Chapter 9: Supervisory and published reporting valuations Flashcards
1 PUBLISHED FINANCIAL REPORTING METHODOLOGY
For the purpose of determining which insurance obligations arise in relation to an insurance contract, the contract boundary is defined as the date at which the insurer has the unilateral right to: (3)
- Terminate the contract
- Reject the premiums payable under the contract; or
- Amend the premiums or benefits payable under the contract at a future date in such a way that the premiums fully reflect the risks.
General principles for setting best-estimate assumptions: (4)
- Best-estimate assumptions should be considered separately for relatively independent groups of homogeneous policies.
- The best-estimate assumptions should be:
- realistic, generally guided by immediate past experience
- and modified by any knowledge of or expectations regarding the future. - Best-estimate assumptions should depend on the nature of the business.
- The actuary, in setting the assumptions, must take cognizance of the sensitivity of valuation results to changes in the various parameters, and may need to undertake the valuations on more than one basis.
The FSV reserve for group life contracts can be split into four parts: (4)
- Unexpired (unearned) premium reserve
- Incurred but not reported claims reserve (IBNR)
- Deficiency reserve
- Experience refund (or profit share) reserve.
The FSV is intended to be ____:
The FSV is intended to be prudently realistic, allowing explicitly for actual premiums that are expected to be received in terms of the contract that have not been recognized for accounting purposes and for future experience that may be expected in respect of interest rates, expenses, mortality, morbidity and other experience.
Under FSV, how are future options that can be taken up by policyholders dealt with?:
Where there are future options that can be taken by policyholders (for example, voluntary premium increases), these should only be taken into account where they lead to a higher liability.
Best-estimate assumptions should depend on the nature and term of the business, and allowance must be made for (Assumptions): (3)
- Expenses at a realistic level, including the split between renewal and initial expenses, making allowances for escalation of future expenses at an inflation rate that is consistent with the rates(s) of interest used.
- The effect of lapses and surrenders at a level that is consistent with past experience, modified by expected future trends.
- Mortality and morbidity, at a level consistent with past experience and modified by expected future trends. This must include the best-estimate of the effect of AIDS.
When setting the interest rate(s) at which to discount the liabilities, the actuary should: (3)
- Ensure that the rates used are mutually consistent and consistent with market yields to maturity of fixed-interest securities.
- Consider the expected future investment returns on a portfolio of assets appropriate to the liabilities, bearing in mind characteristics such as term, nature and duration.
- Make allowance for tax, using the actuary’s expectation of the effect of the tax basis on the expected future investment returns and of any expected future changes in the long-term insurer’s tax position.
Compulsory margins : (9)
- Mortality - 7.5% (increase for assurance, decrease for annuities)
- Morbidity - 10%
- Health - 15%
- Lapse - 25% (increase or decrease depending on which alternative increases liabilities)
- Termination for disability income - Increase of 10%
- Surrenders - 10% (increase or decrease depending on which alternative increases liabilities)
- Expenses - 10%
- Expense inflation - 10% (of estimate escalation rate)
- Charge against investment return - 25 bps in the management fee or an equivalent asset-based or investment performance-based margin
- PRUDENTIAL SUPERVISION REPORTING
(Prudential Supervision Reporting) Actuarial liabilities:
- Actuarial liabilities, known as technical provisions for prudential supervision reporting, are calculated using market-consistent principles.
- They consist of best-estimate liabilities and a risk margin on non-hedgeable risks.
(Prudential Supervision Reporting) Best-estimate liabilities:
The best-estimate liability is equal to the probability-weighted average of future cash flows, taking account of the time value of money by discounting using a risk-free yield curve.
(Prudential Supervision Reporting) Risk margin:
The risk margin represents the premium over and above the best-estimate liabilities that one insurer would require to take on the obligations of another insurer.
(Prudential Supervision Reporting): How is the BEL determined
- The best-estimate liability (BEL) is determined as the discounted value of projected cash flows under each policy up to the “contract boundart”, calculated on a policy-by-policy basis.
- It is possible for the best-estimate liability to be negative.
- The assumptions underlying the best-estimate liability should be best-estimate with no additional margins for prudence.
- The projections should allow for all expected decrements and policyholder actions, including lapses.
(Prudential Supervision Reporting) How is the risk margin calculated?
The risk margin is calculated as 6% of the projected non-headeable SCR at each future year-end, discounted using risk-free rates of return.