Competency Questions Flashcards
How to value a company
For starters, you should understand that the value of a company is equal to the value of its assets, and that:
Value of Assets = Debt (liabilities) + Equity or
Assets = D + E
If I buy a company, I buy its stock (equity) and assume its debt (bonds and loans). Buying a company’s equity means that I actually gain ownership of the company—if I buy 50 percent of a company’s equity, I own 50 percent of the company. Assuming a company’s debt means that I promise to pay the company’s lenders the amount owed by the previous owner.
The value of debt is easy to calculate: since the market value of debt is difficult to ascertain for our purposes, we can safely use the book value of debt.
The four most commonly used techniques to determine the market value of equity are:
1. Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis
2. Multiples method
3. Market valuation
4. Comparable transactions method
Overview of financial statements
There are four basic financial statements that provide the information you need to evaluate a company:
* Balance Sheets
* Income Statements
* Statements of Cash Flows
* Statements of Retained Earnings
These four statements are provided in the annual reports (also referred to as “10Ks”) published by public companies.
The balance sheet
The balance sheet presents the financial position of a company at a given point in time. It is comprised of three parts: assets, liabilities and shareholder’s equity. Assets are the economic resources of a company. They are the resources that the company uses to operate its business and include cash, inventory and equipment. (Both financial statements and accounts in financial statements are capitalized.) A company normally obtains the resources it uses to operate its business by incurring debt, obtaining new investors or through operating earnings. The liabilities section of the balance sheet presents the debts of the company. Liabilities are the claims that creditors have on the company’s resources. The equity section of the balance sheet presents the net worth of a company, which equals the assets that the company owns less the debts it owes to creditors.
Types of long-term financing on balance sheet
in order of seniority (high to low):
1. Senior secured debt (corporate loans and bonds)
2. Senior unsecured debt (corporate loans and bonds)
3. Mezzanine debt (a blend of debt/equity)
4. Preferred stock
5. Common stock
This type of hierarchy is often referred to as a company’s “capital structure”, which is the outline of the capital the company has access to, as well as the seniority of that capital.
The income statement
The income statement presents the results of operations of a business over a specified period of time (e.g., one year, one quarter, one month) and is composed of revenue, expenses and net income.
Revenue: Revenue is a source of income that normally results from the sale of goods or services and is recorded when earned. For example, when a retailer of roller blades makes a sale, the sale would be considered revenue.
Expenses: Expenses are the costs incurred by a business over a specified period of time to generate the revenue earned during that same period of time.
Assets vs expenses
A purchase is considered an asset if it provides future economic benefit to the company, while expenses only relate to the current period. For example, monthly salaries paid to employees for services they already provided to the company would be considered expenses. On the other hand, the purchase of a piece of manufacturing equipment would be classified as an asset
Net income
Net income: The revenue a company earns, less its expenses over a specified period of time, equals its net income. A positive net income number indicates a profit, while a negative net income number indicates that a company suffered a loss (called a “net loss”)
Summary of income statement
To summarize, the income statement measures the success of a company’s operations; it provides investors and creditors with information needed to determine the enterprise’s profitability and creditworthiness. A company has earned positive net income when its total revenues exceed its total expenses.
Statement of retained earnings
Retained earnings is the amount of profit a company invests in itself (i.e., profit that is not used to pay back debt or distributed to shareholders as a dividend). The statement of retained earnings is a reconciliation of the retained earnings account from the beginning to the end of the year.
it does provide additional information about what management is doing with the company’s earnings.
What decrease retained earnings
Net losses and dividend payments decrease retained earnings.
Insights from retained earnings
An investor interested in growth and returns on capital may be more inclined to invest in a company that reinvests its resources into the company for the purpose of generating additional resources.
Conversely, an investor interested in receiving current income is more inclined to invest in a company that pays quarterly dividend distributions to shareholders.)
Statement of cash flows
However, the Income Statement does not provide information about the actual source and use of cash generated during its operations.
That’s because obtaining and using economic resources doesn’t always involve cash
Cash flows from operating activities:
Cash flows from operating activities: Includes the cash effects of transactions involved in calculating net income.
Cash flows from investing activities
Cash flows from investing activities: Basically, cash from non- operating activities or activities outside the normal scope of business. This involves items classified as assets in the balance sheet and includes the purchase and sale of equipment and investments.
Cash flows from financing activities
Cash flows from financing activities: Involves items classified as liabilities and equity in the balance sheet; it includes the payment of dividends as well as issuing payment of debt or equity.
Calculating equity value of publicly traded firm
multiply it by the number of shares outstanding, and you have the equity market value of the company.
Acquisition premium
Typically, if someone wants to acquire a firm, it will sell for a price above the market value of the firm. This is referred to as an acquisition premium. If the acquisition is a hostile takeover, or if there is an auction, the premiums are pushed even higher. The premiums are generally decided by the perception of the synergies resulting from the purchase or merger.
Dynamics behind NPV
In general, a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow for two simple reasons. First, a dollar today can be invested at a risk-free interest rate (think savings account or U.S. government bonds), and can earn a return. A dollar tomorrow is worth less because it has missed out on the interest you would have earned on that dollar had you invested it today. Second, inflation diminishes the buying power of future money.
Plain and simple, a discount rate is the rate you choose to discount the future value of your money.. A discount rate can be understood as the expected return from a project that matches the risk profile of the project
CAPM
In order to find the appropriate discount rate used to discount the company’s cash flows, you use the Capital Asset Pricing Model or (CAPM). This is a model used to calculate the expected return on your investment, also referred to as expected return on equity. It is a linear model with one independent variable, Beta. Beta represents relative volatility of the given investment with respect to the market. For example, if the Beta of an investment is 1, the returns on the investment (stock/bond/portfolio) vary identically with the market returns. A Beta less than 1, like 0.5, means the investment is less volatile than the market.
A company whose value does not vary much, like an electric utility, would be expected to have a Beta under 1.
A Beta of greater than 1, like 1.5, means the investment is more volatile than the market.
Free cash flows
Free cash flow is essentially all of the extra cash a firm has after its operations and other areas (i.e., working capital, such as accounts receivable and accounts payable and regular capital expenditures) to invest in what it chooses.
The free cash flow (FCF) of an all-equity firm in year (i) can be calculated as:
= Earnings Before Interest and Taxes x (1 - t) + Depreciation & Amortization
- Capital Expenditure (“CapEx”)
- Net increase in working capital (or + net decrease in working capital)
+ Other relevant cash flows for an all equity firm
he free cash flow used for DCF analysis is expected future free cash flow. Bankers will typically construct projections, using a combination of guidelines from the company and a derivation of reasonable estimates using their own assumptions.
Terminal year
The terminal year represents the year (usually 10 years in the future) when the growth of the company is considered stabilized.
PV of terminal year FCF
= TYFCFx(1+g)
/(1+r)^10(R-G)
Adding this to discounted FCF’s gives value in DCF
WACC
formula uses market value of debt and equity
Debt tax shield
= total debt of company for that year x corporate tax rate x Weighted average interest rate on that debt calculated for each year of the projected cash flows
Multiple Analysis or Comparable
Company Analysis
Quite often, there is not enough information to determine the valuation using the comparable transactions method. In these cases, you can value a company based on market valuation multiples, which you can do by using more readily available information. Examples of these valuation multiples include price/earning multiples (also known as P/E ratios, this method, which compares a company’s market capitalization to its annual income, is the most commonly used multiple) EBITDA multiples, and others.
Once you have done this, you can add debt to ascertain enterprise value. When using these methods, you look at which multiples are used for other companies in the industry to ascertain equity value.