Coincidence And Misjudgement Flashcards
Why may coincidences be interpreted as paranormal?
Due to the fact that people are poor judges of probability so underestimate the occurrence of chance effects
What is a coincidence?
A seemingly improbably simultaneous occurrence of two or more events
What is zusne and Jones study an example of?
Law of truly large numbers
What is an example of the law of truly large numbers?
Zusne and Jones
What did Zusne and Jones do?
Calculated the probability of thinking about any of the people we knew of by chance alone within 5 minutes before learning of their death would be about 1 in 30,000 per year. Although a rare event for any individual, in a country the size of America about 3000 adults would have such an experience by chance in any given year