Comparable Companies Analysis Flashcards
Five Steps of Comparable Companies Analysis
Select the Universe of Comparable Companies, Locate the Necessary Financial Information, Spread Key Statistics, Benchmark the Comparable Companies, Determine Valuation
Select the Universe of Comparable Companies
The foundation for performing trading comps. It can prove challenging for companies whose peers are not readily apparent. To identify companies with similar business and financial characteristics, it is first necessary to gain a sound understanding of the target. As a starting point, the banker typically consults with peers or senior colleagues to see if a relevant set of comparable companies already exists internally. If beginning from scratch, the banker casts a broad net to review as many potential comparable companies as possible. This broader group is eventually narrowed, and then typically further refined to a subset of ‘closest comparables’. A survey of the target’s public competitors is generally a good place to start identifying potential comparable companies.
Locate the Necessary Financial Information
Once the initial comparables universe is determined, the banker locates the financial information necessary to analyze the selected comparable companies and calculate key financial statistics. The primary data for calculating these metrics is compiled from various sources, including a company’s SEC filings, consensus research estimates, equity research reports, and press releases.
Spread Key Statistics
This involves calculating market valuation measures, such as enterprise value and equity value, as well as key income statement items, such as EBITDA and net income. A variety of ratios and other metrics measuring profitability, growth, returns, and credit strength are also calculated at this stage. Selected financial statistics are then used to calculate trading multiples for the comparables. As part of this process, the banker needs to employ various financial concepts and techniques, including the calculation of LTM financial statistics, calendarization of company financials, and adjustments for non-recurring items.
Benchmark the Comparable Companies
The next level of analysis requires an in-depth examination of the comparable companies in order to determine the target’s relative ranking and closest comparables. To assist in this task, the banker typically lays out the calculated financial statistics and ratios for the comparable companies alongside those of the target in spreadsheet form for easy comparison. This exercise is known as ‘benchmarking’. Benchmarking serves to determine the relative strength of the comparable companies versus one another and the target. The similarities and discrepancies in size, growth rates, margins, and leverage, for example, among the comparables and the target are closely examined. Certain outliers can be eliminated and/or the comparables can be further tiered.
Determine Valuation
The trading multiples of the comparable companies serve as the basis for deriving a valuation range for the target. The banker typically begins by using the means and medians for the relevant trading multiples as the basis for extrapolating an initial range. The high and low multiples for the comparables universe provide further guidance in terms of a potential ceiling or floor. The key to arriving at the tightest, most appropriate range, however, is to rely upon the multiples of the closest comparables as guideposts. Consequently, only a few carefully selected companies may serve as the ultimate basis for valuation, with the broader group serving as additional reference points. The chosen range is then applied to the target’s relevant financial statistics to produce an implied valuation range.
Factors to Determine ‘Universe’ of CCs
Business profile, sector, products and services, customers, end markets, distribution channels, geography, financial profile, size, profitability, growth profile, return on investment, credit profile.
Income Statement Data
Sales, Gross Profit, EBITDA, EBIT, Net Income / EPS
Balance Sheet Data
Cash balance, Debt balance, Shareholder’s Equity
Cash Flow Statement Data
Depreciation & Amortization, Capital Expenditures
Share Data
Basic Shares Outstanding, Options and Warrants Data
Market Data
Share Price Data, Credit Ratings
General Information Should Include
Company Name, Ticker, Stock Exchange, Fiscal Year Ending, Moody’s Corporate Rating, S&P Corporate Rating, Predicted Beta, Marginal Tax Rate.
Sales
All else being equal, companies with greater sales volumes tend to benefit from scale, market share, purchasing power, and lower risk profile, and are often rewarded by the market with a premium valuation relative to smaller peers.
Gross Profit
Sales - COGS, the profit earned by a company after subtracting costs directly related to production of its products and services. As such, it is a key indicator of operation efficiency and pricing power.