chart pattern trendlines Flashcards
What to be aware of when buying a stock
watch when trendline marks nearby overhead resistance
Three kinds of trendlines
External, Internal and Curved
What are the characteristics of external trendlines (upsloping or downsloping)
- Upsloping trendlines connect the valley of a rising trend
- When the price crosses the trend line, it is an indication of a possible trend change from up to down (zig-zag but still moves upwards is in trend)
- Line isn’t cut through the price, but rest along the bottom of valleys (upward) or top of peaks (downward)
What are the characteristics of Internal trendlines
- Drawn to rest flat on the peaks or valleys - cutting through the price
- Used to highlight price movement best for an unusually long trend or chart pattern
What are the characteristics of curved trendlines
- Highlights the price pattern
- Slices through the price
- Called the ascending and descending scallop
- Sell signal, sharp reversal follows the breakout from the parabolic or steep trend line
What are characteristic of touch spacing
- Large moves come after a breakout from a trend line with widely spaced touches
- Review page 22 for the example
- Trendlines with touches spaced wider apart (about a month) perform better than the narrow spaced touches
- The more touches on a trend line, the stronger the trend
What are the trendline lengths and timelines? Which length is the best?
- Short (0-3 months)
- Intermediate (3-6 months)
- Long (more than 6 months)
- Long trends outperform short ones
What are important things to consider when it comes to trendline angles?
- The steeper the trend line, the worst it performs
- Upsloping trendline breakout = a close below the trend line
- Downsloping trendline breakout = a close above the trend line
- Aspect ratio = relationship between width to height of the chart
What are important things to consider when it comes to trendlines and breakout volume
- Larger price decline after a breakout from an upsloping trendline if volume is trending up
- Large rise in price if breakdown from a downsloping trend line If volume is trending down
How do you draw trendlines?
- If you see several peaks and or valleys that line up, draw a line across them
- When price reaches the bottom of the channel. Buy the stock, sell when it shows signs of turning at the top of the channel
- Sometimes price forms channels, bouncing side to side. Buy low end of the channel and sell high for a swing trade
1-2-3 Trend Change Method
- Price below an upsloping trend line = price is no longer up
- Price below a downsloping trend line = price is no longer down
- Draw an external trendline from the lowest valley before the highest peak and leading to the highest peak (making point 1)
- Price should attempt to climb back to the price level of the highest peak but not exceed by much (making point 2) [example on page 28]
- Price must close below the lowest valley between the points, marking a valley with a horizontal line (making point 3)
- Opposite goes from downsloping trendlines
Sample trade using trendlines
- The ascending wedge is a chart pattern with two trendiness that widen over time but both tilt upward
Advanced Trendline Tactics (P 1)
- When price moves away from trend line, momentum is increasing
- When price moves toward trendline, momentum is decreasing
- When price rides along the trend line, the rate of change is constant
- When price pierces a downsloping trend line and makes a higher peak (second peak higher than the first) connect the two peaks with an upsloping trend line then draw a new line parallel to the original trend line starting at the low between the two peaks/ the lower trend line will show where price is likely to reverse
Advanced Trendline Tactics (P 2)
- When price pierces steep trend line it often moves up at a slower rate, following a new trend line
- Expect a pullback (downward breakout) or throwback (upward breakout) after price pierces a trend line
- When price pierces a trend line, look at the prior day’s close
- For upsloping trendiness, if prior close was at or near the intraday high, the chances of a downtrend breakout is false
- If the close was near the intraday low, chances increase that the breakout is valid