Chapter 9.2 Flashcards
Technology transformed the way we ____ (3)
Communicate
Socialize
Travel
Design & Use future Technology ex (2)
Watch technology upcoming
Coming of classroom technology
New inventions ex (5)
Human compass
Password pill
Robort arm
Bionic limp
Artificial vision system
New Pandora’s box also known
Technology
“We do not ride the tailroad, it rides upon us”
Thoreau
4 Future scenarios
Extinction scenarios
Recurrent collapse scenarios
Plateau scenarios
Cumulative probability of Posthumanity
Least affected
If humanity goes extinct it stays extinct
Extinction scenarios
Unlikely the longer the time scale
Technological civilization will hesitate
Recurrent collapse scenarios
Recurrent collapse scenario in the level of civilization is
Theorized
The longer the timeframe, the smaller the probability
Plateau
Like extinction, increases monotonically over time
Cumulative probability of Posthumanity
Possibility, Posthuman condition is achieved
C.P of PH
Referred to as “Post human condition” is overdue
Posthumanity theory
Population bigger than
1 trillion persons
Larger than ___ years life expectancy
500
A theory/concept that is of an advance level of technological
Posthumanity
WMD & NBC
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical
So powerful, can spawn whole new classes of accidents
Genetics Nanotechnology and Robotics
Most dangerous
GNR Genetic Nanotechnology and Robotics
21st century
Amplified by power of self replication
Knowledge and enabled Mass Destruction
Two possible paths depic the future of humanity
Plateau
2 possible paths (plateau)
Permanent plateau
Status or close to the current status quo
Implausible
Arrived at the final human condition
Static view
2050 ____ times richer
7
2050 Population would be
9 billion
2100 ____ times richer
50
Constitute increasing fraction of experience
Virtual reality surroundings
Virtual reality ex 3
Recording
Surveillance
Biometric
Could affect more than modification
Intervention
Consequences for manufacturing, medicine, computing came from
Nanotechnology
Potential Revolutionary Technology
Machine Intelligence
Improve human groups to forecast
Prediction markets
“let an ultra-intelligent machine…”
Good
“Within 30 years…, superhuman intelligence”
Vernor Vinge
Future of technology will determined by (3)
Usability
Simplicity
Relevance to the needs of the future
Powerful weapons, had enormous risk
Weapons of mass Destruction
Nuclear Biological and Chemical
20th century
“In the game of life there are three players”
George Dyson
Human beings, Nature, Machines
Energy sources ex (3)
Coal
Petroleum
Electricity
Technology portrays ex 2
Advancement
Abilities
Practical application of knowledge
Technology
Nuclear holocaust/ Catastrophic changes
Global Societal Collapse
Individual Societies
Local Societal Collapse
Individual Societies
Local Societal Collapse
Societal Collapse 2 types
Local
Global
Phenomenon of slow trend being concealed within noisy fluctuations
Creeping normalcy
Diamond
Environmental factors (4)
overhunting
overfishing
habitat destruction
deforestation
Four new factors
Toxic chemical
human - cause climate change
energy shortage
earth photosynthetic
Four new factors
Toxic chemical
human - cause climate change
energy shortage
earth photosynthetic
“Many past causes of societal Collapse have elaborate ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS”
Diamond
Self replication
Genetic Nanotechnology and Robotics
Has “gray goo” problem self replicating nanobots
nanotechnology
Machines will achieve IMMORTALITY”
Bill Joy
Double edge sword (gain and loss)
Technology
Advanced less than 5,00 years ago
Agrarian societies
____ we live better now
Progress optimists
____, life is getting worse
Pessimists
Optimists and Pessimists
Veenhoven
Mother of invention
Necessity
Age of do-it-yourself
Age of automation
Life is getting better, lives more easily
Material standard of living
Fewer die in accidents/murder
Untimely death is reduced
Social evils ex 3
Poverty
ignorance
inequality
Human tool that is gradually perfected
improvement in evolutionary view
We can progress society by ____
social engineering
Traditional religious view
Phase of penance
Reduced Suffering
Universe exhibit 2 faces
Constructive
Destructive
Life getting worse
Contemporary Social Problems
Deviant behavior
criminality
drug use
school refuse
Social conflict
labor disputes
ethical trouble
political terrorism
Social conflict
labor disputes
ethical trouble
political terrorism
Society has changed a lot, while human nature has not
Society Drifting away from human nature