Climate change Part 2 Flashcards
what are heat waves
small changes in mean/variance of temp lead to large chgs in extremes
are single heat waves caused by global warming
no, not directly
caused by sationary high pressure in tropsphere
- downward motion of air, causing clear skies + lack of precipitation
how will climate change affect heat waves
frequency and intensity
what are some impacts associated with extreme heat
heat stress - human health
droughts - crop damage and water supply issues
air quality - poor air quality with heat waves bc temp inversion + lgithw inds trap pollutants
what part of the world is the most vulnerable to human health affects from climate change
under developed world
- malnutrition, deaths, disease, injury from heat waves, floods, storms, fires, droughts
- infections
with rising temps and increasing precicpiation, what disease is expected to increase as well
malaria
what regions is malaria usually restricted to?
tropical and subtropics
what is the Zika virus1
bite of ifected aedes mosquito
passed from pregnant women to fetus
no vaccina / treatment
about 8 million deaths globally per year are attributed to outdoor and indoor…
air pollution
what is lyme disease
spreading in eastern canada because of warming climate
tick bite
Arctic sea ice loss will impact..
inuit way of life
ecosystem stress
warming positive feedback
increased transportation + development
does melting sea ice increase sea level
nope, doesn’t affect it
multi-year ice is thicker and more stable. It’s found only close to Canadian Arctic Islands and Greenland. What does the loss of this ice mean?
icnreases chances of irreversible tipping point
ice free summers
what measures the freeboard height of the sea ice above mean sea level, estimating sea ice thickness?
Cryo-Sat2
What is the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) ?
2 satellites fly in formation
precise measurements of earth’s gravity
measures gravity anomalies
as sea ice removed, greenland’s gravity is reduced
what is the main trend with sea level rise and mass loss of greenland ice sheet?
sea level rising
about 0.77 mm per year
why is the greenland ice albedo becoming darker/lowering?
black carbon deposits
- comes from soot aerosols being transported from the south, deposited on ice sheet
- increases amount of solar E absorbed by ice sheet surface
accelerates melting
when is the black carbon aerosols (from soot, dust) being deposited on the greenland ice sheet
in the summer
why is the west antarctic ice sheet unstable
grounded below sea level, so warmer ocean water can intrude below ice sheet
increases melt
why is the east antarctic ice sheet more stable than the west
east - solidly locked on continent, above sea level mostly
west - below sea level, water can come up and erode it
what is permafrost
permanently frozen ground
what is stored in permafrost
methane
if permafrost melts.. what could cause the huge positive feedback?
methane release
what layer of permafrost is methane released from?
the extra active layer thickness
thicker active layer
what are the different layers of permafrost
active layer - melts in summer
permafrost layer - stay below 0 all year
methane stored here
sea ice extent (greenland), antarctic ice sheets and effects on sea level rise, permafrost… what else is happening in the mountains..
glaciers retreating
what causes sea level to change
chemical changes in wind stress
surface and deep ocean circuation changes, storm surges
exchange of water stored on land by glaciers and ice sheets
gavitational effects of ice sheets
terrestrial water storage extraction of groundwater, reservoirs, runoff
what sea level higher or lower during the last glacial maximum?
lower
sea level goes up and down seasonally.. why
nothern hemisphere snowfall and melt
Global sea level rise projections from the IPCC - the worst case scenario means we need to…
the best case scenario means we need to…
worst case - mitigate
best case - adapt to new sea level
what are thre 3 main contributors to global sea level rise?
melting land ice (greenland, mountaim glaciers, antarctic)
thermal expansion of sea water w temps
groundwater depletion
the change in the earth climate system is gaining heat because of the reduction in …
outgoing IF radiation to space
caused by extra GGs in atmosphere
if more of the wamring goes deeper into the ocean, then the sea surface temp will…
warm less
what is ARGO
global array of free-drifting profiling floats
measure temp + salinity in upper 2000m of ocean
determine density - calculate amount of warming
what is the main difference btw CERES satellites and ARGO
CERES - measure energy imbalance for whole earth
ARGO - measure ocean warming
the Netherlands, New York and Venice are vulnerable to what
coastal deltas
population displacement by sea level
explain how tropical cyclones work
get energy from latent head when water vapour evaporated from warm sea surface condenses in atmosphere - makes clouds and rain
warmer sea surface temp = more water to be condesned = stronger cyclones w global warming, however number of cyclones unsure
the centre of cyclone is called the eye where the air is…
what kind of air surround the eye
sinking
eyewall = highest wind speeds and heaviest rain
what are the 2 sources for strom surge (rise in local sea level)
- wind driven stress on the surface
- pressure effect due to low atmospheric pressure - water rises
wind driven surge and pressure surge
is there a clear trend in the number of hurricanes?
no clear trend with global warming
the small pacific island communities are affected by what
sea level rise
the Amazon Rainforests have two features that impact global climate..
biodiveristy
carbon storage
what caused forest fires in the Amazon in 2005 that released more carbon than all human emissions from Japan and Europe combined
drought
what could cause irreversible damage in the Amazon and the rest of the global climate
deforestation and climate change in this region
what causes coral bleaching
temp rises
can cause permanent damage
what are zooanthellae
algae that provides food for corals through photosynthesis
when do strong bleaching events occur in corals
El nino events
why is coral bleaching correlated with El nino events
warms oceans and atmosphere
what is a concern with the rising acidification of the oceans
shelled phyto and zoo plankton stress
calcifying organism processes distrupted
- corals, echinoderms, coccolithophores, molluscs, plankton
what is the theory behind species extinction as ecosystem change
can species move fast enough to stay in same temp regime
if the niche is small or ifthe species is located on the niche gradient, will it be sensitive to climate change
yes
based on simulated enviro niches for 3 tree species by annual temp and rain
doesn’t account for species interaction
how will the vegetation change in the arctic regions with a warmer climate
more boreal forests
the possible reduction in the land biosphere carbon sink in the future the warming exceeds a certain threshold means the land biota may become a net…
source of atmospheric carbon
what effect does the western pine beetle in canada have
threat to boreal forest, western canada
thrives in warmer climates, winters are no longer cold enough to kill them
kill forests
Tipping point - Collapse of Thermohaline circulation
what is this?
transports heat to northern north Atlantic
Tipping point - Collapse of Thermohaline circulation
if the circulation slows odwn, the heat transport will be reduced resulting in… bu enhanced…
local cooling in Nothern Europe
enhanced warming in subtropics
Tipping point - Collapse of Thermohaline circulation
too much warming or fresh water from ice melting where deep water forms near Greenland may inhibit…. that will ultimately disrupt thermohaline circulation
inhibit sinking
this is a tipping point
Tipping point - Collapse of Thermohaline circulation
global warming will make surface water around greenland warmer and less salty from ice melting - how would this affect the surface water denistyq
reduce it
not dense enough to sink o bottom of Atlantic
cutting thermohaline ciculation
how would the thermohaline circulation be cut off with warming temperatures
surface waters near greenland warmer + less salty
reduce density of surface water
not dense enough to sink to bottom of Atlantic
reduce transport of heat from tropics to poles in Atlantic
what is the tipping point idea for the thermohaline
act like an off/on switch
rising temps and less salty ynear greenland, less dense, less sinking, switch off
what is the tipping point idea for arctic ice open in summer
ice albedo temp positive feedback - accelerate sea ice loss
thinning of ice reach threshold that prevents re-establishment of multi-year ice
it would take thousands of years to melt most of greenland by air contact alone. What are some ways to accelerate this?
increase ice flow + calving into oceans
What is the tipping point idea of melt water ponds on greenland
melt water flowing under the ice sheet allows ice sheet to move fasater towards oceans
**likely take hundreds of year though
what are moulins?
allow water to lubricate the bottom of the greenland ice sheet
What is the tipping point idea with the West Antarctic Ice sheet and its unstable nature?
breaking up the Ross Ice Shelf allow ice streams on West Antarctic ice sheet to move faster
also base below sea level, more warming can occur from water underneath
What is ENSO
El Nino Southern Oscillation
- atmos-ocean coupled mode of inter annual variability
creates weather anomalies around the world
changes in El nino affect world
tropical-pacific climate regimes swith between…
El nino and La nina
What can happen in a strong el nino
drought in peru pacific rain fall shift east weaker trade winds sea level higher i neast global air and sea surface temp increases
what is the tipping point idea with a permanent El nino state
warmer world
more heat in ocean surface
regional monsoon failure - whats the tipping point
aerosils from pollution reflect some solar back to space, cooling continent and weaken monsoons
destruction of the amazon rainforest - whats the tipping point
die back in forests
precipiation in this region usually evaporatde locally
loss of vegetation with worsen drying
the boreal forest dieback tipping point
forests stressed beyond recovery is local temp increase by 7 deg
loss of carbon storage
is there more carbon storage in boreal forests or tropical forests
boreal, soils are a big factor for why this is
why are boreal forests better at storing carbon than tropical forests
soils in boreal forest store carbon better
th rapid release of subsurface frozen methane comes from where
permafrost
methane hydrates in ocean floor
methane is stored under high pressure in the ocean floor as methane hydrates. what could happen with warming temps
hydrates could melt
cold enough at 500m belo, 200m in arctic - keeps it frozen
below sea floow - gets warmer because of geothermal gradient
list the type of gas hydrate deposits
permafrost
hydrate stability zone in ocean
trapped under pressure
in mud/seafloor
Expansion of oxygen minimu zones in the oceans, caused by stagnation of water - what are the consequences of this happening
reduce oxygen transport from surface to itnermediate depths
ocean acidification
tipping point for some species
increase in severe weather, like more flooding - is this a tipping point
likely not a true tipping point but increase weather extremes and severity
A weakening of the north-south temperature gradient in the mid-latitudes may increase frequency of blocking patterns. how will this affect droughts and heavy rain perids
lengthen duration
amplification of stationary planetary waves in the westerlies
what are the 4 E’s for Energy Demand
economy
Energy
Emissions
Environment
which type of energy has a greater capacity to do work - low or high entropy
low entropy
All activites require two things
raw materials and energy
what are 4 types of energy
kinetic, potential, electromagnetic, nuclear
what is energy what is power
energy = all entities have it
power = rate of energy use
amount of energy used per time
before industrialization, before machines, before use of animal power, how was energy requirements obtained
humans!!
whats one main sustainability issue with the energy source with use today aka fossil fuels
waste
pre-industrialization, pre-machine - what was the main source of energy for people
coal and biomass
what is primary energy
energy in resources same level as they are in nature
can you use primary energy
no, must convert to secondary energy - electricity and fuels
what is final energy
energy delivered
transported + distributed
individual homes, gas stations, etc
what is suefull energy
use by the appliances
ex. stoves, washing machines, vehicles
energy forms of kinetic energy or heat
provides energy services
explain the conversion of energy from primary through to useful
primary secondary final useful energy services
what are the largest contributors to global greenhouse gas emissions by economic sector
electrcity + heat
agricultre, forestry, land use
industry
what is the trend with CO2 emission and GDP
right now, CO2 increasing with GDP because countries industrializing, increasing emissions
we want to decarbonize the economy - move in direction with less carbon
coal releases about 70% more carbon when compared to natural gas - why is this relevant today
coal is on the rise again!!!!
what are some sustainable energy sources
wind solar hydroelectric waves tides geothermal nuclear (not truly sustainable)
NS power doesnt use J to compute energy they use kWh which means..
charging based on electrical energy use, personal use
in predicting future CO2 emission and other GGs depend on… things that cause uncertainty
rate of human pop growth
average emission chgs per person
global standard of living
efficiency, tech, fuel type, land use chgs
there are uncertainties in estimating the atmospheric concentration of CO@ + GGs that depend on the sinks. what are these two sinks
varying ocean sink
land biosphere sink
what s GDP
Gross Domestic Product
value of all products and services
per capita = per person
what is the kaya identity
way of measuring the total carbon emission or CO2 emissions
takes into account population, affluence, energy intesnity, carbon intensity of energy
what are the 4 factors of the Kaya identity
population
afluence
energy intensity
Carbon intensity of energy
list some social factors that affect population growth
education, religion. culture, health care, women’s rights, standard of living, government policies