Class 8 Flashcards
Name the 3 determinant of exchange rate
1) Parity conditions approach
2) Balance of payments
3) Monetary Approach and asset market approach
Of the 3 determinants of exchange rate, which is the most relative or used? What does this mean?
Relative purchasing power parity
This means that changes in relative prices (considering inflation) between countries drive the change in exchange rates over time
Has PPP proven to be accurate for exchange rates in the short term? Why?
Not it hasn’t proven to be good in the short term since its basic assumption is that the only thing that matters is relative price changes which isn’t true since many currencies are driven by supply and demand
What is the second most used approach to exchange rates? Why?
Balance of Payment because it takes into account supply and demand and current and financial account of a country
In BOP exchange rate, how do you know when the equilibrium exchange rate is found
When the inflow of foreign exchange from current accounts matches net outflow of foreign exchange coming from financial account activities
What is a criticism of the BOP approach
It emphasis on flow of currency an capital rather than on stocks of money and financial assets
Who hates and who used the BOP approach for FX
Hated by academic community but used by market participants
What is the monetary approach to FX
exchange rate is determined by supply and demand of national monetary stocks and the expected futures levels and rates of growth of monetary policy
Are other financial assets useful in monetary approach FX? Why?
No, because both domestic and foreign bonds are viewed as perfect substitiues
What is used in the monetary approach to determine inflation?
Supply and demand for money
What is a weakness of monetary models
That real economic activity is relegated to a role in which it only influences exchange rates through changes in the demand for money
What is the asset market approach
States that the supply and demand for many financial assets determines the exchanger rates
What impacts does the supply and demand of financial assets have?
Has an impact on exchange rates since it alters expected returns and perceived risks of financial asstes
When are the foreign exchange rate theories most useable
in the short to medium term, but not in the long term
How may a currency be valued by an investor?
Similar to a bond or stock, based on the expected future events and flows of cross-border funds