corporate debt and credit derivatives Flashcards
various categories of corporate debt were –
debentures,
loan stock,
preference shares.
In analysing corporate debt the key issue to be considered is, generally:
the security of the debt and
the risk of default.
the use of credit derivatives has
significantly deepened the market for corporate debt.
Associated with this have been the study of credit risk
and the allowance for risk of default in pricing.
use credit derivatives to
reduce their exposure to the risk of default.
one method of pricing corporate debt and assessing credit risk
based on the information about the credit risk
of the debt contained within the company’s equity.
Can Calculate expected default losses from bond prices :
a credit rating gives
an indication of the
creditworthiness of a bond.
A typical categorisation system of credit rating – such as that used by Standard & Poor’s:
Assignsa grade of AAA to the most creditworthy bonds, which are deemed to have almost no chance of defaulting. AA is then the next best rating, then A, then BBB, then BB and so on.
Fundamental analysis of bonds entails
The process of credit rating
Zero-coupon yield curves are derived by
a process called bootstrapping – .
ZC Yield curves can be used to:
value other bonds.
Example of Bond risk
Historical evidence suggests that 
the average probability of default
within the next 5 years
by a corporate bond currently rated AAA by Standard & Poor’s is about 0.1%,
whereas for a bond rated BBB the corresponding probability is over 2%.
margin over risk-free rate
(% pa)
The higher yield on corporate bonds is entirely due to :
compensation for the additional risk
from investing in these instruments.
It is generally accepted that there are two primary additional risks associated with Corporate Bonds:
- Default risk –
⁃ which is the risk that the issuer
⁃ will not be in a position to make payment
⁃ of the interest or redemption payments,
⁃ either on the due dates or at all. - Liquidity risk (strictly marketability risk) –
⁃ which is the risk that a holder of the bond will not be able
⁃ to realise value for it
⁃ in certain market conditions.
⁃ This might be because
⁃ the bond has certain unusual terms or covenants,
⁃ or because the issue is small
⁃ and unlikely to be attractive to major investors.
⁃
Default and liquidity risk are not necessarily independent.
For example
if a company is in financial difficulties,
not only may it be more likely to default on debt interest payments,
but the debt may also be less marketable.
Also
market liquidity tends to be less
at times of economic distress
when overall defaults will tend to be higher.
Corporate bonds typically
yield more than comparable Treasury bonds.
Bond traders construct
zero-coupon yield curves for bonds of different credit rating categories and by comparing these to comparable Treasury curves we can see the magnitude of this excess credit spread for different maturities.
The credit spread typically is
significantly in excess of historic default losses,
so that an investor could expect significantly higher returns
from investing in corporate bonds
than from investing in Treasury bonds.
Actual default losses can be calculated
using historical data.
The excess of the yield on corporate bonds over Treasury bonds is typically decomposed into four components:
- Compensation for
⁃ expected defaults. - Investors may expect
⁃ future defaults to exceed historic levels. - Compensation for
⁃ the risk of higher defaults, ie
⁃ a credit risk premium. - A residual that includes
⁃ the compensation for the liquidity risk —
⁃ typically referred to as an illiquidity premium.
Techniques being considered include :
- the use of option pricing models using equity volatility
⁃ to estimate the risk of default (see Chapter 12), and - the use of credit default swaps (see Section 2.4 below)
⁃ to estimate the market premium for credit risk.
Credit derivatives are
contracts where the payoff depends partly upon .the creditworthiness of one (or more) commercial (or sovereign) bond issuers.
Credit derivatives are used for
managing credit risk
The two most common types of credit derivative are:
- credit default swaps
- credit spread options.
third also :
.credit-linked notes in the discussion that follows.
Why is part of the higher yield on corporate bonds compensation for the risk of higher defaults over and above that indicated from historical data?
because bond investors are typically risk-averse.
So they will demand higher returns
from riskier bonds
even after allowing for the expected default losses
because of the greater uncertainty
regarding the returns provided.
A credit default swap is
a contract that provides a payment if a particular event occurs. For example, it may give Bank X the right to sell a bond issued by utility Company Y to Bank Z for the face value of the bond should Company Y default on the bond. The bond involved is sometimes referred to as the reference bond.
Credit events are
Events that trigger payments under credit derivatives