climate change Flashcards
what is the definition of climate change
Variations in weather conditions from the norm over long period of time
physical risk (acute)
extreme weather conditions leading to a loss in bank operations or supply chains that create a financial loss
Physical risk (chronic)
long term changes in weather such as changing temperatures and rising sea levels that pose risk to the banks financial loss
transnational risk
transitioning into a low carbon economy
how can regulators pose a transitional risk
- policies imposed by regulators can affect how companies transitions the can affect profitability of the company - banks may have to adapt balance sheets to mee this criteria
how transnational risk occurs through technology changes
- technologies can affect the bank by changing operating methods - companies such as oil companies may have demand fall due to new technologies supplying clean energy
how transition risk occurs through market risk
- the affect of climate change on market, making assets more/less valuable can impact a bank. For example the bank could hold securities in certain companies but due to the high carbon emission it may reduce the price of these securities
how transitions risk occurs through reputational risk
- if a company has a poor reputation in terms of polluting and the climate change contribution, it may change customer preference affecting their ability to pay back loans
how transaction risk occurs through litigation
banks may not follow regulatory policies making them accountable and facing legal trouble - this is the same for businesses as they may face legal trouble for not following certain polices that can affect the companies repayment obligations
how physical risk occurs the liability through
- banks offer many types of insurance - if a place that is prone to natural disaster is hit, this could mean big legal pay-outs by the bank
how physical risk occurs through operational risk
- physical risk - if hit by a natural disaster this mean the company may not be able to efficiently operate
assessing climate risk (step 1)
identifying and recognising potential risk - e.g. physical, transitional, liability, market… and mapping these to relevant banking activities
assessing climate risk (step 2)
measuring risk - quantifying risk and exposure by collecting relevant data e.g. geographical, industry, emissions, regulatory compliance
assessing climate risk (step 3)
simulate test that demonstrate intense events surrounding the climate to see how the bank withstands the pressure financially - after this it allows you to identify areas of improvement
assessing climate risk (step 4)
scenario testing - more for longer term evaluation - this can be exposure to certain occurrences e.g. rising sea levels, temperature rises to see how it affects the banks financials, liquidity and risk profile