CLASS AUGUST 26 Flashcards
STANDARD DEVIATION!! Very important
Be able to calculate
Measure of Total Risk
Be able to calculate with calculator
COEFFICIENT OF VARIATION. Very important!!
Compares two assets with different averages
Swiss Army knife of diversification
The higher the CoV, the more risky the investment and less likely an investor is likely to achieve average return
Lower number is better (less risk for more return).
Standard deviation in numerator/return is denominator
CORRELATION and CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
Measure movement of one security relative to that of another
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT IS R — it is a relative measure
Correlated = forest fires and ice cream
Correlation of +1 denotes two assets perfectly positively related
Correlation Coefficient gives us boundaries to work inside of
We want securities that are opposite
COVARIANCE
Used
BETA
Measures systematic risk (volatility)
Compared to S&P 500
Rsq (Coefficient of Determination)
Measure of how much of the return is due to market
Square the CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
We don’t want unsystematic risk—we want an Rsq that approaches 100
Rsq more than .70, you can use Beta
Rsq is LESS than .70, you have to use Standard Deviation
SYSTEMATIC vs UNSYSTEMATIC RISK
Systematic = market, undiversifiable, economy based risk
Purchasing power Reinvestment rate Interest rate Market Exchange rate
Unsystematic = is diversifiable, unique, company specific risk Accounting Business(specific company)** Country Default Executive Financial**(debt) Government (Regulation)
MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY
Outcome of MPT = Efficient Frontier
Indifference curve is a measure of utility
CAPITAL MARKET LINE
Finding a Required Rate of return and the optimal portfolio
PART of CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL (helps determine good from bad investment)
SML is better than CML because it uses BETA!!!
CAPM and SML are used interchangeably
SML = S M I L E. Formula =
SECURITY MARKET LINE S M I L E
Practice the calculation!!!
Risk free rate + beta X risk premium (Risk premium = market rate - risk free rate)
PORTFOLIO RISK
Standard deviation of a portfolio (very long formula!! There is a shortcut)
Portfolio deviation
Portfolio Performance Measures
TREYNOR - - Beta (as denominator) and portfolio return - risk free (as numerator)
Relative measure with another Treynor—-Higher the better
Formula: rport - risk free/Beta of port
SHARPE - - Stand Dev of port as denominator
Relative measure with another Sharpe—-Higher the better
**Use this if you are not given Rsquared
JENSEN ALPHA - - absolute performance measure of fund management
Higher the better (better performance)
Long formula!!!!!
PLEASE EXCUSE MY DEAR AUNT SALLY
Parentheses - Exponents - multiply - divide - sum
PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Holding Period Return
Selling price - purchase price +/- cash flows divided by Initial Equity
No time element involved
Take into account margin interest paid, see slide 66 (?)
60% initial margin, $20 per share, 10% margin interest, sold for $3,000 (100 shares)
Holding Period Return FORMULA is on Exam formula sheet
PORTFOLIO RETURNS
Effective Annual Rate
EAR = (1+ i/n)power n - 1
PORTFOLIO RETURNS contd
ARITHMETIC AVERAGE
Doesnt’ consider COMPOUNDING, simple average only