Chpt. 11, Probability and Statistics Flashcards
Fundamental Counting Principle
in a sequence of selections, you can multiply the number of choices for each selection, and the product is the total number of possible overall outcomes
permutation
an arrangement of items in a particular order
the number of n objects taken r at a time is:
p = n!/(n - r)!
n factorial (!)
for any positive integer n, n factorial is n * n-1 * n-2, all the way down to zero
combination
any unordered selection of r objects from a set of n objects
the number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is:
C = n!/r!(n-r)!
experimental probability
the ratio of the number of times something actually happens over the number of times the experiment has been done
simulation
a model that imitates one or more events
sample space
the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
equally likely outcomes
events in a sample space that have the same chance of occurring
theoretical probability
if a sample space has n possible outcomes, and an event A occurs in m of these outcomes, then the theoretical probability of events a is P(A) = m/n
dependent events
when the outcome of one event determines the outcome of a second event
independent events
when the outcome of one event does not affect the probability of a second event
mutually exclusive events
when two events cannot happen at the same time
the probability of events A occurring and event B occurring also
P(A) * P(B)
conditional probability
conditional probability contains a condition that may limit the sample space for an event; for example:
(train arrives and departs on time) train departs on time)
measures of central tendency
mean, median, and mode