Chapter Eighteen Flashcards
Ex Ante
Determined before the state of the world is known.
State of the world
A potential set of conditions
Ex Post
Determined after the state of the world is known.
Expected Value
The average value over all states of the world, with each state weighted by its probability.
Law of large numbers
When a gamble is repeated many times, the average outcome is the expected value.
Riskiness
Variation in potential outcomes.
Risk Free
Having the same value in any state of the world.
Fair odds
Odds that reflect the true probabilities of various states of the world.
Diversify
To reduce risk
Risk Neutral
Caring only about expected value.
Risk Averse
Always preferring the least risky among baskets with the same expected value.
Risk Preferring
Always preferring the most risky among baskets with the same expected value.
Uninsurable Risk
A risk that cannot be diversified.
Future contract
A contract to deliver a specified good at a specified future date for a specified price.
Futures market
The market for futures contracts.