confidence intervals Flashcards

1
Q

what is an estimator of a population parameter?

A

An estimator of a population parameter is a random variable that uses sample information to provide an approximation of this unknown parameter

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2
Q

what is an estimate?

A

A specific value of that random variable is called an estimate

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3
Q

what is a point estimator?

A

A point estimator πœƒΜ‚ is an unbiased estimator of the parameter if its expected value (or mean) is equal to that parameter:
𝐸(πœƒΜ‚ )=πœ‡_πœƒΜ‚ =πœƒ

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4
Q

what are examples of point estimators?

A

The sample mean is an unbiased estimator of the population mean,
– The sample proportion is an unbiased estimator of the population proportion,

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5
Q

what is the bias?

A

The bias in is defined as the difference between its expected value and πœƒ
π΅π‘–π‘Žπ‘ (πœƒΜ‚ )=𝐸(πœƒΜ‚ )βˆ’πœƒ

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6
Q

what is the bias of an unbiased estimator?

A

0

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7
Q

what is the most efficient estimator?

A

The most efficient estimator is the unbiased estimator with the smallest variance

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8
Q

what is the relative efficiency of πœƒΜ‚_1 with respect to πœƒΜ‚_2?

A

The relative efficiency of πœƒΜ‚_1 with respect to πœƒΜ‚_2 is the ratio of their variances:
π‘…π‘’π‘™π‘Žπ‘‘π‘–π‘£π‘’ 𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦= π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_2 )/π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_1 )

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9
Q

when is πœƒΜ‚_1 is said to be more efficient than πœƒΜ‚_2?

A

πœƒΜ‚_1 is said to be more efficient than πœƒΜ‚_2 if π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_1 )<π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(πœƒΜ‚_2 )

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10
Q

what is the general form for all confidence intervals?

A

The general form for all confidence intervals is:
π‘ƒπ‘œπ‘–π‘›π‘‘ πΈπ‘ π‘‘π‘–π‘šπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘’Β±π‘€π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘”π‘–π‘› π‘œπ‘“ πΈπ‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘Ÿ

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11
Q

what are the necessary assumptions to find the confidence interval estimate for the mean when varience is known?

A

Population variance 𝜎^2 is known
Population is normally distributed or, if population is not normal, sample is large

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12
Q

what is the formula for the confidence interval estiamate for the mean when the population variance is known?

A

π‘₯Μ…Β± [𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›]
where 𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) is the value of the standard normal distribution, above which lies 100(π›Όβˆ•2)% of the distribution

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13
Q

what is the formula for the marginal of error?

A

The margin of error, 𝑀𝐸= [𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›]

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14
Q

when does the margin of error fall?

A

𝑀𝐸=𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›
1. The population standard deviation decreases (πœŽβ†“)
2. The sample size increases (𝑛↑)
3. The confidence level decreases (𝛼↑)

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15
Q

where do the intervals extend to ?

A

UCL=π‘₯Μ…+𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›
to
LCL=π‘₯Μ…βˆ’π‘§_(π›Όβˆ•2) 𝜎/βˆšπ‘›

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16
Q

what intervals constructed contain πœ‡ and which do not?

A

100(1βˆ’π›Ό)% of intervals constructed contain πœ‡;
100(𝛼)% do not

17
Q

what are the degrees of freedom (df)?

A

This is the number of observations that are free to vary after the sample mean has been calculated

18
Q

what is the difference and similiarity between the t distribution and the normal distribution?

A

𝑑 distributions are bell-shaped and symmetric, but have β€˜fatter’ tails than the normal

19
Q

when is the t distribution the standard normal distribution?

A

the t distribution is equal to the standard normal distribution when the degrees of freedom is equal to infinity

20
Q

what is the formula for the t distribution with (n-1) degrees of freedome

A

𝑑=(π‘₯Μ…βˆ’πœ‡)/(π‘ βˆ•βˆšπ‘›)

21
Q

what are the necessary assumptions needed to find the confidence interval estimation of the mean when the population variance is unknown?

A
  1. Population variance 𝜎^2 is unknown - We can substitute the sample standard deviation, 𝑠, for the population standard deviation, 𝜎, in the confidence interval formula used earlier but this introduces extra uncertainty, since 𝑠 is variable from sample to sample. This is why we use the 𝑑 distribution instead of the normal distribution
  2. Population is normally distributed or, if population is not normal, sample is large
22
Q

what is the formula for the confidence interval estimate when the population varience is unknown?

A

π‘₯̅±𝑑_(π‘›βˆ’1,π›Όβˆ•2) 𝑠/βˆšπ‘›

where 𝑑_(π‘›βˆ’1,π›Όβˆ•2) is the relevant value of the 𝑑 distribution with π‘›βˆ’1 df

23
Q

when is the sample proportion approximately normal?

A

the distribution of the sample proportion is approximately normal if 𝑛𝑝(1βˆ’π‘)>5, with standard deviation:
𝜎_𝑝̂ =√(𝑝(1βˆ’π‘)/𝑛)

24
Q

what is the confidence interval for the population proportion?

A

𝑝̂±𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) √((𝑝̂(1βˆ’π‘Μ‚ ))/𝑛)
where
𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) is the standard normal value for the level of confidence desired
𝑝̂ is the sample proportion
𝑛 is the sample size

25
Q

what is an example of a confidence intervals with population means and a dependent sample?

A

the same group before vs after the treatment

26
Q

what is an example of a confidence intervals with population means and a independent sample?

A

group 1 vs an independent group 2

27
Q

what is an example of confidence intervals with population proportions?

A

proportions of 1 vs proportion of 2

28
Q

what is the necessary assumption for finding the difference in means between dependent samples?

A

both populations are normally distributed

29
Q

what is the formula to find the mean difference between two dependent samples?

A

πœ‡_𝑑=πœ‡_π‘₯βˆ’πœ‡_𝑦

30
Q

what is the point estimate for the population mean diference?

A

𝑑̅= (βˆ‘(π‘₯βˆ’π‘¦ ) )/𝑛

31
Q

what is the sample standard deviation of d?

A

𝑠_𝑑=√((βˆ‘(𝑑_π‘–βˆ’π‘‘Μ… )^2 )/(π‘›βˆ’1))

32
Q

what is the formula for the confidence interval for the difference between the two population means?

A

𝑑̅±[𝑑_(π‘›βˆ’1,π›Όβˆ•2) x 𝑠_𝑑/βˆšπ‘›]

33
Q

what is the point estimate for the difference betweent the two sample means in an independent sample?

A

π‘₯Μ… βˆ’ 𝑦̅

34
Q

what is the formula for the confidence interval for the difference in sample means in an independent sample when varience of both samples are known?

A

(π‘₯Μ…βˆ’π‘¦Μ… ) Β± 𝑧_(π›Όβˆ•2) √((𝜎_π‘₯^2)/𝑛_π‘₯ +(𝜎_𝑦^2)/𝑛_𝑦 )

35
Q

what is the formula for the varience of the difference in means when both variences are known and the samples are independent?

A

𝜎_(π‘₯Μ…βˆ’π‘¦Μ…)^2=(𝜎_π‘₯^2)/𝑛_π‘₯ + (𝜎_𝑦^2)/𝑛_𝑦