Chp 33-38 Flashcards

1
Q

1) Definitions of cost and price

A

a) Cost – amount that should be theoretically charged for the benefits
b) Price – amount that can be charged for benefits under particular set of market conditions and may be more or less than the cost

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2
Q

2) Why “actual cost” may differ from “theoretical cost” of benefits and

A

a) Expenses, profit, taxation, commission, opportunity cost of any capital supporting the product, margins for contingencies, cost of options and guarantees, investment income, reinsurance costs, use of experience rating to adjust future premiums, basis that will be used to set future provisions for liabilities may be different form basis used to determine cost

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3
Q

3) why “actual price” differ from “actual cost”

A

a) Provider’s distribution system may enable it to sell above market price or to take advantage of economies of scale
b) There may only be a limited number of providers in the market and so higher premiums can be charged
c) Cheap product may attract customers to other, more profitable products of the company

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4
Q

4) Definitions of six methods of financing benefits (five methods of funding plus pay-as-you-go)

A

a) Single premium
b) Regular contributions
c) Terminal funding
d) Just-in-time funding
e) Repartition – funds that are set up to smooth costs under pay-as-you-go approach

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5
Q

5) Principles underlying the determination of discontinuance benefits for individual policyholders in life insurance

A

a) Amount offered on discontinuance should be fair to
i) Policyholder or scheme member
ii) Other policyholders and scheme members
iii) Provider of benefits
b) Discontinuance terms may be governed by
i) Market practice
ii) Regulatory requirements
iii) Difficulty of assessing suitable terms
c) They can take form of
i) Lump sum
ii) Paid-up status with no more premiums payable

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6
Q

a) Amount offered on discontinuance should be fair to

A

i) Policyholder or scheme member
ii) Other policyholders and scheme members
iii) Provider of benefits

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7
Q

b) Discontinuance terms may be governed by

A

i) Market practice
ii) Regulatory requirements
iii) Difficulty of assessing suitable terms

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8
Q

c) Discontinuance can take form of

A

i) Lump sum

ii) Paid-up status with no more premiums payable

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9
Q

6) Principles underlying determination of discontinuance benefits for individual members in benefit schemes and for entire benefit schemes

A

a) Equitable between members who leave and members of the scheme
b) Where assets available to provide benefits are insufficient, payment to members leaving may be reduced to reflect this, or the members can choose not to transfer benefits away but retain full discontinuance benefits in the scheme.

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10
Q

7) Reasons why insurance companies rarely become insolvent

A

a) Subject to state regulation – need to maintain solvency capital, reporting requirements

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11
Q

8) Actions that insurance companies can take to improve their solvency position

A

a) Close to new business – Save initial costs and free up capital
b) Establish a recovery plan
c) Insurer may be sold or to merge with another provider who takes on the liabilities

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12
Q

9) Factors to consider on the discontinuance of a benefit scheme, e.g. rights and expectations of beneficiaries, funding level, priority ordering

A

a) Rights of beneficiaries – depend on term under which scheme operates and any overriding legislation
b) Expectations of beneficiaries – likely to be benefits that would have been available had the scheme not discontinued
c) Funding level – accrued benefits may be reduced if there are insufficient assets
d) Priority ordering – legislation or scheme rules may indicate which types of benefits are to be reduced or which types of beneficiaries are to have their benefit reduced, if there is a fund surplus length of membership may be used to distribute surplus

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13
Q

10) Options that exist for the provision of benefits on discontinuance of a scheme and their pros/cons

A

a) Continuation of scheme without any further accrual of liabilities
b) Transfer of liabilities to another scheme with the same sponsor
c) Transfer of funds to beneficiary to extinguish liability
d) Transfer of funds to insurance company to invest and to provide benefit

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14
Q

11) Definition of “provisions”

A

a) Calculated amounts that need to be set aside to meet provider’s future liabilities

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15
Q

12) Definition of “best estimate” basis and why different best estimate bases arise

A

a) Best estimate of future experience by an actuary applying his/her judgement
b) Different best estimates arise because the estimates are subjective from actuary to actuary

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16
Q

13) Reasons why bases other than best estimate might be used

A

a) The reason for the valuation
b) Needs of the client
c) Requirements of legislative or regulatory authority

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17
Q

14) How to build in caution to a valuation basis

A

a) Use alternative scenarios
b) Incorporate margin of safety
c) Use basis stronger than the best estimate basis

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18
Q
15)	Influence of following parties on basis used:
Regulator 
Individuals 
Shareholders 
Trustees
A

a) Regulator – want realistic picture of provider’s finances, may intentionally understate financial strength of provider
b) Individuals – customers want values that take account of their individual circumstances
c) Shareholders – want to see actuary’s best estimate of future experience in the company’s accounts
d) Trustees – want the safety and certainty of their future benefits

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19
Q
16)	Factors influencing the bases used for:
Accounts 
Regulatory purposes
Liability transfers 
Investment decisions
A

a) Accounts – shareholders/public expectations with no overstating or understating of assumptions
b) Regulatory purposes – demonstrate financial strength of provider
c) Liability transfers – acquirer will demand stronger estimate of liabilities to build in margin of safety, also influenced by relative power of the parties
d) Investment decisions – liability valuation will need to be realistic so that appropriate investment decisions can be made

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20
Q

17) Nine reasons for calculating individual provisions

A

Solvency demonstration
Internal management
M & A

Published accounts
Likely future contribution to a benefit scheme
Excess of assets over liabilities

Value benefit improvements for a benefit scheme
Influence investment strategy
Discontinuance/surrender benefits

21
Q

18) Items for which global provisions would be established and why

A

a) Additional provision necessary to cover risks from any mismatching of assets and liabilities
b) 50% probability of under-provision created by using best estimate assumptions may be considered too great by trustees
c) Structure of scheme membership – e.g. scheme closed to new members must cautiously measure future new contributions

22
Q

19) Issues to consider when valuing options

A

a) Options will move in and out of money over time depending on market conditions
b) Some option holders may fail to exercise an in the money options and others may exercise an out of the money option
c) Assuming that highest options is always exercised may build too much caution into valuation and may therefore have a too high cost
d) Risk of selection against the provider – guarded by setting eligibility criteria for the option or by setting terms that favour one option another

23
Q

e) Assumptions used for option pricing depends on

A

i) State of the economy
ii) Demographic factors such as age, health, employment status
iii) Cultural bias
iv) Consumer sophistication

24
Q

20) Issues to consider when valuing guarantees

A

a) Not productive to make unnecessarily large provision for worst case scenario for every contract, but best valued by stochastic approach taking class of business as a whole
b) Value of guarantees and their influences on consumer behaviour will vary widely according to the economic scenarios and the sophistication of the market

25
Q

a) Traditional discounted cashflow description

A

assume future investment return expected, future cashflows arising from liabilities are discounted to a present value using this rate, assets are also discounted at this rate for consistency, major criticism is that this method places a different value of the assets from the market value which introduces an additional element of risk

26
Q

b) Replicating portfolio description

A

taking fair value of liabilities as market value of portfolio of assets that most closely replicates the duration and risk characteristics of the liabilities, replicating portfolio can be established by using stochastic optimization techniques

27
Q

i) Replication portfolio (market value method)

A

(1) Assets taken at market value
(2) Liabilities discounted at yields on investments that match liabilities – often bonds
(3) Bond yield may be based on government or corporate bonds – the latter allow for credit risk
(4) Better, but more complicated, approach would be to use term standard discount rates that vary over time to reflect shape of the yield curve
(5) Market rate of inflation is derived as the difference between the yields on suitable portfolios of fixed-interest and index-linked bonds

28
Q

ii) Replicating portfolio (bond yields plus risk premium)

A

(1) Assets taken at market value
(2) Liabilities valued using discount rate found by adjusting bond yields by addition of a constant or variable equity risk premium
(3) Where a constant equity risk premium is used, the result is the same as for mark to market method except that, all other things being equal, the value of liabilities is usually lower
(4) More common to use a variable risk premium derived by combination of market information and actuarial judgement
(5) There is however a school of thought that taking account of extra return from equities is unsound unless account is also taken of the extra risk associated with equities, as a result some actuaries argue liabilities should only be valued using a risk free rate of return (i.e. government bond yields

29
Q

23) Definition of “fair value”

a) 2 definitions

A

i) Amount for which an asset could be exchanged for a liability settled between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm’s length transaction or
ii) Amount that the enterprise would have to pay a third party to take over the liability

30
Q

23) “fair value” - an outline of issues involved in calculating it

A

i) Sometimes straight forward – if contract provides that it can be terminated at various points in time for particular values
ii) Not practical – no liquid secondary market in many of the liabilities that actuaries are required to value
iii) One approach to estimating fair values is to consider liabilities as series of financial options and to use option pricing techniques to assess a value

31
Q

calculating provisions for claims - a) Statistical analysis

A

if population exposed to risk is large, consequence of risk event is approximately normal distributed, e.g. number of notified claims multiplied by average cost of claim in the last year

32
Q

calculating provisions for claims - b) Case-by-case estimates

A

if insured risk is a rare event with large variability in outcome

33
Q

calculating provisions for claims - c) Proportionate approach

A

for risks which a provider has accepted but where risk event has not yet occurred, set provision on basis that premium charged is a fair assessment of cost of the risk/expenses/profit – e.g. premium basis allows for 25% of premium to cover expenses/commission/profit, establish provision for unexpired part of a year’s cover by assuming that 75% of premium covers risks equally through period of policy

34
Q

calculating provisions for claims - d) Equalization reserves

A

establish claim equalization reserve to smooth results of claims, way of deferring profits and hence tax

35
Q

25) Four accounting principles and how to interpret prudence in the light of a financial services provider

A

a) Going concern – enterprise will continue in operational existence for the foreseeable future
b) Accruals – revenue and costs are recognized as they are earned or incurred, not as money is received or paid
c) Consistency – consistency of accounting treatment of like items within each accounting period and from one period to next
d) Prudence – revenue and profits not anticipated and provision is made for all known liabilities

36
Q

26) Issues to take into account in interpreting insurance company

A

i) Existence of cyclical effects means comparison of insurer profitability with other insurers is necessary
ii) If provisions established at end of the year are weaker, in relation to current conditions, than those established at end of previous year, profit for the year will have been overstated, and vice versa
iii) Examining individual accounting items and various ratios and comparing them with accounts of earlier years may give indication of strength of provisions

37
Q

26) Issues to take into account in interpreting benefit scheme accounts

A

b) Benefit schemes
i) Do not generate profit or losses
ii) Actuarial valuation of scheme generates a figure for accumulated surplus or deficit

38
Q

27) Issues surrounding the disclosure of information to beneficiaries of a benefit scheme – what is disclosed,

A

(Acronym – DISCLOSURE, Acronym – PRICE, Acronym – SIMMERS)

39
Q

27) Issues surrounding the disclosure of information to beneficiaries of a benefit scheme – what disclosed,

A

Director’s pension costs
Investment strategy and performance
Surplus/deficit arising in last year and surplus/deficit accrued
Calculation methods and assumptions
Liabilities accruing over the year and liabilities accrued at start of year
Options and guarantees
Sponsor’s and member’s contribution obligations
Uncertainties (risks)
Rights on wind up
Expense charges and entitlement to benefits

40
Q

27) Issues surrounding the disclosure of information to beneficiaries of a benefit scheme – why disclosed,

A

Sponsor becomes aware of financial significance of benefits
Informed decisions can be made if disclosure clear and realistic
Mis-selling avoided
Manages the expectation of members
Encourages individuals to make own provision
Regulatory requirement
Security of scheme improved as sponsors/trustees made more accountable

41
Q

27) Issues surrounding the disclosure of information to beneficiaries of a benefit scheme – whendisclosed,

A
Payment commencement
Request
Intervals
Combination
Entry
42
Q

28) Why it is necessary for a provider of benefits to calculate surplus arising on a regular basis

A

a) Cannot wait until all contracts have gone off books because of long-term nature of financial services contracts
b) To monitor progress of business by valuing outstanding liabilities from time to time, often annually

43
Q

29) How to project the expected results of a provider to enable an analysis of surplus to take place

A

a) Set valuation assumptions regarding future likely cashflows and discount rates

44
Q

30) Reasons for performing an analysis of surplus (Acronym – DIVERGENCE)

A

Divergence of A vs. E (financial effect of) and finding the key assumptions
Information to management and for accounts
Variance as a whole is equal to the sum of variance of individual levers
Experience monitoring to feedback into ACC
Reconcile values for successive years
Group into one-off/recurring sources of surplus
Executive remuneration schemes (data for)
New business strain (show effects of)
Check on valuation assumptions and calculations
Extra check on valuation data and process

45
Q

31) How to project forward expected results in order to compare actual vs. expected experience

A

a) Surplus/profit or deficit/loss will arise due to difference in actual vs. expected
b) Build a model of expected future experience – multiply profit test results by expected number of contracts to be sold in each future year, then for each future year the number of contracts in force from previous years needs to be added in

46
Q

32) Possible sources of surplus

A

a) Mortality, morbidity, withdrawal/lapses, investment income and gains, expenses, commission, salary growth, inflation, taxation, premiums/contributions paid, new business levels, claim amounts

47
Q

33) Examples of how to control the sources of surplus i.e. the “levers”

A

a) Control expenses, reduce lapses, reduce claim rate through good underwriting of new business, use reinsurance to limit volatility of claims or to protect from risk of large claims, follow investment policy that increases investment returns, increase renewal rate, adopt effective tax management policy

48
Q

34) How surplus may be distributed and the issues surrounding the distribution of surplus for life insurance companies and benefit schemes

A

a) With-profit company – pay bonuses to policyholders, pay dividend to shareholders
b) Mutual company – no shareholders, all surplus belongs to policyholders
c) Proprietary company – surplus belongs entirely to shareholders
d) Benefit scheme – surplus is usually retained within the scheme and may be used to enhance benefits of members or reduce future contributions of members and/or employer, subject to legislation