows opportunity)
2) The option to wait (and learn) before investing (equivalent to owning a call option on the investment project. Call is exercised when you commit. Valuable in times of high uncertainty and immediate cash flows are small
3) The option to abandon (provides partial insurance for down-side, like buying a put)
4) The option to vary the firm’s output or its production methods (build in flexibility in production)
- DCF is needed to price the underlying asset upon which the real option is based.
- When estimating a real option, we estimates its value as if it was traded (same risk characteristics as with traded securities), positive if required return exceed initial investment
- The after-tax discount rate is used in the risk neutral method
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 25 (Leasing)
Lease is an extended rental agreement, a source of financing for assets. Owner (lessor) allows user (lessee) to use the asset in exchange for regular lease payments
Types:
- “Buy vs. lease”: Operating (short-term, cancelable), lessor bears risk of ownership
- -> Attractive if Eq. annual cost is higher than annual lease payment
- “Borrow vs. lease”: Financial lease (long-term, non-cancelable, lessee bears risk of ownership
- -> like signing a secured loan
- Leveraged (involves a lender, lessor and lesse)
- Types of service should also be taken into account of value of lease, i.e. if lessor provides maintenance (full-service agreement) or if it is lessee’s responsibility (net lease)
If lessor and lesse are in same tax bracket one looses at the expense of the other
If lessee pays a lower tax, it is possible for them to both benefit at the expense of the government
Why lease?
- Convenience (lemon problem, rent a car)
- Cancellation option is valuable
- Maintenance can be provided
- Standardization leads to lower TC and administration costs (easier for smaller companies to lease and for lessors makes it less risky)
- Tax shields can be used (lessor owns asset and deducts its dep from taxable income)
- Leasing and financial distress (lessors kind of act as secured lenders)
- Avoiding alternative minimum tax
Dubious reasons
- Avoid CAPEX controls (avoid procedures needed to buy an asset)
- Preserve capital (provides financing, but the firm could just as well have borrowed)
- Off-balance sheet financing (if a lease is seen as an operating lease it should not be capitalized, thus leverage understate the true leverage of the firm)
- Affect book income (affect income statement by having lease payment less than depreciation and interest expense in a buy-and-borrow scenario)
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 31 (Mergers)
A merger can create added value through synergies
Gains can come from
- Economies of scale
- Economies of vertical integration
- Combination of complimentary resources
- Redeployment of surplus funds
- Create efficiency with new management
- Consolidation in industry (decrease excess supply)
Dubious reasons include: diversification, lower borrowing cost, pump up earnings per share
Cost if the premium that a buyer pays above the market value as a separate company.
Acquisition can be in cash and stock issuance, in the latter cost depends on what the shares are worth post merger.
Ensure that the purchase comply with anti-trust; choose procedure (1. merge assets and liabilities of seller, buy the stock of the seller, buy individual assets of the seller), and the tax status of the merger.
Mergers is often a negotiation, but it can happen that the buyer needs to make a tender offer. Offensive and defensive strategies. Gains are usually pushed towards the selling shareholders
Merger activity is highest in bull markets and in industries coping with change (deregulation, demand and tech changes)
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 32 (Corporate restructuring)
HIGH RISK
Companies frequently reorganize by adding new businesses or disposing of existing ones
- Alter capital structure
- Change ownership and control
Types of restructuring:
- LBO (a take-over or buyout of a firm)
- Leveraged restructuring (no change in ownership, but the firm is put on a “diet” and excess cash is paid out)
PE are usually the players and can be seen as temporary conglomerates
Diversification seem to destroy value, which can also be seen by fewer conglomerates
- Harder to set incentives for managers
- Internal capital markets are inefficient
Asset divestment (good news for investors as efficiency and profits are expected to increase)
- Spin-off
- Carve-out
- Asset sale
- Privatization
Reorganization due to financial distress to arrange a work-out.
- If they prove impossible, a company files for chapter 11 (bankruptcy), with the purpose of getting back on their feet.
- Chapter 11 tends to favor debtor, in contrary to other countries
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 9 (Risk and the cost of capital)
HIGH RISK
CCOC is the rate of return that investores require on the portfolio of all the firm’s outstanding debt and equity.
CAPM is a short-term model, but can use a short cut by using long term interest rate and the difference in market returns and long term treasuries (lower slope and higher interception of SML)
- The true cost of capital depends on the use of which the capital is put
- -> Find pure play beta
- or identify beta characteristics, a high asset beta is seen with: High cyclical firms, operating leverage
- Don’t be fooled by diversifyable risk and do not use fudge factors (takeaway! Adjust cash flows instead)
- When using adjusted discount rate, you assume that cumulative risk increases at a constant rate as you look further into the future (constant beta), (but projects may change in risk)
- CEQ, converts expected cash flows into certain cash flows by giving expected cash flows a high cut, i.e. the return that investors (before) required for taking on risk
- Thus, CEQ split time value of money and uncertainty up, only including time value of money in future cash flows
What are the four estimates for horizon value?
- Constant growth model of FCF (r and g)
- P/E ratio of comparables
- Market to book value comparables
- Horizon date is when PVGO=0, then EPS_H+1 / r
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 4 (Value of common stock) HIGH RISK
PV of stock = stream of CF discounted at the expected rate investors receive on other securities with same risk
- Fundamental valuation: P0 = DIV1+P1 / 1+r –> But it just becomes dependent on DIVt
- Constant growth model (perpetuity) –> Used to estimate market capitalization rate (assumption: mature, low risk firms) –> often not possible, thus 2-state model
General DCF formula transformed: P0 = EPS1/r + PVGO
EPS/r is a no growth scenario
PVGO: NPV projects firm will make to grow (above r return)
Growth stock has a large share of PVGO to EPS/r value
Calculate company value in a 2-step process w/ a Horizon value discounted back to PV. Here it is possible to also find the share price (by dividing value)
What are the main summary bullets from chapter 5 (NPV and other investment criteria) HIGH RISK
- Payback period (only accept project that recover investment within an arbitrary limit - ad hoc rule)
- -> Ignores cash flows outside of period and takes no account of opp cost
- IRR, give right result if properly used. Falls short if
- lending or borrowing? (if borrow, you should accept when IRRr)
- multiple rates of return (if CF signs change more than ones)
- Mutually exclusive projects (IRR may give wrong ranking, use incremental cash flows, and see if IRR>r)
- Cost of capital for near-term cash flows may be different from the cost of distant cash flows (if the term structure is not flat)
If capital is rationed, the calculate profitability index (NPV/investment) –> but falls short if capital is limited in more than one period or if other constraints prevail
- Soft rationing, provides a proxy for budget limit (self-imposed limits)
- Hard rationing reflect market imperfection, if the company does not have access to well-functioning capital markets to raise money to invest in positive NPV projects
What is one of the main assumptions of NPV?
Access to well-functioning capital markets